A Comparative Study on the Individual Stock Price Prediction with the Application of Neural Network Models

Author(s):  
Wenchao Lu ◽  
Wen Ge ◽  
Rong Li ◽  
Lin Yang
2014 ◽  
Vol 5 (4) ◽  
pp. 44-57
Author(s):  
Payam Hanafizadeh ◽  
Ahmad Hashemi

With regard to the importance of behavioral factors on stock price, which has been mentioned by researchers, this study includes four behavioral factors (overconfidence, representativeness, over reaction and under reaction) in addition to fundamental and technical factors as inputs for neural network models to evaluate the effectiveness of these behavioral factors on stock price prediction accuracy of 10 companies of DJIA index. Multi-layer perceptron (MlP) and generalized regression neural networks are used in this research as models to find the best model for each company based on unique characteristics of its own financial data. This study shows the mentioned behavioral factors are effective on accuracy of predictions of 8 out of 10 companies.


Author(s):  
Jimmy Ming-Tai Wu ◽  
Zhongcui Li ◽  
Norbert Herencsar ◽  
Bay Vo ◽  
Jerry Chun-Wei Lin

AbstractIn today’s society, investment wealth management has become a mainstream of the contemporary era. Investment wealth management refers to the use of funds by investors to arrange funds reasonably, for example, savings, bank financial products, bonds, stocks, commodity spots, real estate, gold, art, and many others. Wealth management tools manage and assign families, individuals, enterprises, and institutions to achieve the purpose of increasing and maintaining value to accelerate asset growth. Among them, in investment and financial management, people’s favorite product of investment often stocks, because the stock market has great advantages and charm, especially compared with other investment methods. More and more scholars have developed methods of prediction from multiple angles for the stock market. According to the feature of financial time series and the task of price prediction, this article proposes a new framework structure to achieve a more accurate prediction of the stock price, which combines Convolution Neural Network (CNN) and Long–Short-Term Memory Neural Network (LSTM). This new method is aptly named stock sequence array convolutional LSTM (SACLSTM). It constructs a sequence array of historical data and its leading indicators (options and futures), and uses the array as the input image of the CNN framework, and extracts certain feature vectors through the convolutional layer and the layer of pooling, and as the input vector of LSTM, and takes ten stocks in U.S.A and Taiwan as the experimental data. Compared with previous methods, the prediction performance of the proposed algorithm in this article leads to better results when compared directly.


2017 ◽  
Vol 32 (1) ◽  
pp. 83-103 ◽  
Author(s):  
Muhammad Shoaib ◽  
Asaad Y. Shamseldin ◽  
Sher Khan ◽  
Mudasser Muneer Khan ◽  
Zahid Mahmood Khan ◽  
...  

Author(s):  
G. A. Rekha Pai ◽  
G. A. Vijayalakshmi Pai

Industrial bankruptcy is a rampant problem which does not occur overnight and when it occurs can cause acute financial embarrassment to Governments and financial institutions as well as threaten the very viability of the firms. It is therefore essential to help industries identify the impending trouble early. Several statistical and soft computing based bankruptcy prediction models that make use of financial ratios as indicators have been proposed. Majority of these models make use of a selective set of financial ratios chosen according to some appropriate criteria framed by the individual investigators. In contrast, this study considers any number of financial ratios irrespective of the industrial category and size and makes use of Principal Component Analysis to extract their principal components, to be used as predictors, thereby dispensing with the cumbersome selection procedures used by its predecessors. An Evolutionary Neural Network (ENN) and a Backpropagation Neural Network with Levenberg Marquardt’s training rule (BPN) have been employed as classifiers and their performance has been compared using Receiver Operating Characteristics (ROC) analyses. Termed PCA-ENN and PCA-BPN models, the predictive potential of the two models have been analyzed over a financial database (1997-2000) pertaining to 34 sick and 38 non sick Indian manufacturing companies, with 21 financial ratios as predictor variables.


Author(s):  
RAYMOND S. T. LEE ◽  
JAMES N. K. LIU

Financial prediction is one of the most typical applications in contemporary scientific study. In this paper, we present a fully integrated stock prediction system – NORN Predictor – a Neural Oscillatory-based Recurrent Network for finance prediction system to provide both a) long-term trend prediction, and b) short-term stock price prediction. One of the major characteristics of the proposed system is the automation of the conventional financial technical analysis technique such as market pattern analysis via the NOEGM (Neural Oscillatory-based Elastic Graph Matching) model and its integration with the Time-difference recurrent neural network models. This will provide a fully integrated and automated tool for analysis and investigation of stock investment. From the implementation point of view, the stock pricing information of 33 major Hong Kong stocks in the period from 1990 to 1999 is being adopted for system training and evaluation. As compared with the contemporary neural prediction model, the proposed system has achieved challenging results in terms of efficiency and accuracy.


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