Poland-EU constitutional crisis will not end soon

2016 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
European Commission ◽  
Rule Of Law ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Rule Of Law ◽  
Constitutional Tribunal ◽  
The Government ◽  
Polish Government ◽  
The Eu

Subject European Commission concerns about the rule of law in Poland. Significance The Commission has sent a formal Opinion to the Polish government, activating the first stage in the EU's 'Rule of Law Framework'. It expresses concerns about respect for the rule of law in Poland (a fundamental founding value of the EU), and in particular about the Polish government's handling of the crisis over the Constitutional Tribunal (TK, for Trybunał Konstytucyjny) Impacts Poland's EU position is likely to suffer as a result of the dispute, making it more difficult for it to achieve other political goals. Polish politics will remain unsettled and polarised, with the opposition using the Commission's Opinion to challenge the government. Legal uncertainty may translate into lower investment by individuals and enterprises dampening economic growth in the medium-to-long term.

Portuguese coalition parties may clash over austerity

2016 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
European Commission ◽  
Budget Deficit ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Rating Agencies ◽  
Structural Funds ◽  
The Government

Significance This reflects the significant risks lying ahead for the government despite the European Council's decision on August 9 to waive fines for Portugal over its excessive budget deficit in 2015. Impacts The European Commission retains the possibility of suspending structural funds for Portugal. The decision to waive the fine could undermine the credibility of EU rules in the long term. Slower economic growth and the weak banking sector could lead to Portugal being downgraded by rating agencies.

Warsaw will not budge on its key agenda

2018 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
European Commission ◽  
Rule Of Law ◽  
Prime Minister ◽  
Member States ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Rule Of Law ◽  
Early Evidence ◽  
The Eu

Subject Polish/EU frictions. Significance The European Commission has taken the unprecedented step of warning of a "clear risk" of a serious breach of the rule of law in Poland. Many in Brussels and Poland hoped that the appointment of a young prime minister and a major cabinet reshuffle signalled a rapprochement. On early evidence, at least, they may be sorely disappointed. Impacts Poland’s position in the EU will become more constrained as the rule-of-law conflict is exploited in negotiations on unrelated issues. In openly censuring Poland, the EU sees an opportunity to prove its credentials as a bulwark against populism and extremism. If Poland is pushed too far, the EU’s actions may undesirably strengthen anti-EU sentiments in one of its largest member states.

Coalition party will decide Slovak government’s fate

2018 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
European Commission ◽  
Rule Of Law ◽  
Social Democracy ◽  
The State ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Automotive Sector ◽  
Police Chief ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Rule Of Law ◽  
The Government

Significance The president’s statement reflects a widespread crisis of trust in the government a week after investigative journalist Jan Kuciak was found shot dead with his fiancee Martina Kusnirova. It was the first known murder of a journalist in Slovakia. While the opposition has demanded the resignation of Interior Minister Robert Kalinak and his police chief Tibor Gaspar, the coalition government’s stability is most severely threatened by resignations within its leading party, Direction-Social Democracy (Smer-SD), and its moderate coalition partner, Most-Hid. Impacts Relations between the government and the non-party president will deteriorate following the latter’s call for early elections. The international spotlight has again been thrown on the state of the rule of law and corruption in Slovakia. Despite concerns, Slovakia continues to attract FDI, particularly into the automotive sector. Slovakia’s continued fast GDP growth (the European Commission forecasts 4% for 2018) may buttress support for the government.

EU integration could provide a way to sanction Hungary

2017 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Member State ◽  
European Commission ◽  
Rule Of Law ◽  
The State ◽  
Fundamental Rights ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Rule Of Law ◽  
Eu Integration ◽  
First Time ◽  
The Eu

Significance The EU treaty’s Article 7 may be invoked in response to concerns about the state of democracy, fundamental rights and the rule of law in a member state. Yesterday's decision by the European Commission is the first time the procedure has been used. It may next be used against Hungary. However, the power of Poland and Hungary to veto it shows the lack of instruments to enforce common values. Impacts The EU’s inability to rein in non-compliant members may encourage reneging on democratic commitments elsewhere in CEE. Continued EU values breaches will jeopardise the EU’s coherence in talks with Serbia and Turkey. Values conflicts with Hungary and Poland threaten cohesion within the EU, increasing Russia’s strategic wriggle room.

Governance quality and economic growth in Sub-Saharan Africa: the dynamic panel model

2022 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Amsalu Bedemo Beyene
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Rule Of Law ◽  
African Countries ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Government Effectiveness ◽  
The Rule Of Law ◽  
Governance Quality ◽  
Sub Saharan ◽  
The Government

PurposeThe main objective of this article is to analyze the role of governance quality in influencing the economic growth of 22 selected Sub-Saharan African Countries.Design/methodology/approachThe study applied the panel dynamic Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) to analyze the data obtained from the World Bank database over the period from 2002 to 2020.FindingsThe overall finding indicated that the composite governance index has a positive significant effect on the economic growth of the countries; where a unit improvement in the aggregate governance index leads to a 3.05% increase in GDP. The disaggregated result has shown that corruption control and government effectiveness have a negative significant effect on growth performance, whereas, the rule of law and regulatory quality showed a positive significant effect. Political stability and voice and accountability have an insignificant effect on economic growth.Research limitations/implicationsDue to data limitations, this study could not address the whole members of Sub Sahara African Countries and could not see the causal relationship.Practical implicationsThe study suggested a strong commitment to the implementation of policy and reform measures on all governance factors. This may add to the need to devise participatory corruption control mechanisms; to closely look at the proper implementation of policies and reforms that constitute the government effectiveness factors, and properly implement the rule of law at all levels of the government with a strong commitment to realizing it so that citizens at all levels can have full confidence in and abide by the rules of society.Originality/valueEven though there are some studies conducted using conventional methods of panel data analysis such as random effect or fixed effects, this empirical study used more advanced panel dynamic generalized moment of methods to examine the role of improvement in governance quality on economic growth.

Tax cuts will invigorate sluggish Danish economy

2016 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Financial Integration ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Eu Membership ◽  
Skills Shortage ◽  
The Government ◽  
Economic Forecasts ◽  
The Eu ◽  
Tax Cuts

Significance Uncertainty following the Brexit vote has led to a downgrading of Danish economic forecasts. Growth has been sluggish since the financial crisis and in terms of productivity Denmark is falling behind its neighbours. The government has proposed tax cuts to boost employment and growth. Impacts Greater economic and financial integration of euro-area countries could lead to Denmark losing influence in the EU. Stricter immigration rules could exacerbate the skills shortage in the medium-to-long term, dampening economic growth. Smooth Brexit negotiations could lead the Eurosceptic right to demand a referendum on Danish EU membership.

Romania heads for clash with EU over legal sovereignty

2021 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Rule Of Law ◽  
Judicial Independence ◽  
Constitutional Court ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Past ◽  
Court Of Justice ◽  
Recent Developments ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Eu

Significance After accentuated rule-of-law erosion during 2017-19, the new government encouraged hopes that such violations would become a thing of the past. However, last month, the government sacked the ombudsman, while the Constitutional Court declared void a judgement of the EU Court of Justice (CJEU) defending judicial independence. Impacts Recent developments erode hopes that last month’s positive CVM report will lead to Romania’s Schengen zone accession later this year. Failure to replace the ombudsman will not affect the coalition parties electorally, given the politicisation of rule-of-law issues. Subnational courts will be left confused whether to apply the Constitutional Court or the CJEU ruling to legal disciplinary cases.

scholarly journals EU–Turkey relations need an honest new start

European View ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
pp. 52-57
Author(s):  
Manfred Weber
Keyword(s):  
Rule Of Law ◽  
Humanitarian Aid ◽  
Refugee Crisis ◽  
Fundamental Interest ◽  
The Rule Of Law ◽  
Eu Membership ◽  
Joint Solution ◽  
The Common ◽  
The Eu

The EU has a fundamental interest in having a constructive relationship with Turkey. However, the EU–Turkey relationship has become strained over recent years. This is why EU–Turkey relations need a new start, based on honesty about the long-term goal: EU membership is not an option for Turkey. Instead, the EU and Turkey should focus on concrete fields of cooperation. Humanitarian aid in the refugee crisis is a good example of a field in which a joint solution has been successful, as is the protection of the common external border. More joint action from the EU and Turkey is needed as regards the situation in Syria and Iraq. Turkey must overcome its democratic shortcomings. Further economic cooperation will depend on the application of the rule of law in Turkey.

Strategies of the Polish government in the rule of law dispute with the European Commission

2018 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 57-73 ◽  
Author(s):  
Agnieszka K. Cianciara
Keyword(s):  
European Commission ◽  
Rule Of Law ◽  
The Rule Of Law ◽  
Polish Government

Celem niniejszego artykułu jest identyfikacja, analiza i ocena skuteczności strategii rządu RP w sporze o praworządność z Komisją Europejską (2016–2018), z uwzględnieniem szerszego kontekstu politycznego w Unii Europejskiej. Hipoteza główna stanowi, że do momentu uruchomienia przez Komisję procedury z art. 7.1 TUE w grudniu 2017 roku, strategiczne cele rządu koncentrowały się na poziomie krajowym (mobilizacja krajowego poparcia), a nie na poziomie europejskim (minimalizacja strat i rozwiązanie sporu). Słabości strategii na poziomie europejskim należy upatrywać w błędnych założeniach i błędnej diagnozie ośrodka decyzyjnego w Polsce co do sytuacji politycznej w Europie oraz co do logiki gry politycznej w UE.

Polish isolation in EU could cost PiS government dear

2017 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Political Stability ◽  
National Council ◽  
Medium Term ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Rule Of Law ◽  
Appointment System ◽  
Law And Justice ◽  
The Government ◽  
Appeal Courts

Significance The Law and Justice (PiS) government has already enacted a bill changing the appointment system for the National Council of the Judiciary and another bill makes the justice minister solely responsible for selecting heads of district and appeal courts. After almost two years in power, the government is defying its critics and remains surprisingly strong and stable. It enjoys high popular support, presides over vigorous economic growth and has a stable working majority. Impacts Relative political stability and favourable economic conditions will encourage investors in the short-to-medium term. Concerns over the rule of law, especially judicial independence, may undermine Poland's long-term position. Growing political isolation will make it hard for Poland's voice to be heard in debates about the EU's future after Brexit.

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