Genetic Algorithm-Based RBF Neural Network Load Forecasting Model

Author(s):  
Yang Zhangang ◽  
Che Yanbo ◽  
K. W. Eric Cheng

Power system load is a stochastic and non-stationary process. Due to the influence of various factors, some bad data may exist in the load observation value. These data are mixed into the normal load data to participate in the training of neural network, which seriously affects the accuracy of load forecasting. Short-term load forecasting is the basis of power system operation and analysis, improving the precision of load forecasting is an important means to ensure the scientific decision-making of power system optimization. In order to improve the precision of short term load forecasting in power system, a short-term load forecasting model based on genetic algorithm is proposed to optimize BP neural network. Firstly, using genetic algorithm to optimize the initial weights and thresholds of BP neural network to improve the prediction accuracy of BP neural network; Through the comparison and analysis before and after the model optimization, the experimental results with smaller prediction error were obtained. The simulation results show that the short-term load forecasting model established by this method has faster convergence rate and higher prediction precision.


Author(s):  
Renqiang Wang ◽  
Qinrong Li ◽  
Shengze Miao ◽  
Keyin Miao ◽  
Hua Deng

Abstract: The purpose of this paper was to design an intelligent controller of ship motion based on sliding mode control with a Radial Basis Function (RBF) neural network optimized by the genetic algorithm and expansion observer. First, the improved genetic algorithm based on the distributed genetic algorithm with adaptive fitness and adaptive mutation was used to automatically optimize the RBF neural network. Then, with the compensation designed by the RBF neural network, anti-saturation control was realized. Additionally, the intelligent control algorithm was introduced by Sliding Mode Control (SMC) with the stability theory. A comparative study of sliding mode control integrated with the RBF neural network and proportional–integral–derivative control combined with the fuzzy optimization model showed that the stabilization time of the intelligent control system was 43.75% faster and the average overshoot was reduced by 52% compared with the previous two attempts. Background: It was known that the Proportional-Integral-Derivative (PID) control and self-adaptation control cannot really solve the problems of frequent disturbance from external wind and waves, as well as the problems with ship nonlinearity and input saturation. So, the previous ship motion controller should be transformed by advanced intelligent technology, on the basis of referring to the latest relevant patent design methods. Objective: An intelligent controller of ship motion was designed based on optimized Radial Basis Function Neural Network (RBFNN) in the presence of non-linearity, uncertainty, and limited input. Methods: The previous ship motion controller was remodeled based on Sliding Mode Control (SMC) with RBFNN optimized by improved genetic algorithm and expansion observer. The intelligent control algorithm integrated with genetic neural network solved the problem of system model uncertainty, limited control input, and external interference. Distributed genetic with adaptive fitness and adaptive mutation method guaranteed the adequacy of search and the global optimal convergence results, which enhanced the approximation ability of RBFNN. With the compensation designed by the optimized RBFNN, it was realized anti-saturation control. The chattering caused by external disturbance in SMC controller was reduced by the expansion observer. Results: A comparative study with RBFNN-SMC control and fuzzy-PID control, the stabilization time of the intelligent control system was 43.75% faster, the average overshoot was reduced by 52%, compared to the previous two attempts. Conclusion: The intelligent control algorithm succeed in dealing with the problems of nonlinearity, uncertainty, input saturation, and external interference. The intelligent control algorithm can be applied into research and development ship steering system, which would be created a new patent.


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