Engineering Decision Making in an Open Age

Author(s):  
Shuichi Fukuda

In an age of diversification and changes, a new framework for decision making for a team is required. As growing complexity and diversification call for team members from a wide variety of areas, a decision cannot be made one-time as it used to be and it must be reached by trials and errors step by step. Such dynamic decision making has to convince members at each step by providing different perspectives for each member to understand the line of reasoning, and must allow lazy evaluation, because some members cannot understand what pieces of knowledge and experience are called for until later step, when clearer perspective is available. Steps proceed by satisfying at least one member. If it fails, then it backtracks to the previous step until it satisfies one more member. This process is repeated until all members are satisfied. Artificial Intelligence allows such trial and error decision making to make all members feel satisfied. The usefulness of this approach is demonstrated by applying developed WPS producing tool to many applications in industry. And it is believed this DDM tool will be very useful for decision making in other areas, too, where systems are very complex and diverse.

Author(s):  
Abraham Rudnick

Artificial intelligence (AI) and its correlates, such as machine and deep learning, are changing health care, where complex matters such as comoribidity call for dynamic decision-making. Yet, some people argue for extreme caution, referring to AI and its correlates as a black box. This brief article uses philosophy and science to address the black box argument about knowledge as a myth, concluding that this argument is misleading as it ignores a fundamental tenet of science, i.e., that no empirical knowledge is certain, and that scientific facts – as well as methods – often change. Instead, control of the technology of AI and its correlates has to be addressed to mitigate such unexpected negative consequences.


2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
pp. 72-79
Author(s):  
M Koliada ◽  
T Bugayova ◽  
E Reviakina ◽  
S Belykh ◽  
G Kapranov

Aim. The objective of the article is to explain both clearly and scientifically the theoretical and methodological foundations of decision-making based on the ideas of artificial intelligence. Materials and methods. We justified the necessity of taking into account the psychological factors connected with coach’s willingness to position players correctly and to achieve the best possible result in the conditions of the game’s unpredictability. The scientific application of the mechanisms for searching the effective interaction of sports team members was given with the help of a genetic algorithm. Results. We revealed the relevance of the issue of players positioning in terms of their better interaction for coaches and sports managers. Practical recommendations were given for a better understanding of decision-making based on the so-called ‘reserved algorithm’. The performance of Darwin’s algorithm in searching for optimal players positioning was demonstrated in details. The efficiency of such an algorithm was proved by making possible to find the best solution in a few steps. An example of the most popular software product for solving such problems in computer intelligent environments is given. Conclusion. We made a conclusion that by using intelligent systems it is possible to perform accurate and objective calculations in the management of sports team members. This also allows making both operational and final decisions regarding the interaction of own and opponent’s team members, which makes possible achieve high results. A coach or PE teacher can forecast precisely achievements in team sports. The application of genetic algorithm is a calculated guarantee of high achievements and the condition for improving quantitative methods in pedagogy.


2020 ◽  
Vol 69 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ulle Endriss ◽  
Ronald De Haan ◽  
Jérôme Lang ◽  
Marija Slavkovik

We provide a comprehensive analysis of the computational complexity of the outcome determination problem for the most important aggregation rules proposed in the literature on logic-based judgment aggregation. Judgment aggregation is a powerful and flexible framework for studying problems of collective decision making that has attracted interest in a range of disciplines, including Legal Theory, Philosophy, Economics, Political Science, and Artificial Intelligence. The problem of computing the outcome for a given list of individual judgments to be aggregated into a single collective judgment is the most fundamental algorithmic challenge arising in this context. Our analysis applies to several different variants of the basic framework of judgment aggregation that have been discussed in the literature, as well as to a new framework that encompasses all existing such frameworks in terms of expressive power and representational succinctness.


2009 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. Dominik Guss ◽  
Jarrett Evans ◽  
Devon Murray ◽  
Harald Schaub

2009 ◽  
Author(s):  
Justin Weinhardt ◽  
Jeff Vancouver ◽  
Claudia Gonzalez Vallejo ◽  
Jason Harman

1991 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alexander J. Wearing ◽  
Chris Pivec ◽  
Mary M. Omodei

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