Combining maximum likelihood estimation and LSTM neural network to forecast reliability distributions: a study based on real data from the sugar-energy sector

2022 ◽  
Vol 20 (4) ◽  
pp. 608-615
Author(s):  
Guilherme Hering Scavariello ◽  
Ailson Renan Santos Picanco ◽  
Cristiano Torezzan
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Maximum Likelihood Estimation ◽  
Likelihood Estimation ◽  
Real Data ◽  
Energy Sector

Failure rate analysis of jaw crusher using Weibull model

2016 ◽  
Vol 231 (4) ◽  
pp. 760-772 ◽  
Author(s):  
RS Sinha ◽  
AK Mukhopadhyay
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Monte Carlo Simulation ◽  
Monte Carlo ◽  
Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Maximum Likelihood Estimation ◽  
Weibull Distribution ◽  
Likelihood Estimation ◽  
Jaw Crusher ◽  
Two Parameter

The primary crusher is essential equipment employed for comminuting the mineral in processing plants. Any kind of failure of its components will accordingly hinder the performance of the plant. Therefore, to minimize sudden failures, analysis should be undertaken to improve performance and operational reliability of the crushers and its components. This paper considers the methods for analyzing failure rates of a jaw crusher and its critical components application of a two-parameter Weibull distribution in a mineral processing plant fitted using statistical tests such as goodness of fit and maximum likelihood estimation. Monte Carlo simulation, analysis of variance, and artificial neural network are also applied. Two-parameter Weibull distribution is found to be the best fit distribution using Kolmogorov–Smirnov test. Maximum likelihood estimation method is used to find out the shape and scale parameter of two-parameter Weibull distribution. Monte Carlo simulation generates 40 numbers of shape parameters, scale parameters, and time. Further, 40 numbers of Weibull distribution parameters are evaluated to examine the failure rate, significant difference, and regression coefficient using ANOVA. Artificial neural network with back-propagation algorithm is used to determine R2 and is compared with analysis of variance.

scholarly journals The Marshall-Olkin Extended Power Lomax Distribution with Applications

2020 ◽  
pp. 331-341
Author(s):  
JIJU GILLARIOSE ◽  
Lishamol Tomy
Keyword(s):  
Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Maximum Likelihood Estimation ◽  
Simulated Data ◽  
Likelihood Estimation ◽  
Real Data ◽  
Limiting Distributions ◽  
Lomax Distribution ◽  
New Distribution ◽  
Extended Power

In this article, we dened a new four-parameter model called Marshall-Olkin extended power Lomax distribution and studied its properties. Limiting distributions of sample maxima and sample minima are derived. The reliability of a system when both stress and strength follows the new distribution is discussed and associated characteristics are computed for simulated data. Finally, utilizing maximum likelihood estimation, the goodness of the distribution is tested for real data.

Topp–Leone Linear Exponential Distribution

2018 ◽  
Vol 33 (1) ◽  
pp. 31-43
Author(s):  
Bol A. M. Atem ◽  
Suleman Nasiru ◽  
Kwara Nantomah
Keyword(s):  
Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Maximum Likelihood Estimation ◽  
Exponential Distribution ◽  
Likelihood Estimation ◽  
Real Data ◽  
Simulation Studies ◽  
Finite Sample ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Finite Sample Properties ◽  
Linear Exponential Distribution

Abstract This article studies the properties of the Topp–Leone linear exponential distribution. The parameters of the new model are estimated using maximum likelihood estimation, and simulation studies are performed to examine the finite sample properties of the parameters. An application of the model is demonstrated using a real data set. Finally, a bivariate extension of the model is proposed.

scholarly journals Cubic Transformation of Exponential Weibull and its Statistical Properties

2020 ◽  
pp. 39-50
Author(s):  
Haiyue Wang ◽  
Zhenhua Bao
Keyword(s):  
Parameter Estimation ◽  
Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Maximum Likelihood Estimation ◽  
Weibull Distribution ◽  
Likelihood Estimation ◽  
Real Data ◽  
Statistical Properties ◽  
Reasoning Process ◽  
The Family

In this paper, a cubic transformation exponential Weibull distribution is proposed by using the family of cubic transformation distributions introduced by Rahman et al.The reasoning process of the proposed cubic transformation exponential Weibull distribution is discussed in detail, and its statistical properties and parameter estimation are also discussed.Using real data, the maximum likelihood estimation is used to simulate. Through the comparison of fitting results, it is concluded that the cubic transformation exponential Weibull distribution proposed in this paper has stronger applicability.

scholarly journals The Burr X Fréchet Model for Extreme Values: Mathematical Properties, Classical Inference and Bayesian Analysis

2019 ◽  
pp. 797-818 ◽  
Author(s):  
Haitham Yousof ◽  
S. Jahanshahi ◽  
Vikas Kumar Sharma
Keyword(s):  
Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Maximum Likelihood Estimation ◽  
Extreme Values ◽  
Likelihood Estimation ◽  
Real Data ◽  
Mcmc Methods ◽  
Bayes Estimators ◽  
Mathematical Properties ◽  
Asymptotic Confidence Intervals ◽  
Classical Inference

In this paper, we investigate a new model based on Burr X and Fréchet distribution forextreme values and derive some of its properties. Maximum likelihood estimation alongwith asymptotic confidence intervals is considered for estimating the parameters of thedistribution. We demonstrate empirically the flexibility of the distribution in modelingvarious types of real data. Furthermore, we also provide Bayes estimators and highestposterior density intervals of the parameters of the distribution using Markov ChainMonte Carlo (MCMC) methods.

scholarly journals Scalable Bias-corrected Linkage Disequilibrium Estimation Under Genotype Uncertainty

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Gerard
Keyword(s):  
Linkage Disequilibrium ◽  
Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Maximum Likelihood Estimation ◽  
Maximum Likelihood Estimators ◽  
Likelihood Estimation ◽  
Real Data ◽  
Standard Errors ◽  
Posterior Distributions ◽  
Posterior Mean ◽  
Genome Wide

AbstractLinkage disequilibrium (LD) estimates are often calculated genome-wide for use in many tasks, such as SNP pruning and LD decay estimation. However, in the presence of genotype uncertainty, naive approaches to calculating LD have extreme attenuation biases, incorrectly suggesting that SNPs are less dependent than in reality. These biases are particularly strong in polyploid organisms, which often exhibit greater levels of genotype uncertainty than diploids. A principled approach using maximum likelihood estimation with genotype likelihoods can reduce this bias, but is prohibitively slow for genome-wide applications. Here, we present scalable moment-based adjustments to LD estimates based on the marginal posterior distributions of the genotypes. We demonstrate, on both simulated and real data, that these moment-based estimators are as accurate as maximum likelihood estimators, and are almost as fast as naive approaches based only on posterior mean genotypes. This opens up bias-corrected LD estimation to genome-wide applications. Additionally, we provide standard errors for these moment-based estimators. All methods are implemented in the ldsep package on the Comprehensive R Archive Network https://cran.r-project.org/package=ldsep.

scholarly journals Estimation of Weibull parameters using artificial neural network

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Md. Sujauddin Mallick
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Maximum Likelihood Estimation ◽  
Weibull Distribution ◽  
Test Data ◽  
Mathematical Formulation ◽  
Estimation Method ◽  
Likelihood Estimation ◽  
Time To Failure ◽  
Data Set

Weibull distribution is an important distribution in the field of reliability. In this distribution usually there are two parameters. The usual parameter estimation method is maximum likelihood estimation. Maximum likelihood estimation requires mathematical formulation and prior assumption. Non parametric method such as neural network does not require prior assumption and mathematical formulation. They need data to formulate the model. In this report feed forward neural network with back propagation is used to estimate the parameters of a two-parameter Weibull distribution based on four Scenarios. The Scenario consists of training and test data set. Training and test data set generated through simulated time to failure events using wblrnd function in MATLAB. The input to the network is time to failure, and the output is shape and scale parameters. The network is trained and tested using trainbr algorithm in MATLAB. The network performed better on Scenario 2 which has the larger number of training examples of shape and scale.

scholarly journals The Exponentiated Burr XII Power Series Distribution: Properties and Applications

Stats ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 15-31
Author(s):  
Arslan Nasir ◽  
Haitham Yousof ◽  
Farrukh Jamal ◽  
Mustafa Korkmaz
Keyword(s):  
Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Maximum Likelihood Estimation ◽  
Power Series ◽  
Likelihood Estimation ◽  
Real Data ◽  
Estimation Procedure ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Power Series Distributions ◽  
New Distribution

In this work, we introduce a new Burr XII power series class of distributions, which is obtained by compounding exponentiated Burr XII and power series distributions and has a strong physical motivation. The new distribution contains several important lifetime models. We derive explicit expressions for the ordinary and incomplete moments and generating functions. We discuss the maximum likelihood estimation of the model parameters. The maximum likelihood estimation procedure is presented. We assess the performance of the maximum likelihood estimators in terms of biases, standard deviations, and mean square of errors by means of two simulation studies. The usefulness of the new model is illustrated by means of three real data sets. The new proposed models provide consistently better fits than other competitive models for these data sets.

scholarly journals Generalizations of Burr Type X Distribution with Applications

2020 ◽  
pp. 1-8
Author(s):  
Noor Akma Ibrahim ◽  
Mundher Abdullah Khaleel
Keyword(s):  
Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Maximum Likelihood Estimation ◽  
Density Function ◽  
Likelihood Estimation ◽  
Real Data ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Lifetime Data ◽  
Simulation Studies ◽  
Cumulative Density Function ◽  
Two Parameters

We propose the generalizations of Burr Type X distribution with two parameters by using the methods of Beta-G, Gamma-G and Weibull-G families of distributions. We discuss maximum likelihood estimation of the model’s parameters. The performances of the parameter’s estimates are assessed via simulation studies under different sets of conditions. In the applications to real data sets, three sets of data are used whereby from the results we can deduce that these models can be used quite effectively in analysing lifetime data. Keywords: cumulative density function; lifetime data; maximum likelihood estimation

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document