scholarly journals The Effects on Investment Behavior of Zero Interest Rate Policy—Evidence From a Roulette Experiment

2019 ◽  
Vol 6 (4) ◽  
pp. 18 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christian A. Conrad
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Risk Taking ◽  
Investment Decision ◽  
Investment Behavior ◽  
Real Economy ◽  
Interest Rate Policy ◽  
Capital Costs ◽  
Investment Decision Making ◽  
Negative Interest Rates

This paper examines the effects of interest rate cuts on investment behavior. The methodology is to simulate investment decision making under different capital costs. The experiment showed that decreasing interest rates encourage risk-taking. With the decreased interest rate as borrowing costs the risk taking increased weakly but continuously. The risk taking increased strongly when the interest rate reached zero. Thus the experiment showed excessive risk-taking when there were no capital costs. This finding supports the hypothesis that extreme expansive monetary policy with low, zero or negative interest rates encourage financial bubbles and overinvestments or wrong investments in the real economy.

Implications of Central banks’ negative policy rates on financial stability

2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 310-320
Author(s):  
Benjamin S. Kay
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Global Economy ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Interest Rate Policy ◽  
Trade Offs ◽  
Negative Interest Rates ◽  
Rate Policy ◽  
Negative Interest Rate Policy

Purpose While central bankers have widely discussed the trade-offs of negative interest rates on monetary policy, the consequences of negative rates on financial stability are less well understood. The purpose of this paper is to examine the likely and possible financial stability consequences of a negative rates policy with particular focus on banks, short-term funding markets, foreign exchange markets, asset managers, pension funds and insurers. Design/methodology/approach It draws from international experience with negative interest rates to identify financial stability threats posed to any economy by negative interest rates, and it also highlights where the US experience is likely to differ. Findings In time, financial market threats and other logistical issues of a negative interest rate policy can be managed or overcome. Even cumulatively, these threats are likely to be small as long as the rates remain only modestly negative. However, if the rates remain negative for long periods or they become more sharply negative, the rewards of avoiding negative rates increase. Originality/value Does the negative interest rate policy directly or through these challenges of implementation present a substantial obstacle to achieving financial stability objectives? As policy rates go negative in a greater share of the global economy, the financial stability consequences remain poorly understood and under discussed.

Effect of Low and Negative Interest Rates: Evidence from Indian and Sri Lankan Economies

2018 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 90-99
Author(s):  
Moid U. Ahmad ◽  
Hetti Arachchige Gamini Premaratne
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Central Bank ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
High Rate ◽  
Sri Lankan ◽  
Global Business ◽  
Interest Rate Policy ◽  
Negative Interest Rates ◽  
The Us ◽  
Rate Policy

Interest rates are critical to any economy. Usually the central bank of a country supervises and tries to control the interest rates but there is always an element of uncontrollable effects: local or international. A central bank adopts a monetary strategy to affect various macroeconomic parameters such as inflation, exchange rate (ER), economic growth and many others. A country may decide to adopt Ultra-low Interest Rate Policy (ULIRP) or Negative Interest Rate Policy (NIRP) or a policy with moderate/high rate of interest. In today’s global business scenario, economies are connected and influence one another. The US and UK economies have seen a very low and negative interest rates historically, at least in recent past. Indian and Sri Lankan economies are integrated with the US and UK economies and thus are affected by their prevailing interest rates. The effect of low and zero interest rate policy of a country (USA and UK) on interest rates and economy of co-integrated economies (India and Sri Lanka) have been studied in this research. The objective of this study is to understand the implications of ULIRPs and NIRPs in the context of Indian and Sri Lankan economies. Two significant conclusions of the research are that Indian and Sri Lankan economies are affected by the US and UK policies and that they are affected at a lag of eight years.

scholarly journals Central bank interest policy: conceptual concepts and socio-economic context

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (Extra-E) ◽  
pp. 531-536
Author(s):  
Aleksandr N. Sukharev ◽  
Sergey N. Smirnov
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Central Bank ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Interest Rate Policy ◽  
Economic Context ◽  
Negative Interest Rates ◽  
Interest Policy ◽  
Rate Policy ◽  
The Interest Rate

The article reveals the goals and mechanisms of the interest rate policy of the central bank. The role of the discount rate in ensuring financial and macroeconomic stability is shown. The Taylor rule is presented and justified in a modified form, by including the money supply parameter in it. The phenomenon of negative interest rates is revealed.

Negative interest rates: a Keynesian perspective

2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 171-184
Author(s):  
Fiona Maclachlan
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Interest Rate Policy ◽  
Preference Theory ◽  
Bank Deposits ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Negative Interest Rates ◽  
Recent Developments ◽  
Empirical Context

One of the most surprising recent developments in financial markets has been the emergence of negative yields on long-term debt. This development contradicts the notion of the zero lower bound which, until recently, was taken as a given in monetary policy discussions. In this paper, I look at the phenomenon of negative yields through the lens of Keynes's liquidity-preference theory of interest. I review changes to the financial market environment that have led to a shift in the liquidity of government bonds relative to bank deposits, and with this empirical context in place, I argue Keynes's theory is consistent with the phenomenon of negative bond yields. Finally, I consider Keynes's thought in relation to a negative interest-rate policy (NIRP) and argue that while he would be opposed to a NIRP as a temporary expedient, a mildly negative policy rate fits with his long-run vision for a world with a zero risk-free long-term interest rate.

scholarly journals A Study on The Behavioural Aspects of Retail Investors for Investment Decision Making in Telangana State

2016 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 51-59
Author(s):  
Jhansi Rani Boda ◽  
G. Sunitha ◽  
Parag Ray
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Behavioral Finance ◽  
Investment Decision ◽  
Investment Behavior ◽  
Behavioral Patterns ◽  
Behavioral Factors ◽  
Investment Decision Making ◽  
Retail Investors ◽  
Telangana State ◽  
Behavioural Aspects

Objective - Investment is the commitment of funds which have been saved from the current consumption with an expectation of favorable future returns. Investment behavior is concerned with choices made about the purchase of a significant number of securities for an individual or institutional account. Individual investment behavior is relatively a new area of research in behavioral finance. This study aims to identify the various behavioral patterns of retail investors and their investment decision making in the newly formed Telangana state of India. Methodology/Technique - Data were collected from a sample of 200 retail investors via a structured questionnaire. Factor analysis was then conducted to critically identify the behavioral patterns of the retail investors. Findings - The findings of this study indicate that the two behavioral factors of Heuristics and Prospect have significant impact on the investment decision making attitudes of the retail investors. Novelty - As a newly formed state in India, the Telangana state provides potential investment opportunities for retail as well as institutional investors. It is thus, highly imperative to explore how retail investors make investment decisions especially in the newly formed Telangana State in India Type of Paper: Empirical Keywords: Behavioral Factors; Behavioral Finance; Investment Behavior; Investment Decision Making; Retail Investor.

scholarly journals Does the Interest Rate Form Business Cycle?

2019 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 29-34
Author(s):  
Bijan Bidabad ◽  
Abul Hassan
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Business Cycle ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Real Economy ◽  
Short Term ◽  
The Usa ◽  
Rate Form ◽  
The Interest Rate

Dynamic structural behavior of depositor, bank and borrower and the role of banks in forming business cycle are investigated. We test the hypothesis that does banks behavior make oscillations in the economy through the interest rate. By dichotomizing banking activities into two markets of deposit and loan, we show that these two markets have non-synchronized structures, and this is why the money sector fluctuation starts. As a result, the fluctuation is transmitted to the real economy through saving and investment functions. Empirical results assert that in the USA, the banking system creates fluctuations in the money sector and real economy as well through short-term interest rates

scholarly journals Negative Interest Rate Risk. Atavism or Normalization of Central Banks’ Monetary Policy

2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (342) ◽  
pp. 89-116
Author(s):  
Irena Pyka ◽  
Aleksandra Nocoń
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Central Banks ◽  
Interest Rate Risk ◽  
Interest Rate Policy ◽  
Rate Policy ◽  
Negative Interest Rate Policy

In the face of the global financial crisis, central banks have used unconventional monetary policy instruments. Firstly, they implemented the interest rate policy, lowering base interest rates to a very low (almost zero) level. However, in the following years they did not undertake normalizing activities. The macroeconomic environment required further initiatives. For the first time in history, central banks have adopted Negative Interest Rate Policy (NIRP). The main aim of the study is to explore the risk accompanying the negative interest rate policy, aiming at identifying channels and consequences of its impact on the economy. The study verifies the research hypothesis stating that the risk of negative interest rates, so far unrecognized in Theory of Interest Rate, is a consequence of low effectiveness of monetary policy normalization and may adopt systemic nature, by influencing – through different channels – the financial stability and growth dynamics of the modern world economy.

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