Establish of fuzzy synthetic evaluation model and China coal mine safety risk analysis system

Author(s):  
Shuqiu Dai ◽  
Zhongguang Sun ◽  
Lan Zhang ◽  
Qisen Zhou ◽  
Yong Li
Complexity ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-9
Author(s):  
Xue Yang ◽  
Yang Tian ◽  
Kai Feng ◽  
Juan Yang ◽  
Shu-hui Zhang ◽  
...  

The main cause of coal mine safety accidents is the unsafe behavior of miners who are affected by their emotional state. Therefore, the implementation of effective emotional supervision is important for achieving the sustainable development of coal mining enterprises in China. Assuming rational players, a signaling game between miners (emotion-driven and judgement-driven) and managers is established from the perspective of Affective Events Theory in order to examine the impact of managers’ emotions on coal miners’ behavior; it analyzes the players’ strategy selections as well as the factors influencing the equilibrium states. The results show that the safety risk deposits paid by managers and the costs of emotion-driven miners disguising any negative emotions affect equilibrium. Under the separating equilibrium state, the emotional supervision system faces “the paradox of almost totally safe systems” and will be broken; the emotion-driven miners disguising any negative emotions will be permitted to work in the coal mine, creating a safety risk. Under the pooling equilibrium state, strong economic constraints, such as setting suitable safety risk deposits, may achieve effective emotional supervision of the miners, reducing the safety risk. The results are verified against a case study of the China Pingmei Shenma Group. Therefore, setting a suitable safety risk deposit to improve emotional supervision and creating punitive measures to prevent miners from disguising any negative emotions can reduce the number of coal mine safety accidents in China.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-12
Author(s):  
Zhenming Sun ◽  
Dong Li

Gas safety evaluation has always been vital for coal mine safety management. To enhance the accuracy of coal mine gas safety evaluation results, a new gas safety evaluation model is proposed based on the adaptive weighted least squares support vector machine (AWLS-SVM) and improved Dempster–Shafer (D-S) evidence theory. The AWLS-SVM is used to calculate the sensor value at the evaluation time, and the D-S evidence theory is used to evaluate the safety status. First, the sensor data of gas concentration, wind speed, dust, and temperature were obtained from the coal mine safety monitoring system, and the prediction results of sensor data are obtained using the AWLS-SVM; hence, the prediction results would be the input of the evaluation model. Second, because the basic probability assignment (BPA) function is the basis of D-S evidence theory calculation, the BPA function of each sensor is determined using the posterior probability modeling method, and the similarity is introduced for optimization. Then, regarding the problem of fusion failure in D-S evidence theory when fusing high-conflict evidence, using the idea of assigning weights, the importance of each evidence is allocated to weaken the effect of conflicting evidence on the evaluation results. To prevent the loss of the effective information of the original evidence followed by modifying the evidence source, a conflict allocation coefficient is introduced based on fusion rules. Ultimately, taking Qing Gang Ping coal mine located in Shaanxi province as the study area, a gas safety evaluation example analysis is performed for the assessment model developed in this paper. The results indicate that the similarity measures can effectively eliminate high-conflict evidence sources. Moreover, the accuracy of D-S evidence theory based on enhanced fusion rules is improved compared to the D-S evidence theory in terms of the modified evidence sources and the original D-S evidence theory. Since more sensors are fused, the evaluation results have higher accuracy. Furthermore, the multisensor data evaluation results are enhanced compared to the single sensor evaluation outcomes.


2012 ◽  
Vol 524-527 ◽  
pp. 426-430
Author(s):  
Gang Xu ◽  
Yang Ding ◽  
Tian Jun Zhang

Coal mine safety assessment is an important ways for identification and elimination of danger in coal mine production systems. This paper introduce D-S evidence theory in evaluation of coal mine safety to solve the uncertainty problem of randomicity and faintness in evaluation of coal mine safety. The evaluation model of coal mine safety is set up based on evidence theory and the detailed arithmetic of evidence theory is brought forward, and according to some decision making rule the Chaohua Coal Mine has been evaluated. The results show that the model can solve the problem of uncertainty preferable and evaluation results with more accuracy and reliability.


2014 ◽  
Vol 68 ◽  
pp. 146-152 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jiqiang Chen ◽  
Litao Ma ◽  
Chao Wang ◽  
Hong Zhang ◽  
Minghu Ha

2014 ◽  
Vol 556-562 ◽  
pp. 4638-4642
Author(s):  
Cheng Lin Pan ◽  
Zhen Hong Yang ◽  
Xiao Fang He

Based on the uncertainty measurement theory, considering evaluation indexes of monitoring, personnel positioning, emergency actions, compressed air self-help, water rescue and communication, a mining emergency combat capability evaluation model is built to solve the difficulty of non-coal mine safety evaluation. This model is proposed to many uncertainty factors of safety evaluation of non-coal mine, according to the actual situation, carries on quantitative analysis, calculates indexes’weight, conducts grade decision by confidence identification criteria, then derives results of non-coal mine safety evaluation. This method is used to evaluate a certain six systems of non-coal mine. Compared with expert appraisal conclusion, the result shows consistency, therefore uncertainty measurement model is reasonable.


2011 ◽  
Vol 71-78 ◽  
pp. 4868-4871
Author(s):  
Zhang Lin Guo ◽  
Qing Ke Song ◽  
Jun E Liu

An effective and general model — projection pursuit clustering model is proposed in this paper. It can solve the incompatible problems of indexes of safety evaluation,which are uncertain,fuzzy and complex. At the same time, it improves the recognition rate of the coal mine safety evaluation model. It uses genetic algorithms to find optimal solutions for the model, the information of which can be used to research the influence of all the indexes on the evaluation of coal mine safety. The paper clusters the safety level of each coal mine according to each projection value, which provides the objective basis for decision-making of the evaluation of coal mine safety. This paper combining with the example demonstrates operation process. It also proves the method is scientific and feasible, which is of significance of coal mine safety evaluation.


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