Prospects for West Africa in 2018

Subject Prospects for West Africa in 2018. Significance Ruling coalitions will emphasise economic recovery (Nigeria) and foreign investment gains (Ivory Coast), while fragile transitions beckon for post-conflict states (Sierra Leone). Militant terrorist threats are plaguing countries across the region (Burkina Faso, Mali, Niger, Nigeria), heaping added pressure on ruling alliances to improve counter-terrorism preparedness.

Author(s):  
Barlu Dumbuya ◽  
Niru Nirupama

Purpose This paper aims to analyse the case of Sierra Leone from the lens of economic impact and underlying causes for concern towards economic sustainability in a post-Ebola recovery phase. Design/methodology/approach Content analysis of literature from various sources, including public and private sectors, non-governmental organisations, multilateral agencies, peer reviewed scholarly articles and media reports was carried out. A total of 77 articles were reviewed. Each document from each source types was then examined for recurring themes that would enhance understanding on the topic addressed here. The NVivo qualitative analysis software was used for coding and extracting of themes from these articles using certain keywords and phrases that relate to the study objectives. Findings The Ebola outbreak in Sierra Leone caused impairment of exports and the capacity to raise revenue via taxes due to significant slump in economic activities. The post-conflict strategy to increase foreign investment had kick-started a gradual recovery, but the Ebola crisis threatened further gains. The crisis also highlighted that the country’s economy depended on foreign investment in a single key sector of iron ore for which global prices fell during Ebola significantly. Although socio-economic impacts of Ebola will linger for some time and health system would have to be vitalised, a sense of optimism was found in many documents. Originality/value The research approach is new and comprehensive in that it looks at post-conflict Sierra Leone in combination with ongoing biophysical and hydrometeorological hazards, and how the Ebola outbreak became completely devastating for the country’s economic sustainability.


Subject Prospects for West Africa in 2019. Significance Insecurity is weighing on the region’s most significant poll in Nigeria, while new terrorist fronts are testing government popularity in Burkina Faso. The conclusion of an IMF programme will raise profligacy fears in Ghana, while rivals will vie to replace ill or outgoing leaders in Gabon and Ivory Coast.


Subject AQIM assessment. Significance Al-Qaida in the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM) has garnered media attention over the past year with a string of 'spectacular' attacks against Westerners in West Africa: with attacks in Bamako, Mali in late 2015, Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso, in January 2016, and Grand Bassam in the Ivory Coast in March. Its increasing range of operations raises questions about the group's organisational structure and its strategy. Impacts More terrorist attacks in North and West Africa will adversely affect tourism in those regions. This would particularly affect Tunisia, Ivory Coast, Senegal and Egypt. The resurgence of AQIM could also mean that it increasingly entrenches itself in Libya too.


Subject Jihadists' coastal threat. Significance Deteriorating security and widening jihadist control in eastern Burkina Faso, combined with the wider security crisis in the Sahel region as a whole, have raised credible fears that jihadist violence and other security crises could spread into coastal West African countries (Benin, Ghana, Ivory Coast and Togo). Sporadic terrorism has occurred in some of those countries in recent years, notably the attack on an Ivorian resort in March 2016 and a kidnapping in Benin’s Pendjari National Park in May 2019. Yet there is still more reason for caution than alarm when it comes to predicting the spread of jihadism in West Africa, given the Malian and Burkinabe insurgencies took years to unfold. Impacts Regional governments may look to increase assistance to President Marc Christian Roch Kabore’s administration ahead of the 2020 polls. Joint security efforts involving Burkina Faso and its coastal neighbours will prove piecemeal given their sporadic, underdeveloped nature. A 2018 joint security initiative and resulting arrests suggest Benin and Togo may be the more vulnerable to new jihadist infiltration.


Significance The closing of internal and external borders in response to COVID-19 has heightened a longstanding skills deficit in key industries, with implications for wage levels, prices and broader economic growth. However, a general increase in immigrant numbers may not provide the skills that are needed. Impacts Labour shortfalls may delay government infrastructure projects that were designed to lead the post-pandemic economic recovery. Foreign investment may be affected by skills shortages in key areas such as mining and metallurgy. Debate on immigration levels could influence voting in the general election that is now likely to be held in April.


Author(s):  

Abstract A new distribution map is provided for Chnootriba similis (Thunberg) Coleoptera: Coccinellidae Maize ladybird. Attacks rice, maize, wheat, barley, sorghum, sugarcane. = Epilachna similis(Thunberg) Information is given on the geographical distribution in AFRICA, Angola, Burkina, Faso, Cameroon, Chad, Congo, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Gambia, Ghana, Guinea, Ivory Coast, Kenya, Madagascar, Niger, Nigeria, Rwanda, Senegal, Sierra Leone, Somalia, South Africa, Sudan, Tanzania, Uganda, Yemen, Zaire, Zambia, Zimbabwe.


Significance While the overall number of incidents is fewer than a dozen since the rise of the region's jihadist insurgencies in the early 2010s, the trend lends credence to growing warnings about the jihadist threat to coastal West African countries. Concern has focused on Ivory Coast and Benin, but there is also nervousness about Ghana, Togo and even Senegal. Impacts Western governments will boost security assistance to coastal states. Intelligence sharing and joint operations will not forestall cross-border hit-and-run attacks. Most regional states will resort to security-focused responses whose abuses drive jihadist recruitment.


Author(s):  

Abstract A new distribution map is provided for Maliarpha separatella Ragonot. Lepidoptera: Pyralidae (Madagascar/African white rice borer). Attacks rice. Information is given on the geographical distribution in Africa, Benin, Burkina Faso, Cameroon, Chad, Comoro Islands, Gambia, Ghana, Guinea, Ivory Coast, Kenya, Liberia, Madagascar, Malawi, Mali, Mauritania, Mauritius, Niger, Nigeria, Réunion, Senegal, Sierra Leone, Sudan, Tanzania, Togo, Uganda, Zaire, Zambia, Asia, Burma.


Author(s):  
Marius Schneider ◽  
Vanessa Ferguson

Guinea, also sometimes referred as Guinea-Conakry, is found in West Africa. It is bordered by Guinea-Bissau, Senegal, and Mali in the north and Sierra Leone, Liberia, and Ivory Coast in the south. In 2016, Guinea had a population of 12.6 million over a territory of 245 860 square kilometres (km). Its capital and largest city is Conakry. The official language of Guinea is French, and the currency used is the Guinean franc (GNF).


Author(s):  
Marius Schneider ◽  
Vanessa Ferguson

Burkina Faso is a landlocked country in West Africa, surrounded by six countries: Benin, Ghana, Ivory Coast, Mali, Niger, and Togo. It has an area of 274,200 square kilometres (km) and has a population of 18.6 million inhabitants. Its capital is Ouagadougou, where the biggest airport of Burkina Faso, Ouagadougou International Airport, is found. By 2021, a new airport should be operational at Dosin, located 30 km north from the capital. Having no access to the sea, Burkina Faso relies on the ports of its neighbouring countries for its commercial exchanges. Eighty per cent of the external trade of Burkina Faso is conducted by sea. The main ports available to Burkina Faso are Cotonou, Lomé, Téma, Takoradi, and Abidjan. In practice, the autonomous port of Abidjan is the main port of maritime entry and exit into Burkina Faso, having regained its lost market share caused by the crisis in Ivory Coast in September 2002. International roads link Ouagadougou to all neighbouring ports and a railway line operates between Ouagadougou and Abidjan.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document