SIMPLE COAGULATION TESTS IMPROVE EARLY MORTALITY PREDICTION IN ICU PATIENTS WITH SEPTIC SHOCK

2007 ◽  
Vol 5 ◽  
pp. P-M-230-P-M-230
Author(s):  
G. Lissalde-Lavigne ◽  
C. Combescures ◽  
E. Dorangeon ◽  
L. Muller ◽  
C. Bengler ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Septic Shock ◽  
Mortality Prediction ◽  
Early Mortality ◽  
Icu Patients ◽  
Coagulation Tests

scholarly journals Development of a New Score for Early Mortality Prediction in Trauma ICU patients. RETRASCORE

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Luis Serviá ◽  
Juan Antonio Llompart-Pou ◽  
Mario Chico-Fernández ◽  
Neus Montserrat ◽  
Mariona Badia ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Mortality Prediction ◽  
Early Mortality ◽  
Icu Patients ◽  
Internal Validation ◽  
Predicted Probability ◽  
Severity Scores ◽  
Validation Set ◽  
Unilateral Mydriasis ◽  
Hemodynamic Failure ◽  
Specific Score

Abstract BackgroundSeverity scores are commonly used for outcome adjustment and benchmarking of trauma care provided. No specific models performed only with critically ill patients are available. Our objective was to develop a new score for early mortality prediction in trauma ICU patients.MethodsRetrospective study using the Spanish Trauma ICU registry (RETRAUCI) 2015-2019. Patients were divided and analysed into the derivation (2015-2017) and validation sets (2018-2019). We used as candidate variables to be associated with mortality those available in RETRAUCI that could be collected in the first 24 hours after ICU admission. Using logistic regression methodology, a simple score (RETRASCORE) was created with points assigned to each selected variable. The performance of the model was carried out according to global measures, discrimination and calibration.ResultsThe analysis included 9465 patients. Derivation set 5976 and validation set 3489. Thirty-day mortality was 12.2%. The predicted probability of 30-day mortality was determined by the following equation: 1 / (1+exp (-y)), where y=0.598 (Age 50–65) + 1.239 (Age 66–75) + 2.198 (Age > 75) + 0.349 (PRECOAG) + 0.336 (Pre-hospital intubation) + 0.662 (High risk mechanism) + 0.950 (unilateral mydriasis) + 3.217 (bilateral mydriasis) + 0.841 (Glasgow ≤ 8) + 0.495 (MAIS-Head) - 0.271 (MAIS-Thorax) + 1.148 (Hemodynamic failure) + 0.708 (Respiratory failure) + 0.567 (Coagulopathy) + 0.580 (Mechanical ventilation) + 0.452 (Massive haemorrhage) - 5.432. The AUROC was 0.913 (0.903-0.923) in the derivation set and 0.929 (0.918-0.940) in the validation set.ConclusionsThe newly developed RETRASCORE is an early, easy-to-calculate and specific score to predict in-hospital mortality in trauma ICU patients. Although it has achieved adequate internal validation, it must be externally validated.

scholarly journals Development of a new score for early mortality prediction in trauma ICU patients: RETRASCORE

Critical Care ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 25 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Luis Serviá ◽  
Juan Antonio Llompart-Pou ◽  
Mario Chico-Fernández ◽  
Neus Montserrat ◽  
Mariona Badia ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Mechanical Ventilation ◽  
Mortality Prediction ◽  
Early Mortality ◽  
Icu Patients ◽  
Internal Validation ◽  
Predicted Probability ◽  
Severity Scores ◽  
Validation Set ◽  
Unilateral Mydriasis ◽  
Specific Score

Abstract Background Severity scores are commonly used for outcome adjustment and benchmarking of trauma care provided. No specific models performed only with critically ill patients are available. Our objective was to develop a new score for early mortality prediction in trauma ICU patients. Methods This is a retrospective study using the Spanish Trauma ICU registry (RETRAUCI) 2015–2019. Patients were divided and analysed into the derivation (2015–2017) and validation sets (2018–2019). We used as candidate variables to be associated with mortality those available in RETRAUCI that could be collected in the first 24 h after ICU admission. Using logistic regression methodology, a simple score (RETRASCORE) was created with points assigned to each selected variable. The performance of the model was carried out according to global measures, discrimination and calibration. Results The analysis included 9465 patients: derivation set 5976 and validation set 3489. Thirty-day mortality was 12.2%. The predicted probability of 30-day mortality was determined by the following equation: 1/(1 + exp (− y)), where y = 0.598 (Age 50–65) + 1.239 (Age 66–75) + 2.198 (Age > 75) + 0.349 (PRECOAG) + 0.336 (Pre-hospital intubation) + 0.662 (High-risk mechanism) + 0.950 (unilateral mydriasis) + 3.217 (bilateral mydriasis) + 0.841 (Glasgow ≤ 8) + 0.495 (MAIS-Head) − 0.271 (MAIS-Thorax) + 1.148 (Haemodynamic failure) + 0.708 (Respiratory failure) + 0.567 (Coagulopathy) + 0.580 (Mechanical ventilation) + 0.452 (Massive haemorrhage) − 5.432. The AUROC was 0.913 (0.903–0.923) in the derivation set and 0.929 (0.918–0.940) in the validation set. Conclusions The newly developed RETRASCORE is an early, easy-to-calculate and specific score to predict in-hospital mortality in trauma ICU patients. Although it has achieved adequate internal validation, it must be externally validated.

scholarly journals Mortality prediction using a novel combination of biomarkers in the first day of sepsis in intensive care units

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Junkun Liu ◽  
Chengwen Bai ◽  
Binbin Li ◽  
Aijun Shan ◽  
Fei Shi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Septic Shock ◽  
Scoring Systems ◽  
Predictive Performance ◽  
Serum Levels ◽  
International Normalized Ratio ◽  
Individual Performance ◽  
Mortality Prediction ◽  
New Combination ◽  
Thrombin Time ◽  
Survivor Group

AbstractEarly identification of infection severity and organ dysfunction is crucial in improving outcomes of patients with sepsis. We aimed to develop a new combination of blood-based biomarkers that can early predict 28-day mortality in patients with sepsis or septic shock. We enrolled 66 patients with sepsis or septic shock and compared 14 blood-based biomarkers in the first 24 h after ICU admission. The serum levels of interleukin-6 (IL-6) (median 217.6 vs. 4809.0 pg/ml, P = 0.001), lactate (median 2.4 vs. 6.3 mmol/L, P = 0.014), N-terminal prohormone of brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) (median 1596.5 vs. 32,905.3 ng/ml, P < 0.001), prothrombin time (PT) (median 15.6 vs. 20.1 s, P = 0.030), activated partial thrombin time (APTT) (median 45.1 vs. 59.0 s, P = 0.026), and international normalized ratio (INR) (median 1.3 vs. 1.8, P < 0.001) were significantly lower in the survivor group. IL-6, NT-proBNP, and INR provided the best individual performance in predicting 28-day mortality of patients with sepsis or septic shock. Furthermore, the combination of these three biomarkers achieved better predictive performance (AUC 0.890, P < 0.001) than conventional scoring systems. In summary, the combination of IL-6, NT-proBNP, and INR may serve as a potential predictor of 28-day mortality in critically ill patients with sepsis or septic shock.

scholarly journals Increased body mass index and adjusted mortality in ICU patients with sepsis or septic shock: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Critical Care ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Dominique J. Pepper ◽  
Junfeng Sun ◽  
Judith Welsh ◽  
Xizhong Cui ◽  
Anthony F. Suffredini ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Systematic Review ◽  
Body Mass Index ◽  
Septic Shock ◽  
Body Mass ◽  
Meta Analysis ◽  
Icu Patients

The Relationship of the ACCP/SCCM Consensus Conference Classification of Sepsis to Mortality and Multiorgan Dysfunction among Medical ICU Patients

1996 ◽  
Vol 11 (6) ◽  
pp. 326-334 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marin H. Kollef ◽  
Paul R. Eisenberg
Keyword(s):  
Septic Shock ◽  
Severe Sepsis ◽  
Hospital Mortality ◽  
Consensus Conference ◽  
Organ System ◽  
Apache Ii ◽  
Apache Ii Score ◽  
Icu Patients ◽  
Multiorgan Dysfunction

To determine the relation between the proposed ACCP/SCCM Consensus Conference classification of sepsis and hospital outcomes, we conducted a single-center, prospective observational study at Barnes Hospital, St. Louis, MO, an academic tertiary care hospital. A total of 324 consecutive patients admitted to the medical intensive care unit (ICU) were studied for prospective patient surveillance and data collection. The main outcome measures were the number of acquired organ system derangements and hospital mortality. Fifty-seven (17.6%) patients died during the study period. The proposed classifications of sepsis (e.g., systemic inflammatory response syndrome [SIRS], sepsis, severe sepsis, septic shock) correlated with hospital mortality ( r = 0.330; p < 0.001) and development of an Organ System Failure Index (OSFI) of 3 or greater ( r = 0.426; p < 0.001). Independent determinants of hospital mortality for this patient cohort ( p < 0.05) were development of an OSFI of 3 or greater (adjusted odds ratio [AOR], 13.9; 95% confidence interval [CI], 6.4–30.2; p < 0.001); presence of severe sepsis or septic shock (AOR, 2.6; 95% CI, 1.2–5.6; p = 0.002), and an APACHE II score ≥ of 18 or greater (AOR, 2.4; 95% CI, 1.0–5.8; p = 0.045). Intra-abdominal infection (AOR, 19.1; 95% CI, 1.6–230.1; p = 0.011), an APACHE II score ≥ of 18 or greater (AOR, 8.9; 95% CI, 4.2–18.6; p < 0.001), and presence of severe sepsis or septic shock (AOR, 2.9; 95% CI, 1.5–5.4; p = 0.001) were independently associated with development of an OSFI of 3 or greater. These data confirm that acquired multiorgan dysfunction is the most important predictor of mortality among medical ICU patients. In addition, they identify the proposed ACCP/SCCM Consensus Conference classification of sepsis as an additional independent determinant of both hospital mortality and multiorgan dysfunction.

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