The exploration of machine learning for abnormal prediction model of telecom business support system

Author(s):  
Jen-Hao Chen ◽  
Chao-Wen Huang ◽  
Chia-Chun Shih
Sensors ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (13) ◽  
pp. 4606
Author(s):  
Sunguk Hong ◽  
Cheoljeong Park ◽  
Seongjin Cho

Predicting the rail temperature of a railway system is important for establishing a rail management plan against railway derailment caused by orbital buckling. The rail temperature, which is directly responsible for track buckling, is closely related to air temperature, which continuously increases due to global warming effects. Moreover, railway systems are increasingly installed with continuous welded rails (CWRs) to reduce train vibration and noise. Unfortunately, CWRs are prone to buckling. This study develops a reliable and highly accurate novel model that can predict rail temperature using a machine learning method. To predict rail temperature over the entire network with high-prediction performance, the weather effect and solar effect features are used. These features originate from the analysis of the thermal environment around the rail. Precisely, the presented model has a higher performance for predicting high rail temperature than other models. As a convenient structural health-monitoring application, the train-speed-limit alarm-map (TSLAM) was also proposed, which visually maps the predicted rail-temperature deviations over the entire network for railway safety officers. Combined with TSLAM, our rail-temperature prediction model is expected to improve track safety and train timeliness.


2021 ◽  
Vol 72 ◽  
pp. 110278
Author(s):  
Cheng-Mao Zhou ◽  
Qiong Xue ◽  
Hao-Tian Ye ◽  
Ying Wang ◽  
Jianhua Tong ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (3) ◽  
pp. 408
Author(s):  
Charles Nickmilder ◽  
Anthony Tedde ◽  
Isabelle Dufrasne ◽  
Françoise Lessire ◽  
Bernard Tychon ◽  
...  

Accurate information about the available standing biomass on pastures is critical for the adequate management of grazing and its promotion to farmers. In this paper, machine learning models are developed to predict available biomass expressed as compressed sward height (CSH) from readily accessible meteorological, optical (Sentinel-2) and radar satellite data (Sentinel-1). This study assumed that combining heterogeneous data sources, data transformations and machine learning methods would improve the robustness and the accuracy of the developed models. A total of 72,795 records of CSH with a spatial positioning, collected in 2018 and 2019, were used and aggregated according to a pixel-like pattern. The resulting dataset was split into a training one with 11,625 pixellated records and an independent validation one with 4952 pixellated records. The models were trained with a 19-fold cross-validation. A wide range of performances was observed (with mean root mean square error (RMSE) of cross-validation ranging from 22.84 mm of CSH to infinite-like values), and the four best-performing models were a cubist, a glmnet, a neural network and a random forest. These models had an RMSE of independent validation lower than 20 mm of CSH at the pixel-level. To simulate the behavior of the model in a decision support system, performances at the paddock level were also studied. These were computed according to two scenarios: either the predictions were made at a sub-parcel level and then aggregated, or the data were aggregated at the parcel level and the predictions were made for these aggregated data. The results obtained in this study were more accurate than those found in the literature concerning pasture budgeting and grassland biomass evaluation. The training of the 124 models resulting from the described framework was part of the realization of a decision support system to help farmers in their daily decision making.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jun Miyoshi ◽  
Tsubasa Maeda ◽  
Katsuyoshi Matsuoka ◽  
Daisuke Saito ◽  
Sawako Miyoshi ◽  
...  

AbstractPredicting the response of patients with ulcerative colitis (UC) to a biologic such as vedolizumab (VDZ) before administration is an unmet need for optimizing individual patient treatment. We hypothesized that the machine-learning approach with daily clinical information can be a new, promising strategy for developing a drug-efficacy prediction tool. Random forest with grid search and cross-validation was employed in Cohort 1 to determine the contribution of clinical features at baseline (week 0) to steroid-free clinical remission (SFCR) with VDZ at week 22. Among 49 clinical features including sex, age, height, body weight, BMI, disease duration/phenotype, treatment history, clinical activity, endoscopic activity, and blood test items, the top eight features (partial Mayo score, MCH, BMI, BUN, concomitant use of AZA, lymphocyte fraction, height, and CRP) were selected for logistic regression to develop a prediction model for SFCR at week 22. In the validation using the external Cohort 2, the positive and negative predictive values of the prediction model were 54.5% and 92.3%, respectively. The prediction tool appeared useful for identifying patients with UC who would not achieve SFCR at week 22 during VDZ therapy. This study provides a proof-of-concept that machine learning using real-world data could permit personalized treatment for UC.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document