Climate regimes and water temperature changes in the Columbia River: bioenergetic implications for predators of juvenile salmon

2001 ◽  
Vol 58 (9) ◽  
pp. 1831-1841 ◽  
Author(s):  
James H Petersen ◽  
James F Kitchell

We examined how climatic regime shifts may have affected predation rates on juvenile Pacific salmonids (Oncorhynchus spp.) by northern squawfish (Ptychocheilus oregonensis, also called northern pikeminnow), smallmouth bass (Micropterus dolomieu), and walleye (Stizostedion vitreum) in the Columbia River. During 1933–1996, oceanic, coastal, and freshwater indices of climate were highly correlated, and an index for the Columbia River Basin suggested that climate shifts may have occurred about 1946, 1958, 1969, and 1977. Summer water temperature varied as much as 2°C between climate periods. We used a bioenergetics model for northern squawfish, the most important piscivore, to predict that predation on salmonids would have been 26–31% higher during two periods with relatively warm spring–summer water temperatures (1933–1946, 1978–1996) than during an extremely cold period (1947–1958). Predicted predation rates of northern squawfish were 68–96% higher in the warmest year compared with the coldest year. Predation rates of smallmouth bass and walleye on juvenile salmonids varied among climate periods similar to rates predicted for northern squawfish. Climatic effects need to be understood in both freshwater and nearshore marine habitats, since growth rates of salmon populations are especially sensitive to mortality during early life stages.

<em> Abstract.</em>—Identifying abiotic variables that influence fish recruitment patterns is crucial to understanding, assessing, and managing populations. Smallmouth Bass <em> Micropterus dolomieu </em>have been sampled from five streams in southwestern Wisconsin since 1989 with the goals of explaining variation and describing patterns of annual age-0 relative abundance. Summer water temperature and stream stage data have been collected annually since 2010 and United States Geological Survey modeled stream temperature and stage data were acquired from 1990–2009. Catch-per-unit-effort (CPUE) of age-0 fish was highly variable within and among streams and ranged from 0 to 48.54 fish/100 m across all streams. Random forest models with stepwise variable selection processes were used to determine the relative importance of stream temperature and stream stage variables in describing variation in CPUE from 2010–2016. July mean water temperature and maximum summer temperature explained 69.7% of the variation in CPUE of age-0 Smallmouth Bass. July mean temperature and maximum summer temperature were positively related with CPUE of age-0 fish from 2010–2016; however, modeled July mean water temperatures and modeled maximum summer temperatures were not significantly correlated with CPUE from 1990–2008. We conclude that caution must be taken when using models to predict CPUE of age-0 Smallmouth Bass from temperature or flow variables, as variability in both recruitment patterns and climatic conditions may reduce model application over longer time frames.


1981 ◽  
Vol 59 (12) ◽  
pp. 2322-2330 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hugh R. MacCrimmon ◽  
William H. Robbins

Behaviour of wild juvenile smallmouth bass, Micropterus dolomieui, in the laboratory was significantly influenced by water temperature, current, and illumination. Activity increased with increasing water temperature and (or) water current. When exposed to black and white substrate, selection of black was inversely dependent on temperature and current, and highly correlated with fish activity (r = 0.995, P < 0.001, inverse cubic relation). Substrate pattern influenced fish activity, aggregation, and social interaction. Activity levels increased with increasing incident illumination whereas selection of black substrate declined, particularly at higher water temperatures. Older juveniles became less active with age and preferred black substrate when available, thereby indicating a developing behavioural pattern which favours survival and energy conservation under natural nursery conditions by the discrete use of available cover.


1977 ◽  
Vol 34 (1) ◽  
pp. 142-147 ◽  
Author(s):  
William H. Robbins ◽  
Hugh R. MacCrimmon

Between 1968 and 1971, upriver movement of bass from Lake Simcoe was highly correlated with water temperature and discharge (r = 0.704, P <.001). Vital statistics and growth were similar to lacustrine and riverine stocks at similar latitude. Total annual mortality averaged 0.56 with 65% attributable to angler exploitation, principally in the river. Some 34% (after mortality) river spawners returned upriver in subsequent years. Repeat spawners (65% female) comprised an average 19% of the spawning runs. Most adults moved downriver in late June and July when water temperatures approached 25 °C. Adults remaining in the spawning area experienced water temperatures to 29 °C before emigrating during freshets in July and August. Lake migrants intermingled on shoal areas with lacustrine and possibly other potamodromous stocks each summer.


2020 ◽  
Vol 77 (2) ◽  
pp. 314-325 ◽  
Author(s):  
Erika S. Rubenson ◽  
Julian D. Olden

Invasive species and climate change are leading threats to freshwater ecosystems. In the Columbia River Basin (CRB), nonnative fishes are a critical consideration in salmon recovery, yet managers lament a lack of distribution information. Combining a species distribution model (SDM) with environmental DNA (eDNA), we locate range boundary regions of nonnative smallmouth bass (Micropterus dolomieu) and evaluate its overlap with native salmonids. A combination of thermal, hydrological, and geomorphic variables predict that smallmouth bass is distributed across ∼18 000 river kilometres and overlaps with 3%–62% of rearing habitat of salmonids (species-dependent) in the CRB. Under a moderate climate change scenario, smallmouth bass is predicted to expand its range by two-thirds (totaling ∼30 000 river kilometres) by 2080. Basin-wide models were sufficiently accurate to identify upstream invasion extents to within 15 km of the eDNA-based boundary, and including eDNA data improved model performance at critical range boundary regions without sacrificing broadscale model performance. Our study highlights how eDNA approaches can supplement large geospatial data sets to result in more accurate SDM predictions, guiding nonnative species management.


2009 ◽  
Vol 66 (2) ◽  
pp. 212-223 ◽  
Author(s):  
Scott D. Kaufman ◽  
Ed Snucins ◽  
John M. Gunn ◽  
Wayne Selinger

In lake trout ( Salvelinus namaycush ) lakes of northeastern Ontario, Canada, aerial surveys of fishing activity on individual lakes (N = 589) and quantitative gillnet surveys (N = 65) were used to assess the effects of road access on angling effort and the presence of introduced smallmouth bass ( Micropterus dolomieu ). Angling effort, particularly during the open-water season, was highest and often exceeded estimated sustainable levels on lakes with good road access. Approximately 25% of the remote lakes also received excessive pressure during the winter season. Angler numerical responses to lake trout abundance were detected in remote lakes, but not in road-accessible lakes. Smallmouth bass were more prevalent in lakes with road access and human settlement (either cottages or lodges), supporting the theory that they were introduced into these lakes. Lake trout populations were depleted throughout much of the study range. Even without road access or smallmouth bass, lake trout abundance was still 47% lower than in unexploited reference lakes. When bass and (or) road access were present, lake trout abundance decreased by 77%. Remote lake trout populations in this area are clearly vulnerable to the negative impacts of improved access, a vector for both overexploitation and species introductions.


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