On the Use of Artificial Neural Networks for Estimating the Long-Term Mooring Lines Response Considering Wind Sea and Swell

Author(s):  
Gabriel Mattos Gonzalez ◽  
Marcos Queija de Siqueira ◽  
Marina Leivas Simão ◽  
Paulo Maurício Videiro ◽  
Luis Volnei Sudati Sagrilo

Abstract Nowadays, artificial intelligence algorithms are regaining visibility mainly due to the increase in computational capability. Among those, artificial neural networks (ANN) are very useful for the regression of highly nonlinear phenomena, such as the dynamic response of offshore structures. Due to the escalating demand in the oil and gas industry, offshore fields have been explored in deeper waters, which leads to more severe environmental conditions. A reliable and efficient evaluation of the long-term response of mooring systems, a crucial element of floating offshore structures, is then imperative. The estimation of the mooring long-term response is usually obtained numerically through the convolution of the short-term responses, based on short-term stationary environmental conditions (typically 3-h). Each of these short-term responses is obtained through a time-domain dynamic structural analysis from which statistical parameters of interest are calculated, such as the mean of the tension maxima sample or the maxima frequency. Such analyses tend to be quite time-consuming and a reliable estimator of these short-term statistical parameters may be of great help. In this paper, an ANN is trained to predict the short-term extreme peak response statistical parameters. The used training datasets include the wave significant height and spectral peak period for both wind sea and swell waves, generated by Importance Sampling Monte Carlo Simulation (ISMCS) method. Fixed directions of wind sea and swell are considered. It is shown that the ANN successfully predicts the short-term response statistical parameters for both cases, which are later used for the evaluation of the long-term N-year mooring response.

Author(s):  
Marina Leivas Simão ◽  
Paulo Maurício Videiro ◽  
Mauro Costa de Oliveira ◽  
Luis Volnei Sudati Sagrilo

Abstract Escalating demand in the oil and gas industry has led offshore structures to be installed in ever deeper waters and under severe environmental conditions. As the mooring system is a crucial element in floating offshore structures, a reliable estimation of its long-term response is a decisive step in any usual design procedure. In the long-term scenario, the environmental actions to which these structures are subjected to, such as waves, wind and current, are non-stationary processes. However, this long-term behavior is usually modeled as a series of short-term stationary conditions (typically 3-h). In a full long-term analysis approach, an estimate of the long-term N-year response can be obtained through a multidimensional integration over all these short-term environmental conditions. In this paper, this multidimensional integral is numerically evaluated by means of the Importance Sampling Monte Carlo Simulation (ISMCS) method, where the uniform distribution is used as the sampling function. Thus, all short-term environmental conditions have the same probability of being sampled, which assures that conditions with very low original probability of occurrence, but with knowingly higher contributions to the long-term response, are efficiently accounted for. The random variability of the short-term environmental parameters and their interdependencies are represented by a simplified joint probabilistic model which comprehends both wind sea and swell waves. The methodology is numerically validated for an idealized single-degree-of-freedom (SDOF) model and later investigated for a mooring line connected to an FPSO installed in Brazilian deep waters. It is shown that ISMCS provides good estimates for the long-term N-year response with a moderate amount of required simulations and can be a powerful tool in order to account for simultaneous occurrence of wind sea and swell waves in structural response evaluations.


Author(s):  
S. Mazaheri ◽  
E. Mesbahi ◽  
M. J. Downie ◽  
A. Incecik

Floating offshore structures, particularly floating oil production, storage and offloading systems (FPSOs) are still in great demand, both in small and large reservoirs, for deployment in deep water. The prediction of such vessels’ responses to her environmental loading over her lifetime is now often undertaken using response-based design methodology, although the approach is still in its early stages of development. Determining the vessel’s responses to hydrodynamic loads induced by long term sea environments is essential for implementing this approach effectively. However, it is often not practical to perform a complete simulation for every 3-hour period of environmental data being considered. Therefore, an Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) modelling technique has been developed for the prediction of FPSO’s responses to arbitrary wind, wave and current loads that alleviates this problem. Comparison of results obtained from a conventional mathematical model with those of the ANN-based technique for the case of a 200,000 tdw tanker demonstrates that the approach can successfully predict the vessel’s responses due to arbitrary loads.


2016 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 53-62 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. D. García ◽  
O. E. García ◽  
E. Cuevas ◽  
V. E. Cachorro ◽  
A. Barreto ◽  
...  

Abstract. This paper presents the reconstruction of a 73-year time series of the aerosol optical depth (AOD) at 500 nm at the subtropical high-mountain Izaña Atmospheric Observatory (IZO) located in Tenerife (Canary Islands, Spain). For this purpose, we have combined AOD estimates from artificial neural networks (ANNs) from 1941 to 2001 and AOD measurements directly obtained with a Precision Filter Radiometer (PFR) between 2003 and 2013. The analysis is limited to summer months (July–August–September), when the largest aerosol load is observed at IZO (Saharan mineral dust particles). The ANN AOD time series has been comprehensively validated against coincident AOD measurements performed with a solar spectrometer Mark-I (1984–2009) and AERONET (AErosol RObotic NETwork) CIMEL photometers (2004–2009) at IZO, obtaining a rather good agreement on a daily basis: Pearson coefficient, R, of 0.97 between AERONET and ANN AOD, and 0.93 between Mark-I and ANN AOD estimates. In addition, we have analysed the long-term consistency between ANN AOD time series and long-term meteorological records identifying Saharan mineral dust events at IZO (synoptical observations and local wind records). Both analyses provide consistent results, with correlations  >  85 %. Therefore, we can conclude that the reconstructed AOD time series captures well the AOD variations and dust-laden Saharan air mass outbreaks on short-term and long-term timescales and, thus, it is suitable to be used in climate analysis.


2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (16) ◽  
pp. 5396-5402
Author(s):  
Youngjun Park ◽  
Min-Kyu Kim ◽  
Jang-Sik Lee

This paper presents synaptic transistors that show long-term synaptic weight modulation via injection of ions. Linear and symmetric weight update is achieved, which enables high recognition accuracy in artificial neural networks.


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