Reliability Analysis of Lead-Free Solders in Electronic Packaging Using a Novel Surrogate Model and Kriging Concept

2018 ◽  
Vol 140 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Hamoon Azizsoltani ◽  
Achintya Haldar
Keyword(s):  
Response Surface ◽  
Electronic Packaging ◽  
Limit State ◽  
Experimental Studies ◽  
Lead Free ◽  
Evaluation Procedure ◽  
Design Parameters ◽  
State Function ◽  
Thermomechanical Loading ◽  
Lead Free Solders

A novel reliability evaluation procedure of lead-free solders used in electronic packaging (EP) subjected to thermomechanical loading is proposed. A solder ball is represented by finite elements (FEs). Major sources of nonlinearities are incorporated as realistically as practicable. Uncertainties in all design variables are quantified using available information. The thermomechanical loading is represented by five design parameters and uncertainties associated with them are incorporated. Since the performance or limit state function (LSF) of such complicated problem is implicit in nature, it is approximately generated explicitly in the failure region with the help of a completely improved response surface method (RSM)-based approach and the universal Kriging method (KM). The response surface (RS) is generated by conducting as few deterministic nonlinear finite element analyses as possible by integrating several advanced factorial mathematical concepts producing compounding beneficial effect. The accuracy, efficiency, and application potential of the procedure are established with the help of Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) and the results from laboratory investigation reported in the literature. The study conclusively verified the proposed method. Similar studies can be conducted to fill the knowledge gap for cases where the available analytical and experimental studies are limited or extend the information to cases where reliability information is unavailable. The study showcased how reliability information can be extracted with the help of multiple deterministic analyses. The authors believe that they proposed an alternative to the classical MCS technique.

Reliability Analysis of Foundation Pit by Improved Response Surface Method

2011 ◽  
Vol 147 ◽  
pp. 197-202 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jiang Zhou ◽  
Jing Cao ◽  
Yu He ◽  
Jie Song
Keyword(s):  
Reliability Analysis ◽  
Response Surface ◽  
Structural Reliability ◽  
Lateral Displacement ◽  
Limit State ◽  
Uniform Design ◽  
Design Parameters ◽  
State Function ◽  
Foundation Pit ◽  
Improved Response Surface Method

Lacking of explicit limit state function (LSF) will result large quantities of computational efforts for a FEAM based structural reliability analysis. An improved response surface (RS) method is proposed to analyze the failure probability of foundation pit through combining uniform design (UD) and non-parametric regression (NPR). Deferent levels of design parameters are first delicately selected according to UD and then FEAM is used to analysis corresponding pit response parameters including maximum lateral displacement of wall, settlement of ground, safety factor of overall stability, safety factors of against overturning, heave and piping. The RS relationship is then established through NPR based on inputs and responses. At last, a direct Mont Carlo Simulation is carried out to obtain the probability density function of response parameters.

An Efficient Response Surface Method Using Givens Transformation for Structural Reliability Analysis

2012 ◽  
Vol 532-533 ◽  
pp. 408-411
Author(s):  
Wei Tao Zhao ◽  
Yi Yang ◽  
Tian Jun Yu
Keyword(s):  
Response Surface ◽  
Response Surface Method ◽  
Structural Reliability ◽  
Limit State ◽  
State Function ◽  
Limit State Function ◽  
Surface Method ◽  
Mathematical Techniques ◽  
Input Variables ◽  
Improved Accuracy

The response surface method was proposed as a collection of statistical and mathematical techniques that are useful for modeling and analyzing a system which is influenced by several input variables. This method gives an explicit approximation of the implicit limit state function of the structure through a number of deterministic structural analyses. However, the position of the experimental points is very important to improve the accuracy of the evaluation of failure probability. In the paper, the experimental points are obtained by using Givens transformation in such way these experimental points nearly close to limit state function. A Numerical example is presented to demonstrate the improved accuracy and computational efficiency of the proposed method compared to the classical response surface method. As seen from the result of the example, the proposed method leads to a better approximation of the limit state function over a large region of the design space, and the number of experimental points using the proposed method is less than that of classical response surface method.

Response surface method strategies coupled with NLFEA for structural reliability analysis of prestressed bridges

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Silvia J. Sarmiento Nova ◽  
Jaime Gonzalez-Libreros ◽  
Gabriel Sas ◽  
Rafael A. Sanabria Díaz ◽  
Maria C. A. Texeira da Silva ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Reliability Analysis ◽  
Response Surface ◽  
Response Surface Method ◽  
Structural Reliability ◽  
Limit State ◽  
Material Behavior ◽  
Nonlinear Material ◽  
State Function ◽  
Surface Method ◽  
Highly Nonlinear

<p>The Response Surface Method (RSM) has become an essential tool to solve structural reliability problems due to its accuracy, efficacy, and facility for coupling with Nonlinear Finite Element Analysis (NLFEA). In this paper, some strategies to improve the RSM efficacy without compromising its accuracy are tested. Initially, each strategy is implemented to assess the safety level of a highly nonlinear explicit limit state function. The strategy with the best results is then identified and used to carry out a reliability analysis of a prestressed concrete bridge, considering the nonlinear material behavior through NLFEA simulation. The calculated value of &#120573; is compared with the target value established in Eurocode for ULS. The results showed how RSM can be a practical methodology and how the improvements presented can reduce the computational cost of a traditional RSM giving a good alternative to simulation methods such as Monte Carlo.</p>

A New Reliability Evaluation Algorithm Using Response Surface Methodology Combined With Space Mapping Technique

2006 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lixin Zhang ◽  
Zhijun Jian ◽  
Zhaohui Xu
Keyword(s):  
Response Surface Methodology ◽  
Response Surface ◽  
Limit State ◽  
Space Mapping ◽  
Mapping Technique ◽  
State Function ◽  
Limit State Function ◽  
New Approach ◽  
Successive Response ◽  
Evaluation Algorithm

A new method is proposed to tackle the huge computation cost involved in Successive Response Surface Methodology applied to the reliability analysis, in which Space Mapping technique is combined with Response Surface Methodology. While the new approach is performed, the limit state function is only fitted at the first iteration; at other iterations Space Mapping technique is employed to map the original limit state function into the new ones. Experimental design, corresponding model evaluations and response surface fitting of the limit state function are not done repetitively as what we do while SRSM is used, which leads to the great cutting down of computational efforts.

scholarly journals Gaussian Process-Based Response Surface Method for Slope Reliability Analysis

2019 ◽  
Vol 2019 ◽  
pp. 1-11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bin Hu ◽  
Guo-shao Su ◽  
Jianqing Jiang ◽  
Yilong Xiao
Keyword(s):  
Gaussian Process ◽  
Reliability Analysis ◽  
Response Surface ◽  
Response Surface Method ◽  
Failure Probability ◽  
Limit State ◽  
State Function ◽  
Limit State Function ◽  
Surface Method ◽  
Gp Model

A new response surface method (RSM) for slope reliability analysis was proposed based on Gaussian process (GP) machine learning technology. The method involves the approximation of limit state function by the trained GP model and estimation of failure probability using the first-order reliability method (FORM). A small amount of training samples were firstly built by the limited equilibrium method for training the GP model. Then, the implicit limit state function of slope was approximated by the trained GP model. Thus, the implicit limit state function and its derivatives for slope stability analysis were approximated by the GP model with the explicit formulation. Furthermore, an iterative algorithm was presented to improve the precision of approximation of the limit state function at the region near the design point which contributes significantly to the failure probability. Results of four case studies including one nonslope and three slope problems indicate that the proposed method is more efficient to achieve reasonable accuracy for slope reliability analysis than the traditional RSM.

scholarly journals Reliability Evaluation of Bridges Based on Nonprobabilistic Response Surface Limit Method

2017 ◽  
Vol 2017 ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xuyong Chen ◽  
Qian Chen ◽  
Xiaoya Bian ◽  
Jianping Fan
Keyword(s):  
Response Surface ◽  
Response Surface Method ◽  
Reliability Index ◽  
Limit State ◽  
Iteration Process ◽  
Evaluation Process ◽  
Reliability Evaluation ◽  
State Function ◽  
Interval Model ◽  
Surface Method

Due to many uncertainties in nonprobabilistic reliability assessment of bridges, the limit state function is generally unknown. The traditional nonprobabilistic response surface method is a lengthy and oscillating iteration process and leads to difficultly solving the nonprobabilistic reliability index. This article proposes a nonprobabilistic response surface limit method based on the interval model. The intention of this method is to solve the upper and lower limits of the nonprobabilistic reliability index and to narrow the range of the nonprobabilistic reliability index. If the range of the reliability index reduces to an acceptable accuracy, the solution will be considered convergent, and the nonprobabilistic reliability index will be obtained. The case study indicates that using the proposed method can avoid oscillating iteration process, make iteration process stable and convergent, reduce iteration steps significantly, and improve computational efficiency and precision significantly compared with the traditional nonprobabilistic response surface method. Finally, the nonprobabilistic reliability evaluation process of bridge will be built through evaluating the reliability of one PC continuous rigid frame bridge with three spans using the proposed method, which appears to be more simple and reliable when lack of samples and parameters in the bridge nonprobabilistic reliability evaluation is present.

Lead‐free Solders for Electronic Packaging and Assembly

Circuit World ◽  
1994 ◽  
Vol 20 (4) ◽  
pp. 19-25 ◽  
Author(s):  
J.S. Hwang ◽  
Z. Guo
Keyword(s):  
Electronic Packaging ◽  
Lead Free ◽  
Lead Free Solders

scholarly journals The Evaluation Of Algorithms For Determination Of The Reliability Index

2015 ◽  
Vol 61 (3) ◽  
pp. 133-147 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Dudzik ◽  
U. Radoń
Keyword(s):  
Reliability Index ◽  
Limit State ◽  
Probabilistic Approach ◽  
Random Variables ◽  
Numerical Procedure ◽  
Vertical Displacement ◽  
Design Parameters ◽  
State Function ◽  
Structural Failure

AbstractThe study deals with stability and dynamic problems in bar structures using a probabilistic approach. Structural design parameters are defined as deterministic values and also as random variables, which are not correlated. The criterion of structural failure is expressed by the condition of non-exceeding the admissible load multiplier and condition of non-exceeding the admissible vertical displacement. The Hasofer-Lind index was used as a reliability measure. The primary research tool is the FORM method. In order to verify the correctness of the calculations Monte Carlo and Importance Sampling methods were used. The sensitivity of the reliability index to the random variables was defined. The limit state function is not an explicit function of random variables. This dependence was determined using a numerical procedure, e.g. the finite element methods. The paper aims to present the communication between the STAND reliability analysis program and the KRATA and MES3D external FE programs.

Reliability Analysis of Mechanical Systems Based on the First Four Moments of Input Parameters

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Singiresu S. Rao ◽  
Yang Zhou
Keyword(s):  
Reliability Analysis ◽  
Fourth Order ◽  
Probability Distributions ◽  
Limit State ◽  
Moment Function ◽  
Design Parameters ◽  
Order Moment ◽  
State Function ◽  
Exact Probability ◽  
First Four Moments

Abstract The performance of a mechanical or structural system can be improved through a proper selection of its design parameters such as the geometric dimensions, external actions (loads) and material characteristics. The computation of the reliability of a system, in general, requires a knowledge of the probability distributions of the parameters of the system. It is known that for most practical systems, the exact probability distributions of the parameters are not known. However, the first few moments of the parameters of the system may be readily available in many cases from experimental data. The determination of the reliability and the sensitivity of reliability to variations or fluctuations in the parameters of the system starts with the establishment of a suitable limit state equation. This work presents a reliability analysis approach for mechanical and structural systems using the fourth order moment function for approximating the first four moments of the limit state function. By combining the fourth-order moment function with the probabilistic perturbation method, numerical methods are developed for finding the reliability and sensitivity of reliability of the system. An automobile brake and a power screw are considered for demonstrating the methodology and effectiveness of the proposed computational approach. The results of the automobile brake are compared with those given by the Monte Carlo method.

scholarly journals Reliability Analysis on Structures Based on a Modified Iterative Response Surface Method

2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-14 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yanxu Wei ◽  
Guangchen Bai ◽  
Bowei Wang ◽  
Bin Bai
Keyword(s):  
Reliability Analysis ◽  
Response Surface ◽  
Response Surface Method ◽  
Low Cycle Fatigue ◽  
Limit State ◽  
State Function ◽  
Cycle Fatigue ◽  
Computational Accuracy ◽  
Surface Method ◽  
Turbine Disc

In order to improve the computational accuracy and efficiency of response surface method for reliability analysis on structures, a modified iterative response surface method (called as NDIRSM) is proposed. Firstly, a new starting center point, which is closer to design point, is calculated out as the starting center point instead of the point at mean values of input variables and a dynamic factor vector f1, which is inversely proportional to the change rate of performance function with respect to variance, is calculated out for the first iteration. Then the arbitrary factors fk are determined according to the design matrix condition number for the subsequent iteration. Thus the sample points are close to limit state function and the response surface function can approximate the limit state function accurately and efficiently. Two examples are employed to validate the advantages of NDIRSM and the results show that NDIRSM improves the computational accuracy and efficiency of response surface method. At last, NDIRSM is applied to the reliability analysis on low cycle fatigue life of a gas turbine disc, which provides a useful reference for reliability analysis on low cycle fatigue life of gas turbine disc and demonstrates the high computational accuracy and efficiency of NDIRSM.

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