scholarly journals Uncertainty Quantification of Wind Turbine Wakes Under Random Wind Conditions

Author(s):  
Tássia Penha Pereira ◽  
Stephen Ekwaro-Osire ◽  
João Paulo Dias ◽  
Nicholas J. Ward ◽  
Americo Cunha

Abstract Understanding and minimizing the uncertainties in the wind energy field is of high importance to reduce the reliability risks and financial risks of wind farm projects. The present work aims to observe the levels of uncertainty in modeling the wake effect by attempting to perform statistical inference of a wake parameter, the wind speed deficit. For this purpose, an uncertainty propagation framework is presented. The framework starts by randomly sampling mean wind speed data from its probability density function (PDF), that is fed an inflow model (TurbSim), resulting in random full-flow fields that are integrated into an aeroelastic model (FAST), which results in the variability of the power and thrust coefficients of a wind turbine. Such coefficients and wind data, finally, fed the wake engineering model (FLORIS). The framework ends with the determination of the 95% coefficient intervals of the time-averaged wind speed deficit. The results obtained for the near and far wake regions introduce fundamentals in estimate the uncertainty in wind speed deficit of a single wind turbine wake and concludes that a systematic uncertainty quantification (UQ) framework for wind turbine wakes may be a useful tool to wind energy projects.

Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (8) ◽  
pp. 2319
Author(s):  
Hyun-Goo Kim ◽  
Jin-Young Kim

This study analyzed the performance decline of wind turbine with age using the SCADA (Supervisory Control And Data Acquisition) data and the short-term in situ LiDAR (Light Detection and Ranging) measurements taken at the Shinan wind farm located on the coast of Bigeumdo Island in the southwestern sea of South Korea. Existing methods have generally attempted to estimate performance aging through long-term trend analysis of a normalized capacity factor in which wind speed variability is calibrated. However, this study proposes a new method using SCADA data for wind farms whose total operation period is short (less than a decade). That is, the trend of power output deficit between predicted and actual power generation was analyzed in order to estimate performance aging, wherein a theoretically predicted level of power generation was calculated by substituting a free stream wind speed projecting to a wind turbine into its power curve. To calibrate a distorted wind speed measurement in a nacelle anemometer caused by the wake effect resulting from the rotation of wind-turbine blades and the shape of the nacelle, the free stream wind speed was measured using LiDAR remote sensing as the reference data; and the nacelle transfer function, which converts nacelle wind speed into free stream wind speed, was derived. A four-year analysis of the Shinan wind farm showed that the rate of performance aging of the wind turbines was estimated to be −0.52%p/year.


2020 ◽  
pp. 0309524X2092540
Author(s):  
Addisu Dagne Zegeye

Although Ethiopia does not have significant fossil fuel resource, it is endowed with a huge amount of renewable energy resources such as hydro, wind, geothermal, and solar power. However, only a small portion of these resources has been utilized so far and less than 30% of the nation’s population has access to electricity. The wind energy potential of the country is estimated to be up to 10 GW. Yet less than 5% of this potential is developed so far. One of the reasons for this low utilization of wind energy in Ethiopia is the absence of a reliable and accurate wind atlas and resource maps. Development of reliable and accurate wind atlas and resource maps helps to identify candidate sites for wind energy applications and facilitates the planning and implementation of wind energy projects. The main purpose of this research is to assess the wind energy potential and model wind farm in the Mossobo-Harena site of North Ethiopia. In this research, wind data collected for 2 years from Mossobo-Harena site meteorological station were analyzed using different statistical software to evaluate the wind energy potential of the area. Average wind speed and power density, distribution of the wind, prevailing direction, turbulence intensity, and wind shear profile of the site were determined. Wind Atlas Analysis and Application Program was used to generate the generalized wind climate of the area and develop resource maps. Wind farm layout and preliminary turbine micro-sitting were done by taking various factors into consideration. The IEC wind turbine class of the site was determined and an appropriate wind turbine for the study area wind climate was selected and the net annual energy production and capacity factor of the wind farm were determined. The measured data analysis conducted indicates that the mean wind speed at 10 and 40 m above the ground level is 5.12 and 6.41 m/s, respectively, at measuring site. The measuring site’s mean power density was determined to be 138.55 and 276.52 W/m2 at 10 and 40 m above the ground level, respectively. The prevailing wind direction in the site is from east to south east where about 60% of the wind was recorded. The resource grid maps developed by Wind Atlas Analysis and Application Program on a 10 km × 10 km area at 50 m above the ground level indicate that the selected study area has a mean wind speed of 5.58 m/s and a mean power density of 146 W/m2. The average turbulence intensity of the site was found to be 0.136 at 40 m which indicates that the site has a moderate turbulence level. According to the resource assessment done, the area is classified as a wind Class IIIB site. A 2-MW rated power ENERCON E-82 E2 wind turbine which is an IEC Class IIB turbine with 82 m rotor diameter and 98 m hub height was selected for estimation of annual energy production on the proposed wind farm. 88 ENERCON E-82 E2 wind turbines were properly sited in the wind farm with recommended spacing between the turbines so as to reduce the wake loss. The rated power of the wind farm is 180.4 MW and the net annual energy production and capacity factor of the proposed wind farm were determined to be 434.315 GWh and 27.48% after considering various losses in the wind farm.


2018 ◽  
Vol 64 ◽  
pp. 06010
Author(s):  
Bachhal Amrender Singh ◽  
Vogstad Klaus ◽  
Lal Kolhe Mohan ◽  
Chougule Abhijit ◽  
Beyer Hans George

There is a big wind energy potential in supplying the power in an island and most of the islands are off-grid. Due to the limited area in island(s), there is need to find appropriate layout / location for wind turbines suited to the local wind conditions. In this paper, we have considered the wind resources data of an island in Trøndelag region of the Northern Norway, situated on the coastal line. The wind resources data of this island have been analysed for wake losses and turbulence on wind turbines for determining appropriate locations of wind turbines in this island. These analyses are very important for understanding the fatigue and mechanical stress on the wind turbines. In this work, semi empirical wake model has been used for wake losses analysis with wind speed and turbine spacings. The Jensen wake model used for the wake loss analysis due to its high degree of accuracy and the Frandsen model for characterizing the turbulent loading. The variations of the losses in the wind energy production of the down-wind turbine relative to the up-wind turbine and, the down-stream turbulence have been analysed for various turbine distances. The special emphasis has been taken for the case of wind turbine spacing, leading to the turbulence conditions for satisfying the IEC 61400-1 conditions to find the wind turbine layout in this island. The energy production of down-wind turbines has been decreased from 2 to 20% due to the lower wind speeds as they are located behind up-wind turbine, resulting in decreasing the overall energy production of the wind farm. Also, the higher wake losses have contributed to the effective turbulence, which has reduced the overall energy production from the wind farm. In this case study, the required distance for wind turbines have been changed to 6 rotor diameters for increasing the energy gain. From the results, it has been estimated that the marginal change in wake losses by moving the down-stream wind turbine by one rotor diameter distance has been in the range of 0.5 to 1% only and it is insignificant. In the full-length paper, the wake effects with wind speed variations and the wind turbine locations will be reported for reducing the wake losses on the down-stream wind turbine. The Frandsen model has been used for analysing turbulence loading on the down-stream wind turbine as per IEC 61400-1 criteria. In larger wind farms, the high turbulence from the up-stream wind turbines increases the fatigues on the turbines of the wind farm. In this work, we have used the effective turbulence criteria at a certain distance between up-stream and down-stream turbines for minimizing the fatigue load level. The sensitivity analysis on wake and turbulence analysis will be reported in the full-length paper. Results from this work will be useful for finding wind farm layouts in an island for utilizing effectively the wind energy resources and electrification using wind power plants.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mads M. Pedersen ◽  
Gunner C. Larsen

Abstract. Design of an optimal wind farm topology and wind farm control scheduling depends on the chosen metric. The objective of this paper is to investigate the influence of optimal wind farm control on the optimal wind farm layout in terms of power production. A successful fulfilment of this goal requires: 1) an accurate and fast flow model; 2) selection of the minimum set of design parameters that rules the problem; and 3) selection of an optimization algorithm with good scaling properties. For control of the individual wind farm turbines, the two most obvious strategies are wake steering based on active wind turbine yaw control and wind turbine derating. The present investigation is a priori limited to wind turbine derating. A high-speed linearized CFD RANS solver models the flow field and the crucial wind turbine wake interactions inside the wind farm. The actuator disk method is used to model the wind turbines, and utilizing an aerodynamic model, the design space of the optimization problem is reduced to only three variables per turbine – two geometric and one carefully selected variable specifying the individual wind turbine derating setting for each mean wind speed and direction. The full design space spanned by these (2N + Nd Ns N) parameters, where N is the number of wind farm turbines, Nd is the number of direction bins, and Ns is the number of mean wind speed bins. This design space is decomposed in two subsets, which in turn define a nested set of optimization problems to achieve the fastest possible optimization procedure. Following a simplistic sanity check of the platform functionality regarding wind farm layout and control optimization, the capabilities of the developed optimization platform is demonstrated on the Swedish offshore wind farm. For this particular wind farm, the analysis demonstrates that the expected annual energy production can be increased by 4 % by integrating the wind farm control in the design of the wind farm layout, which is 1.2 % higher than what is achieved by optimizing the layout only.


2013 ◽  
Vol 860-863 ◽  
pp. 237-241
Author(s):  
Jing Ru Yan ◽  
Jin Yao Zhu ◽  
Xue Bing Zheng ◽  
Ran Li

It analyses the model of wake effect of wind farm in detail. Considering the energy loss caused by wake effect on the wind speed of wind turbine in different locations, the output of whole wind farm can be evaluated via the model, including the wind speed distribution. Then, it determines a kind of equivalent method of wind farm based on the output characteristic of the port of wind farm.


2013 ◽  
Vol 380-384 ◽  
pp. 3370-3373 ◽  
Author(s):  
Li Yang Liu ◽  
Jun Ji Wu ◽  
Shao Liang Meng

With the massive development and application of wind energy, wind power is having an increasing proportion in power grid. The changes of the wind speed in a wind farm will lead to fluctuations in the power output which would affect the stable operation of the power grid. Therefore the research of the characteristics of wind speed has become a hot topic in the field of wind energy. In the paper, the wind speed at the wind farm was simulated in a combination of wind speeds by which wind speed was decomposed of four components including basic wind, gust wind, stochastic wind and gradient wind which denote the regularity, the mutability, the gradual change and the randomness of a natural wind respectively. The model is able to reflect the characteristics of a real wind, easy for engineering simulation and can also estimate the wind energy of a wind farm through the wind speed and wake effect model. This paper has directive significance in the estimation of wind resource and the layout of wind turbines in wind farms.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Evgeny Atlaskin ◽  
Irene Suomi ◽  
Anders Lindfors

<p>Power curves for a substantial number of wind turbine generators (WTG) became available in a number of public sources during the recent years. They can be used to estimate the power production of a wind farm fleet with uncertainty determined by the accuracy and consistency of the power curve data. However, in order to estimate power losses inside a wind farm due to wind speed reduction caused by the wake effect, information on the thrust force, or widely used thrust coefficient (Ct), is required. Unlike power curves, Ct curves for the whole range of operating wind speeds of a WTG are still scarcely available in open sources. Typically, power and Ct curves are requested from a WTG manufacturer or wind farm owner under a non-disclosure agreement. However, in a research study or in calculations over a multitude of wind farms with a variety of wind turbine models, collecting this information from owners may be hardly possible. This study represents a simple method to define Ct curve statistically using power curve and general specifications of WTGs available in open sources. Preliminary results demonstrate reasonable correspondence between simulated and given data. The estimations are done in the context of aggregated wind power calculations based on reanalysis or forecast data, so that the uncertainty of wake wind speed caused by the uncertainty of predicted Ct is comparable, or do not exceed, the uncertainty of given wind speed. Although the method may not provide accurate fits at low wind speeds, it represents an essential alternative to using physical Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) models that are both more demanding to computer resources and require detailed information on the geometry of the rotor blades and physical properties of the rotor, which are even more unavailable in open sources than power curves.</p>


Author(s):  
Jaydeep Patel ◽  
Vimal Savsani ◽  
Rajesh Patel

World is facing a big problems for fossil fuel as it deals with the issues like availability, environmental effect like global warming etc, which forces us to explore new renewable sources of energy like solar, tidal, geothermal, wind etc. Among all the energies wind energy is the effective form of energy. As evaluated from the research, main cause for reduction of energy output in wind farm is the positioning of the wind turbine, as it is a function of wake loss. Present paper investigates an effective meta-heuristics optimization method known as Teaching–Learning-Based Optimization (TLBO), to optimize the positioning of the wind turbine in a wind farm. Two different scenarios of wind speed and its direction distribution across the wind site is considered like, (a) uniform wind speed of 12 m/s with uniform direction and (b) uniform wind speed of 12 m/s with variable wind direction. The results show that the implementation of TLBO is effective then other existing strategy, in terms of maximized expected power output and minimum wake effect of turbines by each other.


Energies ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (24) ◽  
pp. 6492
Author(s):  
Ke-Sheng Cheng ◽  
Cheng-Yu Ho ◽  
Jen-Hsin Teng

This study analyzed the wind speed data of the met mast in the first commercial-scale offshore wind farm of Taiwan from May 2017 to April 2018. The mean wind speed and standard deviation, wind rose, histogram, wind speed profile, and diurnal variation of wind speed with associated changes in wind direction revealed some noteworthy findings. First, the standard deviation of the corresponding mean wind speed is somewhat high. Second, the Hellmann exponent is as low as 0.05. Third, afternoons in winter and nights and early mornings in summer have the highest and lowest wind speed in a year, respectively. Regarding the histogram, the distribution probability of wind is bimodal, which can be depicted as a mixture of two gamma distributions. In addition, the corresponding change between the hourly mean wind speed and wind direction revealed that the land–sea breeze plays a significant role in wind speed distribution, wind profile, and wind energy production. The low Hellmann exponent is discussed in detail. To further clarify the effect of the land–sea breeze for facilitating future wind energy development in Taiwan, we propose some recommendations.


Author(s):  
Yanjun Yan ◽  
James Z. Zhang ◽  
Hayrettin Bora Karayaka

To monitor wind turbine health, wind farm operators can take advantage of the historical SCADA (supervisory control and data acquisition) data to generate the wake pattern beforehandfor each wind turbine, and then decide in real time whether observed reduction in power generation is due to wake or true faults. In our earlier efforts, we proposed an effective wakepattern modeling approach based on edge detector using Linear Prediction (LP) with entropy-thresholding, and smoothing using Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD) on the windspeed difference plots. In this paper, we compare the LP based edge detector with two other predominant edge detectors, Sobel and Canny edge detectors, to quantitatively justifythe appropriateness and effectiveness of the LP based edge detector in wind turbine wake pattern analysis. We generate a fused wake model for the turbine of interest with multiple neighboring turbines, and then analyze the wake effect on turbine power generation. With a fused wake pattern, we do not need to identify the individual source of wake any more. Weexpect that wakes cause reduced wind speed and hence reduced power generation, but we have also observed from the SCADA data that the wind turbines in wake zones tend to overreact when the wind speed is not yet close to the highwind- shut-down threshold, which causes further power generation loss.


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