Comparison of five drought indices for agricultural drought monitoring and impacts on winter wheat yields analysis

Author(s):  
Wen Zhuo ◽  
Jianxi Huang ◽  
Xiaodong Zhang ◽  
Hao Sun ◽  
Dehai Zhu ◽  
...  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (7) ◽  
pp. 2801
Author(s):  
Yuan Li ◽  
Yi Dong ◽  
Dongqin Yin ◽  
Diyou Liu ◽  
Pengxin Wang ◽  
...  

Monitoring agricultural drought is important to food security and the sustainable development of human society. In order to improve the accuracy of soil moisture and winter wheat yield estimation, drought monitoring effects of optical drought index data, meteorological drought data, and passive microwave soil moisture data were explored during individual and whole growth periods of winter wheat in 2003–2011, taking Henan Province of China as the research area. The model of drought indices and relative meteorological yield of winter wheat in individual and whole growth periods was constructed based on multiple linear regression. Results showed a higher correlation between Moderate-Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) drought indices and 10 cm relative soil moisture (RSM10) than 20 cm (RSM20) and 50 cm (RSM50). In the whole growth period, the correlation coefficient (R) between vegetation supply water index (VSWI) and RSM10 had the highest correlation (R = −0.206), while in individual growth periods, the vegetation temperature condition index (VTCI) was superior to the vegetation health index (VHI) and VSWI. Among the meteorological drought indices, the 10-day, 20-day, and 30-day standard precipitation evapotranspiration indices (SPEI1, SPEI2, and SPEI3) were all most relevant to RSM10 during individual and whole growth periods. RSM50 and SPEI3 had a higher correlation, indicating that deep soil moisture was more related to drought on a long time scale. The relationship between Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer for EOS soil moisture (AMSR-E SM) and VTCI was stable and significantly positive in individual and whole growth periods, which was better compared to VHI and VSWI. Compared with the drought indices and the relative meteorological yield in the city, VHI had the best monitoring effect during individual and whole growth periods. Results also showed that drought occurring at the jointing–heading stage can reduce winter wheat yield, while a certain degree of drought occurring at the heading–milk ripening stage can increase the yield. In the whole growth period, the combination of SPEI1, SPEI2, and VHI had the best performance, with a coefficient of determination (R2) of 0.282 with the combination of drought indices as the independent variables and relative meteorological yield as the dependent variable. In the individual growth period, the model in the later growth period of winter wheat performed well, especially in the returning green–jointing stage (R2 = 0.212). Results show that the combination of multiple linear drought indices in the whole growth period and the model in the returning green–jointing period could improve the accuracy of winter wheat yield estimation. This study is helpful for effective agricultural drought monitoring of winter wheat in Henan Province.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maria Jose Escorihuela ◽  
Pere Quintana Quintana-Seguí ◽  
Vivien Stefan ◽  
Jaime Gaona

<p>Drought is a major climatic risk resulting from complex interactions between the atmosphere, the continental surface and water resources management. Droughts have large socioeconomic impacts and recent studies show that drought is increasing in frequency and severity due to the changing climate.</p><p>Drought is a complex phenomenon and there is not a common understanding about drought definition. In fact, there is a range of definitions for drought. In increasing order of severity, we can talk about: meteorological drought is associated to a lack of precipitation, agricultural drought, hydrological drought and socio-economic drought is when some supply of some goods and services such as energy, food and drinking water are reduced or threatened by changes in meteorological and hydrological conditions. 
</p><p>A number of different indices have been developed to quantify drought, each with its own strengths and weaknesses. The most commonly used are based on precipitation such as the precipitation standardized precipitation index (SPI; McKee et al., 1993, 1995), on precipitation and temperature like the Palmer drought severity index (PDSI; Palmer 1965), others rely on vegetation status like the crop moisture index (CMI; Palmer, 1968) or the vegetation condition index (VCI; Liu and Kogan, 1996). Drought indices can also be derived from climate prediction models outputs. Drought indices base on remote sensing based have traditionally been limited to vegetation indices, notably due to the difficulty in accurately quantifying precipitation from remote sensing data. The main drawback in assessing drought through vegetation indices is that the drought is monitored when effects are already causing vegetation damage. In order to address drought in their early stages, we need to monitor it from the moment the lack of precipitation occurs.</p><p>Thanks to recent technological advances, L-band (21 cm, 1.4 GHz) radiometers are providing soil moisture fields among other key variables such as sea surface salinity or thin sea ice thickness. Three missions have been launched: the ESA’s SMOS was the first in 2009 followed by Aquarius in 2011 and SMAP in 2015.</p><p>A wealth of applications and science topics have emerged from those missions, many being of operational value (Kerr et al. 2016, Muñoz-Sabater et al. 2016, Mecklenburg et al. 2016). Those applications have been shown to be key to monitor the water and carbon cycles. Over land, soil moisture measurements have enabled to get access to root zone soil moisture, yield forecasts, fire and flood risks, drought monitoring, improvement of rainfall estimates, etc.</p><p>The advent of soil moisture dedicated missions (SMOS, SMAP) paves the way for drought monitoring based on soil moisture data. Initial assessment of a drought index based on SMOS soil moisture data has shown to be able to precede drought indices based on vegetation by 1 month (Albitar et al. 2013).</p><p>In this presentation we will be analysing different drought episodes in the Ebro basin using both soil moisture and vegetation based indices to compare their different performances and test the hypothesis that soil moisture based indices are earlier indicators of drought than vegetation ones.</p>


Author(s):  
B. Sun ◽  
J. Qian ◽  
X. Chen ◽  
Q. Zhou

Abstract. Drought has a significant impact on the Kazakhstan’s agricultural economy, which is the world's largest wheat flour exporting country. Remote sensing provides an efficient tool for monitoring agricultural drought in a wide range. Hundreds of remote sensing drought indices have been developed during the past decades. Some of them have been widely used over the world as an indispensable indicator in drought monitoring systems. However, the applicability of those indices in Kazakhstan, the largest country in Central Asia has not been tested, especially for agricultural drought monitoring. In this study, the most common remote sensing drought indices in current running systems of drought monitoring are compared and evaluated. The response of those indices to the soil drought is validated based on remote sensing soil moisture data. In addition, the effectiveness of remote sensing indices in agricultural drought monitoring is assessed according to agricultural product yield data from the past 15 years (2004–2018). Results indicate that remote sensing drought indices can generally reflect serious drought events in the study area, but the consistency of different types of indices is poor. Compared with annual statistics of agricultural product yield, remote sensing drought index better reflects the long-term change of agricultural drought in Kazakhstan.


2011 ◽  
Vol 19 (4) ◽  
pp. 860-865
Author(s):  
Xi-Yan KANG ◽  
Guang-Qin GU ◽  
Yin-Shan SHI ◽  
Guo-Qiang TIAN ◽  
Yong-Li GU

Water ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 82
Author(s):  
Omolola M. Adisa ◽  
Muthoni Masinde ◽  
Joel O. Botai

This study examines the (dis)similarity of two commonly used indices Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) computed over accumulation periods 1-month, 3-month, 6-month, and 12-month (hereafter SPI-1, SPI-3, SPI-6, and SPI-12, respectively) and Effective Drought Index (EDI). The analysis is based on two drought monitoring indicators (derived from SPI and EDI), namely, the Drought Duration (DD) and Drought Severity (DS) across the 93 South African Weather Service’s delineated rainfall districts over South Africa from 1980 to 2019. In the study, the Pearson correlation coefficient dissimilarity and periodogram dissimilarity estimates were used. The results indicate a positive correlation for the Pearson correlation coefficient dissimilarity and a positive value for periodogram of dissimilarity in both the DD and DS. With the Pearson correlation coefficient dissimilarity, the study demonstrates that the values of the SPI-1/EDI pair and the SPI-3/EDI pair exhibit the highest similar values for DD, while the SPI-6/EDI pair shows the highest similar values for DS. Moreover, dissimilarities are more obvious in SPI-12/EDI pair for DD and DS. When a periodogram of dissimilarity is used, the values of the SPI-1/EDI pair and SPI-6/EDI pair exhibit the highest similar values for DD, while SPI-1/EDI displayed the highest similar values for DS. Overall, the two measures show that the highest similarity is obtained in the SPI-1/EDI pair for DS. The results obtainable in this study contribute towards an in-depth knowledge of deviation between the EDI and SPI values for South Africa, depicting that these two drought indices values are replaceable in some rainfall districts of South Africa for drought monitoring and prediction, and this is a step towards the selection of the appropriate drought indices.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document