Predicting Long-Term Wind Speed in Wind Farms of Northeast Brazil: A Comparative Analysis Through Machine Learning Models

2020 ◽  
Vol 18 (11) ◽  
pp. 2011-2018
Author(s):  
Matheus Paula ◽  
Colnago Marilaine ◽  
Fidalgo Jose Nuno ◽  
Casaca Wallace
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Comparative Analysis ◽  
Wind Speed ◽  
Wind Farms ◽  
Northeast Brazil ◽  
Learning Models ◽  
Machine Learning Models

scholarly journals "Smart Tanks": An Intelligent High-Throughput Intervention Testing Platform in Daphnia

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yongmin Cho ◽  
Rachael A Jonas-Closs ◽  
Lev Y Yampolsky ◽  
Marc W Kirschner ◽  
Leonid Peshkin
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Chronological Age ◽  
Complex Behavior ◽  
Learning Models ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Health Span ◽  
Response Profile ◽  
Automated Phenotyping ◽  
Machine Learning Models

We present a novel platform for testing the effect of interventions on life- and health-span of a short-lived semi transparent freshwater organism, sensitive to drugs with complex behavior and physiology - the planktonic crustacean Daphnia magna. Within this platform, dozens of complex behavioural features of both routine motion and response to stimuli are continuously accurately quantified for large homogeneous cohorts via an automated phenotyping pipeline. We build predictive machine learning models calibrated using chronological age and extrapolate onto phenotypic age. We further apply the model to estimate the phenotypic age under pharmacological perturbation. Our platform provides a scalable framework for drug screening and characterization in both life-long and instant assays as illustrated using long term dose response profile of metformin and short term assay of such well-studied substances as caffeine and alcohol.

scholarly journals Data-Driven Approach for Predicting and Explaining the Risk of Long-Term Unemployment

2020 ◽  
Vol 214 ◽  
pp. 01023
Author(s):  
Linan (Frank) Zhao
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Age Groups ◽  
Learning Models ◽  
Public Authorities ◽  
Ensemble Machine Learning ◽  
European Public ◽  
Data Driven Approach ◽  
Using Data ◽  
Machine Learning Models

Long-term unemployment has significant societal impact and is of particular concerns for policymakers with regard to economic growth and public finances. This paper constructs advanced ensemble machine learning models to predict citizens’ risks of becoming long-term unemployed using data collected from European public authorities for employment service. The proposed model achieves 81.2% accuracy on identifying citizens with high risks of long-term unemployment. This paper also examines how to dissect black-box machine learning models by offering explanations at both a local and global level using SHAP, a state-of-the-art model-agnostic approach to explain factors that contribute to long-term unemployment. Lastly, this paper addresses an under-explored question when applying machine learning in the public domain, that is, the inherent bias in model predictions. The results show that popular models such as gradient boosted trees may produce unfair predictions against senior age groups and immigrants. Overall, this paper sheds light on the recent increasing shift for governments to adopt machine learning models to profile and prioritize employment resources to reduce the detrimental effects of long-term unemployment and improve public welfare.

scholarly journals Reducing error propagation for long term energy forecasting using multivariate prediction

10.29007/mbb7 ◽  
2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maher Selim ◽  
Ryan Zhou ◽  
Wenying Feng ◽  
Omar Alam
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Learning Models ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Energy Forecasting ◽  
Opposite Behavior ◽  
Multivariate Prediction ◽  
Term Energy ◽  
Short And Long Term ◽  
Machine Learning Models

Many statistical and machine learning models for prediction make use of historical data as an input and produce single or small numbers of output values. To forecast over many timesteps, it is necessary to run the program recursively. This leads to a compounding of errors, which has adverse effects on accuracy for long forecast periods. In this paper, we show this can be mitigated through the addition of generating features which can have an “anchoring” effect on recurrent forecasts, limiting the amount of compounded error in the long term. This is studied experimentally on a benchmark energy dataset using two machine learning models LSTM and XGBoost. Prediction accuracy over differing forecast lengths is compared using the forecasting MAPE. It is found that for LSTM model the accuracy of short term energy forecasting by using a past energy consumption value as a feature is higher than the accuracy when not using past values as a feature. The opposite behavior takes place for the long term energy forecasting. For the XGBoost model, the accuracy for both short and long term energy forecasting is higher when not using past values as a feature.

scholarly journals A Comparative Analysis of Machine Learning Algorithms in Design Process of Adaptive Traffic Signal Control System

2022 ◽  
Vol 2161 (1) ◽  
pp. 012054
Author(s):  
R M Savithramma ◽  
R Sumathi ◽  
H S Sudhira
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Comparative Analysis ◽  
Regression Tree ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Signal Control ◽  
Traffic Signal Control ◽  
Suitable Model ◽  
Traffic Classification ◽  
Learning Models ◽  
Machine Learning Models

Abstract In recent decades machine learning technology has proved its efficiency in most sectors by making human life easier. With this popularity and efficiency, it is applied to design traffic signal control systems to mitigate traffic congestion and distribute waiting delays. Hence, many researchers around the world are working to address this issue. As a part of the solution, this article presents a comparative analysis of various machine learning models to come up with a suitable model for an isolated intersection. In this context, eight machine learning models including Linear Regression, Ridge, Lasso, Support Vector Regression, k-Nearest Neighbour, Decision Tree, Random Forest, and Gradient Boosting Regression Tree are selected. Shivakumara Swamiji Circle (SSC), one of the intersections in Tumakuru, Karnataka, India is selected as a case study area. Essential data is collected from SSC through videography. The selected models are developed to predict green time based on traffic classification and volume in Passenger Car Units (PCU) for each phase on the PyCharm platform. The models are evaluated based on various performance metrics. Results revealed that all the selected models predict green splits with 91% accuracy using traffic classification as input, whereas, models showed 85% accuracy with PCU as input. And also, Gradient Boosting Regression Tree is the best suitable model for the selected intersection, whereas, Decision Tree is not referred model for this application.

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