scholarly journals Development of Real-Time System Identification to Detect Abnormal Operations in a Gas Turbine Cycle

2020 ◽  
Vol 142 (7) ◽  
Author(s):  
Harry Bonilla-Alvarado ◽  
Kenneth M. Bryden ◽  
Lawrence Shadle ◽  
David Tucker ◽  
Paolo Pezzini

Abstract This paper presents a novel online system identification methodology for monitoring the performance of power systems. This methodology was demonstrated in a gas turbine recuperated power plant designed for a hybrid configuration. A 120-kW Garrett microturbine modified to test dynamic control strategies for hybrid power systems designed at the National Energy Technology Laboratory (NETL) was used to implement and validate this online system identification methodology. The main component of this methodology consists of an empirical transfer function model implemented in parallel to the turbine speed operation and the fuel control valve, which can monitor the process response of the gas turbine system while it is operating. During fully closed-loop operations or automated control, the output of the controller, fuel valve position, and the turbine speed measurements were fed for a given period of time to a recursive algorithm that determined the transfer function parameters during the nominal condition. After the new parameters were calculated, they were fed into the transfer function model for online prediction. The turbine speed measurement was compared against the transfer function prediction, and a control logic was implemented to capture when the system operated at nominal or abnormal conditions. To validate the ability to detect abnormal conditions during dynamic operations, drifting in the performance of the gas turbine system was evaluated. A leak in the turbomachinery working fluid was emulated by bleeding 10% of the airflow from the compressor discharge to the atmosphere, and electrical load steps were performed before and after the leak. This tool could detect the leak 7 s after it had occurred, which accounted for a fuel flow increase of approximately 15.8% to maintain the same load and constant turbine speed operations.

2016 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 67
Author(s):  
Aulia Rahman

Modeling of a system is an important step for designing a good controller for a wheeled mobile robot. There are several techniques can be used gaining a model. One is deriving an analytical model mathematically. Another technique is by using system identification where the robot is given an input test signal and then measured the output signal. This technique, in general, is simpler compared to the analytic one. This paper described the modeling of a wheel mobile robot and used a gyroscope sensor as a feedback.The transfer function model of the robot is a second order system.


2019 ◽  
Vol 28 ◽  
pp. 01047
Author(s):  
Konrad Dudziak ◽  
Krzysztof Stawicki ◽  
Andrzej Brykalski

The article presents a comparison of the modified method of the moments and the System Identification Toolbox ™ for the purpose of determining equivalent parameters (depending on the space point, time constants, delays, row of inertia) of simplified transfer function models.


2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Nur Laela Fitriani ◽  
Pika Silvianti ◽  
Rahma Anisa

Transfer function model with multiple input is a multivariate time series forecasting model that combines several characteristics of ARIMA models by utilizing some regression analysis properties. This model is used to determine the effect of output series towards input series so that the model can be used to analyze the factors that affect the Jakarta Islamic Index (JII). The USD exchange rate against rupiah and Dow Jones Index (DJI) were used as input series. The transfer function model was constructed through several stages: model identification stage, estimation of transfer function model, and model diagnostic test. Based on the transfer function model, the JII was influenced by JII at the period of one and two days before. JII was also affected by the USD exchange rate against rupiah at the same period and at one and two days before. In addition, the JII was influenced by DJI at the same period and also at period of one until five days ago. The Mean Absolute Prencentage Error (MAPE) value of forecasting result was 0.70% and the correlation between actual and forecast data was 0.77. This shows that the model was well performed for forecasting JII.


Economies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 21
Author(s):  
Jazmín González Aguirre ◽  
Alberto Del Villar

This paper seeks to assess the effectiveness of customs policies in increasing the resources devoted to controlling and inspection. Specifically, it seeks to analyze whether an increase in the administrative cost of collecting taxes on foreign trade in Ecuador contributes to reducing customs fraud. To this end, we identify and estimate a transfer function model (ARIMAX), considering information on foreign trade such as official international trade statistics report and tariff rates, as well as the execution of budgetary expenditure and Ecuador’s gross domestic product (GDP). The period under study includes quarterly series from 2006 to 2018. The results obtained by the model indicate that allocating greater material and budgetary resources to combat customs fraud does not always achieve the objective of reducing customs evasion.


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