Multivariate Time Series Traffic Forecast with Long Short Term Memory based Deep Learning Model

Author(s):  
B Praveen Kumar ◽  
K. Hariharan
Author(s):  
Pablo F. Ordoñez-Ordoñez ◽  
Martha C. Suntaxi Sarango ◽  
Cristian Narváez ◽  
Maria del Cisne Ruilova Sánchez ◽  
Mario Enrique Cueva-Hurtado

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (6) ◽  
pp. 2848
Author(s):  
Pengfei Zhang ◽  
Fenghua Li ◽  
Lidong Du ◽  
Rongjian Zhao ◽  
Xianxiang Chen ◽  
...  

To satisfy the need to accurately monitor emotional stress, this paper explores the effectiveness of the attention mechanism based on the deep learning model CNN (Convolutional Neural Networks)-BiLSTM (Bi-directional Long Short-Term Memory) As different attention mechanisms can cause the framework to focus on different positions of the feature map, this discussion adds attention mechanisms to the CNN layer and the BiLSTM layer separately, and to both the CNN layer and BiLSTM layer simultaneously to generate different CNN–BiLSTM networks with attention mechanisms. ECG (electrocardiogram) data from 34 subjects were collected on the server platform created by the Institute of Psychology of the Chinese Academy of Science and the researches. It verifies that the average accuracy of CNN–BiLSTM is up to 0.865 without any attention mechanism, while the highest average accuracy of 0.868 is achieved using the CNN–attention–based BiLSTM.


Atmosphere ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (7) ◽  
pp. 924
Author(s):  
Moslem Imani ◽  
Hoda Fakour ◽  
Wen-Hau Lan ◽  
Huan-Chin Kao ◽  
Chi Ming Lee ◽  
...  

Despite the great significance of precisely forecasting the wind speed for development of the new and clean energy technology and stable grid operators, the stochasticity of wind speed makes the prediction a complex and challenging task. For improving the security and economic performance of power grids, accurate short-term wind power forecasting is crucial. In this paper, a deep learning model (Long Short-term Memory (LSTM)) has been proposed for wind speed prediction. Knowing that wind speed time series is nonlinear stochastic, the mutual information (MI) approach was used to find the best subset from the data by maximizing the joint MI between subset and target output. To enhance the accuracy and reduce input characteristics and data uncertainties, rough set and interval type-2 fuzzy set theory are combined in the proposed deep learning model. Wind speed data from an international airport station in the southern coast of Iran Bandar-Abbas City was used as the original input dataset for the optimized deep learning model. Based on the statistical results, the rough set LSTM (RST-LSTM) model showed better prediction accuracy than fuzzy and original LSTM, as well as traditional neural networks, with the lowest error for training and testing datasets in different time horizons. The suggested model can support the optimization of the control approach and the smooth procedure of power system. The results confirm the superior capabilities of deep learning techniques for wind speed forecasting, which could also inspire new applications in meteorology assessment.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pradeep Lall ◽  
Tony Thomas ◽  
Ken Blecker

Abstract Prognostics and Remaining Useful Life (RUL) estimations of complex systems are essential to operational safety, increased efficiency, and help to schedule maintenance proactively. Modeling the remaining useful life of a system with many complexities is possible with the rapid development in the field of deep learning as a computational technique for failure prediction. Deep learning can adapt to multivariate parameters complex and nonlinear behavior, which is difficult using traditional time-series models for forecasting and prediction purposes. In this paper, a deep learning approach based on Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network is used to predict the remaining useful life of the PCB at different conditions of temperature and vibration. This technique can identify the different underlying patterns in the time series that can predict the RUL. This study involves feature vector identification and RUL estimations for SAC305, SAC105, and Tin Lead solder PCBs under different vibration levels and temperature conditions. The acceleration levels of vibration are fixed at 5g and 10g, while the temperature levels are 55°C and 100°C. The test board is a multilayer FR4 configuration with JEDEC standard dimensions consists of twelve packages arranged in a rectangular pattern. Strain signals are acquired from the backside of the PCB at symmetric locations to identify the failure of all the packages during vibration. The strain signals are resistance values that are acquired simultaneously during the experiment until the failure of most of the packages on the board. The feature vectors are identified from statistical analysis on the strain signals frequency and instantaneous frequency components. The principal component analysis is used as a data reduction technique to identify the different patterns produced from the four strain signals with failures of the packages during vibration. LSTM deep learning method is used to model the RUL of the packages at different individual operating conditions of vibration for all three solder materials involved in this study. A combined model for RUL prediction for a material that can take care of the changes in the operating conditions is also modeled for each material.


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