German election campaign will ignore hard choices

2017 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
General Election ◽  
Election Campaign ◽  
Lower Saxony ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Policy Choices

Subject Germany’s election campaign. Significance Germany's general election campaign has so far seen a staggering lack of debate over substance and hard policy choices. This, combined with fine-tuned coalition tactics and a complacent electorate, could trigger a delay of necessary reforms regardless of what the next government looks like. Impacts The CDU/CSU will run a toothless campaign based on continuity and stability and focusing wholly on Merkel. Serious coalition negotiations are likely to wait until after a regional election in the swing state of Lower Saxony on October 15. Negotiations will be more complicated than usual as the CDU is likely to hold all the trump cards, having several coalition options. The large proportion of undecided voters -- over 40% according to recent polls -- makes credibly predicting the results impossible.

Uganda media restrictions may be applied selectively

2020 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Freedom Of Expression ◽  
Digital Economy ◽  
General Election ◽  
Election Campaign ◽  
Media Campaign ◽  
Major Focus ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Media

Significance The notice has been widely interpreted as an attack on freedom of expression ahead of a general election campaign in which public gatherings have been banned and the bulk of campaigning is supposed to happen via media. Impacts Although past efforts have backfired, the success of Museveni’s COVID-19 media campaign will encourage him to increase his media presence. Opposition leaders such as Bobi Wine are far better placed to harness the media and will therefore be a major focus of state attention. A crackdown on media would dent hopes that an expanding digital economy can help Uganda recover from the COVID-19-related economic slump.

AKP may lack the seats to change Turkish presidency

2015 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
General Election ◽  
Election Campaign ◽  
Right Wing ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Justice And Development Party ◽  
Set Up ◽  
The Right

Significance The candidates for the ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) are staunch Erdogan loyalists -- or are assumed to be so. Yet this does not mean that the president's position will always be unassailable. Recep Tayyip Erdogan's predominance in Turkey's politics is beginning to look a little shaky, now that some of his senior AKP lieutenants have clashed with each other -- and by implication with him. Erdogan's plans to set up a highly centralised executive presidency are at the centre of the AKP election campaign, but it looks like an uphill struggle to achieve this. The potential for instability has grown. Impacts AKP is still on course to win a handsome majority in the general election, well ahead of its rivals. However, senior politicians disgruntled with Erdogan may make trouble during the campaign. If four parties enter the next parliament, AKP could conceivably be forced into coalition, probably with the right-wing MHP. During the campaign and probably after it, Erdogan's leadership will be less assured than it has been for a decade.

Hungarian by-election portends medium-term instability

2018 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
General Election ◽  
Election Campaign ◽  
Medium Term ◽  
General Will ◽  
Negative Campaigning ◽  
Municipal Elections ◽  
Content Type ◽  
International Attention ◽  
Ruling Party

Subject Fidesz’s surprise by-election defeat. Significance Independent Peter Marki-Zay’s election as mayor of Hodmezovasarhely, a ruling party stronghold, changed the tone of Hungary’s general election campaign. It is unlikely to change the outcome of the April 8 poll fundamentally, but the myth that Fidesz is unbeatable has been broken, giving opposition supporters hope as their parties, still fragmented, fight an uphill battle. Impacts The prospect of instability will boost the significance of European Parliamentary and municipal elections in 2019. Hungary’s international isolation will increase as Fidesz seeks new external targets in its negative campaigning. International attention on the April elections and Hungary, in general, will grow as the stakes increase.

New direction may follow Papua New Guinea election

2017 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Service Delivery ◽  
Papua New Guinea ◽  
World Bank ◽  
Prime Minister ◽  
New Guinea ◽  
General Election ◽  
Election Campaign ◽  
Economic Management ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Imf

Subject The 2017 general election in Papua New Guinea. Significance A two-week long general election in Papua New Guinea (PNG) ends on July 8. The election campaign has not gone as well as hoped for the incumbent government headed by Prime Minister Peter O’Neill, due to concerns about economic management, corruption and service delivery. Impacts There is some risk, though small, that an O’Neill win would prompt local unrest or calls for regional independence. Cancelling plans to host the APEC summit could become a symbol for moving spending priorities to education, health and infrastructure. The need for budgetary support from the IMF or World Bank might encourage more market-oriented policies.

What social media activities reveal about election results? The use of Facebook during the 2015 general election campaign in Croatia

2018 ◽  
Vol 31 (2) ◽  
pp. 327-347 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marina Bagić Babac ◽  
Vedran Podobnik
Keyword(s):  
Social Media ◽  
Content Analysis ◽  
Positive Emotions ◽  
Qualitative Content Analysis ◽  
Significant Rise ◽  
General Election ◽  
Election Campaign ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Media Campaigns ◽  
Content Type

Purpose Due to the significant rise in the use of social media in recent years, the purpose of this paper is to investigate who, how and why participates in creating content at political social networking websites utilising a content analysis of posts and comments published on Facebook during the 2015 general election campaign in Croatia. It shows consequences of a transition from traditional to social media campaigns and the effectiveness of social media at activating and moving public opinion during the general election campaign. Design/methodology/approach This study uses a data collection through a social media website, a classification of data set items by content attributes and a statistical analysis of the classified data. Findings Building on an empirical data set from Croatia, this study reveals that different political parties implement different election campaign strategies on social media to influence citizens who, consequently, respond differently to each of them. The results indicate that political messages with positive emotions evocate positive response from citizens, while neutral content is more likely to invoke negative comments and criticism, and support to the opponent. Another implication of the results is that two-way and tolerant communication of political actors increases citizen engagement, whereas unidirectional communication decreases it. Originality/value This paper provides an original insight into qualitative content analysis of posts and user comments published on Facebook during the 2015 general election campaign in Croatia.

Political Communications: The General Election Campaign of 1987

1991 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 573
Author(s):  
Dan Nimmo ◽  
Ivor Crewe ◽  
Martin Harrop
Keyword(s):  
General Election ◽  
Election Campaign ◽  
Political Communications

Survival of Italy’s government rests on Draghi choice

2021 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Pension System ◽  
General Election ◽  
Fiscal Rules ◽  
Right Wing ◽  
Growth Strategies ◽  
Content Type

Significance Plans to invest in key areas such as innovation, digitisation and climate change are already under way, as are plans to reform the pension system. Impacts EU fiscal rules will not return until 2023 at the earliest, enabling Draghi to focus on pro-growth strategies. If Draghi becomes president, finding an alternative government may be difficult as some parties will demand early elections. While the polls have narrowed, a right-wing government remains the most plausible outcome after the next general election.

Skills shortage may hit Australia's post-COVID growth

2021 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Investment ◽  
General Election ◽  
Economic Recovery ◽  
Infrastructure Projects ◽  
General Increase ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Skills Shortage ◽  
Key Industries ◽  
Skills Shortages

Significance The closing of internal and external borders in response to COVID-19 has heightened a longstanding skills deficit in key industries, with implications for wage levels, prices and broader economic growth. However, a general increase in immigrant numbers may not provide the skills that are needed. Impacts Labour shortfalls may delay government infrastructure projects that were designed to lead the post-pandemic economic recovery. Foreign investment may be affected by skills shortages in key areas such as mining and metallurgy. Debate on immigration levels could influence voting in the general election that is now likely to be held in April.

The Netherlands’ Rutte is on course for re-election

2021 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
The Netherlands ◽  
General Election ◽  
Healthcare Sector ◽  
Market Forces ◽  
Fiscal Union ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Cautious Approach

Significance The scandal could affect the outcome of the general election scheduled for March 17. Impacts The continuation of the current government would maintain the Netherlands’ firm opposition to closer EU fiscal union. The next government is likely to maintain the Netherlands’ cautious approach towards Huawei. A Rutte-led coalition will look to reform the healthcare sector, including by pursuing great levels of regulation over market forces. The government’s caretaker status will have no impact on The Hague’s handling of the COVID-19 crisis.

scholarly journals Introduction (Special Edition – The Presidential Nomination Process)

2008 ◽  
Vol 28 ◽  
pp. 289-291
Author(s):  
Wayne P. Steger
Keyword(s):  
Political Parties ◽  
Political Party ◽  
The United States ◽  
General Election ◽  
The Political ◽  
Election Campaign ◽  
Special Edition ◽  
Presidential Nomination ◽  
General Elections ◽  
Democratic Country

Understanding why certain candidates get nominated is an important aspect of political scientists. This topic is a narrow one and influences a wider variety of subjects such as the political parties, general elections, and even the extent to which the United States is a democratic country. Presidential nominees matter—they become the foremost spokesperson and the personified image of the party (Miller and Gronbeck 1994), the main selectors of issues and policies for their party’s general election campaign (Petrocik 1996; Tedesco 2001), a major force in defining the ideological direction of a political party (Herrera 1995), and candidates that voters select among in the general election. This volume is devoted to presidential nominations and the 2008 nomination specifically.

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