Air traffic collision risk modelling

Author(s):  
G.J. Bakker ◽  
H.A.P. Blom
2021 ◽  
Vol 278 ◽  
pp. 111484
Author(s):  
Nicholas Horne ◽  
Ross M. Culloch ◽  
Pál Schmitt ◽  
Lilian Lieber ◽  
Ben Wilson ◽  
...  

1997 ◽  
Vol 30 (6) ◽  
pp. 641-645
Author(s):  
Kamel Bouchefra ◽  
Roger Reynaud ◽  
Thierry Maurin

2020 ◽  
pp. 147715352092406 ◽  
Author(s):  
S Fotios ◽  
CJ Robbins ◽  
J Uttley

A recent paper proposed a more precise approach for investigating the impact of ambient light (daylight versus after dark) on road traffic collisions. The present paper first repeated that analysis of road traffic collisions in the UK to test reproducibility; it then extended the analysis to determine whether the greater precision affected the outcome of road traffic collision analyses. Results of the previous analysis were reproduced in terms of the direction of the effect, but the repeated analysis found greater differences between daylight and darkness. The odds ratio determined using the new method led to higher odds ratios than the analyses used in some past studies, suggesting that past studies may have underestimated the detrimental effect of darkness on road traffic collision risk.


2014 ◽  
Vol 1030-1032 ◽  
pp. 2028-2033
Author(s):  
Zhao Ning Zhang ◽  
Hui Qiao ◽  
Ting Ting Lu

Paired departure to closed spaced parallel runways can effectively improve capacity of terminal, and also can solve congestion of busy airport, but it also increases the complexity of air traffic control .For ensuring safety operation of paired departure, the longitudinal collision risk of paired departure to closed spaced parallel runways was studied. Based on the acceleration error distribution and requirements on wake avoidance during paired departure, a longitudinal collision risk safety assessment model of closed spaced parallel runways paired departure was built. The parameters in this model were determined by providing the calculation models. In the end, an example was calculated to verify the model, and it turns out that this model is feasible.


Author(s):  
Henk Blom ◽  
Bert Bakker ◽  
Mariken Everdij ◽  
Marco van der Park

2002 ◽  
Vol 55 (3) ◽  
pp. 363-379 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peter Brooker

This is the second of two papers on Quantitative Safety Assessment – vital to the successful introduction of future Air Traffic Management systems. The focus is en route European controlled commercial traffic, particularly the mid-air collision risk. Part 2 develops soundly based and practical methods for safety assessment. The objective is to determine the key questions and the best ways to answer them. Aspects covered include lessons from Hazard Analysis and Airproxes together with ‘realistic’ risk budgeting. Two abstract concepts are introduced: Position Integrity and Reasonable Intent (essentially the need to be on the ‘right’ flight path), and their implications for risk calculations are discussed.


2021 ◽  
pp. 451-461
Author(s):  
Rohail Qamar ◽  
Raheela Asif ◽  
Pardeep Kumar ◽  
Syed Abbas Ali

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