Canada opposition parties gain ground as Liberals slip

2021 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Party Leader ◽  
Federal Election ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Conservative Government ◽  
Dramatic Shift ◽  
Policy Direction ◽  
Provincial Autonomy ◽  
Opposition Parties

Significance Trudeau’s gamble in calling a federal election on his pandemic record two years earlier than necessary has raised the possibility of a change of government, as the Conservatives widen their appeal with a centrist stance. The campaign has already been defined by an unusual degree of bitterness. Impacts If the Conservatives maintain their lead, progressive Canadians will vote tactically to strengthen the Liberals. A centre-right Conservative government is unlikely to produce a dramatic shift in policy direction for the country. A Conservative government supported by the Bloc Quebecois will see Quebec solidify and augment its provincial autonomy. If Trudeau is defeated, his replacement as party leader is likely to be Chrystia Freeland, his most impressive Liberal rival.

Two weeks out, minority Canada Liberal rule is likely

2019 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Prime Minister ◽  
Party Leader ◽  
Carbon Taxes ◽  
Federal Election ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Minority Government ◽  
Oil Sector

Significance Canada’s federal election concludes on October 21. The campaign has seen various policies proposed by the four largest federal parties, two of which -- Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s Liberals and Andrew Scheer’s Conservatives -- are best-placed to form the next government. Impacts The Conservatives would likely find it harder to build alliances if they won as a minority government. The Liberals would likely ally with the NDP or Greens in a confidence and supply arrangement, going left politically. A Liberal-NDP government would mean pushes to reform healthcare, including introducing universal pharmacare. A Liberal-NDP government would be tougher on Canada’s oil sector and probably raise carbon taxes more quickly. Should Trudeau lose, he will likely be replaced as party leader; Scheer and NDP leader Jagmeet Singh would probably survive.

Canadian Conservative rebrand will gain new votes

2020 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Democratic Party ◽  
Oil Industry ◽  
Conservative Party ◽  
Blue Collar ◽  
Party Leader ◽  
Recent Past ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Conservative Government ◽  
Indigenous Groups ◽  
5G Network

Significance Whenever it comes, the election will be Erin O’Toole’s electoral debut as Conservative Party leader. His leadership marks a radical break with the party’s recent past, with new messaging on income inequality, blue-collar jobs, New Canadians and climate change. Impacts The New Democratic Party will lose working-class support to the Conservatives next election. Renewable energy industries and the nuclear sector will receive renewed support under a Conservative government. The Trans Mountain pipeline will be finished and sold to indigenous groups: Trudeau wants to support Alberta’s oil industry. Whether Trudeau or O’Toole, Huawei will be banned from participation in Canada’s 5G network. Some Conservative inroads are possible in centre-right-governed Quebec, where Bloc Quebecois dominates.

UK Labour Party may have little influence on Brexit

2017 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Union Membership ◽  
Labour Party ◽  
Party Leader ◽  
Customs Union ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Conservative Government ◽  
Strong Performance ◽  
Jeremy Corbyn ◽  
Clear Support

Significance Labour party leader Jeremy Corbyn has been ambiguous on this issue, and the period since Labour’s unexpectedly strong performance in the general election on June 8 has seen the party publicly divided over its stand on the Brexit negotiations. Impacts Labour’s lack of clear support for a ‘soft’ Brexit may act to preclude single market and customs union membership as long-term options. Labour's ambiguous stand on Brexit puts the Conservative government under less pressure to clarify its own Brexit strategy. Adopting a clearer stand on Brexit would probably cost Labour votes owing to deep divisions on the issue within its electorate.

Uganda’s opposition will gain ground despite poll loss

2021 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Youth Unemployment ◽  
National Politics ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Legal Challenges ◽  
The Government ◽  
Opposition Parties

Significance The opposition has rejected the results and is preparing legal challenges to Museveni’s victory. Impacts NRM internal cohesion will fray as Museveni becomes a more polarising figure in national politics. The NRM will increasingly try to co-opt opponents to neutralise the growing momentum and collaboration among opposition parties. The government will likely launch developmental efforts to tackle youth unemployment and thus avert unrest.

Canada-US ties will see fewer irritants under Biden

2021 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Prime Minister ◽  
Oil Industry ◽  
The United States ◽  
Donald Trump ◽  
Federal Election ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Un Peacekeeping ◽  
Keystone Xl ◽  
Keystone Xl Pipeline

Significance Canada’s Liberal Prime Minister Justin Trudeau is preparing to welcome a more predictable and stable partner in Biden than outgoing Republican President Donald Trump. However, Biden is also expected quickly to cancel the Keystone XL pipeline, cutting another lifeline to Canada’s oil industry and creating some strain in Canada-US ties. Impacts Improved Canada-US ties will persist even if Trudeau loses the next federal election to Conservative Erin O’Toole. Canada will re-engage militarily with UN peacekeeping and NATO deployments. Trudeau will encourage Biden to end US prosecution of Meng Wanzhou, allowing Canada to release her; Biden may agree. Canada’s border with the United States will open in stages as COVID-19 recedes. Ottawa will push Biden to end ‘Buy American’ procurement policies, with little success.

UK prime minister will likely remain in power for now

2022 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Northern Ireland ◽  
Prime Minister ◽  
Conservative Party ◽  
Culture Wars ◽  
Consumer Confidence ◽  
Party Leader ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Public ◽  
Net Zero ◽  
The Eu

Significance As many as a dozen lockdown parties are now alleged to have been held at Downing Street, significantly damaging Johnson’s support among the public and his Conservative Party. His position as party leader and prime minister is gravely threatened. Impacts Johnson’s domestic troubles, coupled with rising economic concerns, increase the chance of an agreement with the EU over Northern Ireland. Disillusionment with Johnson, opposition to net-zero and culture wars open the door for Nigel Farage’s Reform Party to revive its appeal. Rising inflation threatens to undermine consumer confidence and slow the economic recovery over the coming year.

The future of open access and library publishing

2014 ◽  
Vol 115 (5/6) ◽  
pp. 225-236 ◽  
Author(s):  
Faye Chadwell ◽  
Shan C. Sutton
Keyword(s):  
Open Access ◽  
Academic Libraries ◽  
Communication System ◽  
Design Methodology ◽  
Scholarly Communication ◽  
Academic Librarians ◽  
Research Articles ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Dramatic Shift ◽  
Scholarly Communication System

Purpose – The purpose of this article is to provide a vision for how academic libraries can assume a more central role in a future where open access (OA) publishing has become the predominant model for disseminating scholarly research articles. Design/methodology/approach – The authors analyze existing trends related to OA policies and publishing, with an emphasis on the development of repositories managed by libraries to publish and disseminate articles. They speculate that these trends, coupled with emerging economic realities, will create an environment where libraries will assume a major role in the OA publishing environment. The authors provide some suggestions for how this major role might be funded. Findings – The trends and economic realities discussed will lead to new roles for academic librarians and will change the existing roles. Originality/value – This article provides insights for academic libraries and their institutions to consider a dramatic shift in the deployment of subscription dollars from a dysfunctional and largely closed scholarly communication system to one that provides open, unfettered access to research results.

Modi’s party will be relaxed about upcoming polls

2022 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Prime Minister ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Congress Party ◽  
Chief Minister ◽  
Bharatiya Janata Party ◽  
National Profile ◽  
Opposition Parties

Significance Each of these states except Punjab has a government led by Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP). Punjab is one of just three states with a chief minister that belongs to India’s main opposition Congress party. Impacts A poor showing by Congress would further reduce its leverage with other opposition parties in talks over forming a broad anti-Modi alliance. Victory in UP would enhance Chief Minister Yogi Adityanath’s national profile. Election campaigning will likely lead to a spike in COVID-19 cases.

“Les gens qui vous ressemblent”: Discursive Negotiation of Identity and Construction of Affiliation in the 2019 Canadian Federal Election Party Leader Debates

2021 ◽  
Vol 72 (1) ◽  
pp. 5-32
Author(s):  
Yulia Bosworth
Keyword(s):  
Critical Discourse Analysis ◽  
Shared Vision ◽  
French Language ◽  
Party Leader ◽  
French Canadian ◽  
Federal Election ◽  
Party Leaders ◽  
Political Actors ◽  
Negotiation Of Identity ◽  
Crucial Part

In the weeks leading up to the Canadian federal election, federal party leaders seek to appeal to a crucial part of the electorate - Québec voters, most of whom are of French-Canadian background - through a series of televised debates. As party leaders engage in discourse aimed at creating proximity with and enacting an affiliative stance toward these voters, the debates become a platform for discursive negotiation of Québec identity, in which identity stances and narratives are reflected, reproduced, and challenged. This study examines a corpus of party leaders’ discourse as these political actors interactively negotiate Québec identity during three party leader debates in the 2019 federal election. Following the theoretical framework of Critical Discourse Analysis, the inquiry discusses the following aspects of the party leaders’ discourse: discursive representation of Quebecers’ group identity and self-positioning with respect to that identity, use of symbolic lexis and references that signal attachment to the French-Canadian majority’s collective memory, and self-positioning with respect to the French language. In addition, the discussion addresses implications of the bilingual nature of political discourse in the Canadian context, focusing on party leaders’ use of code-switching and metapragmatic commentary. Crucially, the study’s conclusions suggest that a shared vision of Québec identity has not yet been widely ratified. While the party leaders’ discourse appears largely felicitous with the inclusive, civic vision of Québec identity, the study’s findings point to continued primacy of the French-Canadian fact in its current conceptualization.

Iran’s ‘resistance economy’ faces new tests in 2021

2021 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Presidential Election ◽  
Conflicts Of Interest ◽  
Election Campaign ◽  
Domestic Production ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Business Interests ◽  
High Profile ◽  
Conservative Government ◽  
Supreme Leader ◽  
Presidential Election Campaign

Significance At the same time, the June 18 presidential election campaign is beginning, with top judge Ibrahim Raisi registering as a favoured candidate. Heading a high-profile anti-corruption campaign, Raisi has been a strong advocate of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei’s ‘resistance economy’ policy to undermine sanctions by supporting domestic production. Impacts Effective legislation to manage conflicts of interest, including of officials’ family members, will likely remain blocked. Local business interests that would benefit from more global links may have a strong voice even under a conservative government. The Islamic Revolution Guard Corps will keep a firm grip on the infrastructure sector.

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