Factors Affecting the Perception and Practice of Iranian Nomadic and Semi-Nomadic Pastoralists in Regard to Biosecurity Practices in Sheep and Goat Farms: A Cross-Sectional and Prospective Study

Preventing the spread of diseases between and within farms (biosecurity) is essential for minimizing animal mortality and morbidity, as well as for reducing the risk of spread of zoonotic diseases. These effects are even greater in countries such as Iran, which have to deal with multiple ongoing epidemics of infectious disease. However, there is currently no published information about biosecurity practices on sheep and goat farms in Iran in published research. The aim of this study was to collect such information and to identify some of the factors affecting biosecurity practices. Data were gathered using a checklist and in-depth interviews with 99 nomadic and semi-nomadic pastoralists. Regression analysis was used to identify the relationships between the collected variables and the biosecurity scores. The results showed that neither within- nor between-farm disease prevention measures were appropriately applied on most farms (median total score of total biosecurity was 37.3/90; Q1 = 29.0 and Q3 = 44.7). Almost all the farmers reported slaughtering animals on farms and nobody properly disposed of the bodies of the dead animals. Additionally, the majority of the participants did not disinfect the umbilical cords of newborns. Of the collected variables, the annual mortality rate was associated with most within-farm biosecurity practices. The increase in annual mortality rates was associated with the regular cleaning of troughs (p = 0.03), preventing feed and water from being contaminated by urine and feces (p = 0.02), providing a clean and dry place for animals to rest (p = 0.05) and disinfecting the navel cord (p = 0.03). The results of this survey suggest that there is a clear need for extension programs to enhance Iranian and sheep and goat farmers’ perceptions and practices regarding biosecurity measures.

The prognostic value of hypoxia biomarkers in older patients with chronic heart failure

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) worsens the prognosis of chronic heart failure (CHF). Hypoxia is the leading link in pathogenesis, especially in older patients with comorbidity. The aim of this study was to investigate the prognostic value of biomarkers of myocardial, renal dysfunction and hypoxia in older patients with CHF. Materials and methods 80 older hypertensive patients with CHF (48 females, mean age 70.7±8.7 years) were examined. CHF was defined according to ESC Guidelines for the diagnosis and treatment of acute and chronic heart failure, 2016. CKD was diagnosed and classified according to the KDIGO guidelines (2012). Serum levels of hypoxia-inducible factor 1-alpha (HIF-1α), endogenous erythropoietin (eEPO), N-terminal propeptide of type B natriuretic hormone (NT-proBNP), cystatin C were assessed. The follow-up period was 12 months; the primary endpoint was total mortality. Results CKD was diagnosed in 49 (61.3%) older patients with CHF. The HIF-1α level was significantly higher in the group of deceased patients than in the survivors (0.08 (IQR 0.06; 0.11) and 0.05 (IQR 0.04; 0.07) ng/ml, p=0.02), as well as the level of NT-proBNP (1126.3 (IQR 551.8; 2750.0) and 164.4 (IQR 135.5; 1100.9) pg/ml, p<0.0001), eEPO (16.92 (ICR 5.43; 64.57) and 5.36 (IQR 1.65; 8.85) mIU/ml, p<0.0001), cystatin C (1.49 (ICR 0.86; 2.13) and 0.99 (IQR 0.82; 1.32) Mg/l, p=0.0005). Cox regression analysis adjusted for sex, age and comorbidity (χ2=36.8, p<0.0001) showed that endogenous erythropoietin, independently of other factors and biomarkers, determined the prognosis of annual mortality in patients with chronic heart failure (HR 3.27 (95% CI 1.08–9.91, p=0.03); χ2=30.7, p=0.0002). When constructing classification trees, in older patients with CHF in the presence of eEPO less than 16.19 mIU/ml NT-proBNP more than 232.5 pg/ml is an unfavorable factor (in patients with NT-proBNP <232.5 pg/ml the risk decreased to 0) (for model: sensitivity – 57.1%; specificity – 92.3% (AUC=0.87); p=0.0015). Conclusions The level of eEPO in older patients with CHF has an independent and closer relationship with the annual mortality of patients than the NT-proBNP – currently accepted biomarker of the severity and prognosis of CHF. FUNDunding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: None.

Prospective postmortem evaluation of 735 consecutive SARS-CoV-2-associated death cases

Coronavirus disease 19 (COVID-19), caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), has become a global pandemic with significant mortality. Accurate information on the specific circumstances of death and whether patients died from or with SARS-CoV-2 is scarce. To distinguish COVID-19 from non-COVID-19 deaths, we performed a systematic review of 735 SARS-CoV-2-associated deaths in Hamburg, Germany, from March to December 2020, using conventional autopsy, ultrasound-guided minimally invasive autopsy, postmortem computed tomography and medical records. Statistical analyses including multiple logistic regression were used to compare both cohorts. 84.1% (n = 618) were classified as COVID-19 deaths, 6.4% (n = 47) as non-COVID-19 deaths, 9.5% (n = 70) remained unclear. Median age of COVID-19 deaths was 83.0 years, 54.4% were male. In the autopsy group (n = 283), the majority died of pneumonia and/or diffuse alveolar damage (73.6%; n = 187). Thromboses were found in 39.2% (n = 62/158 cases), pulmonary embolism in 22.1% (n = 56/253 cases). In 2020, annual mortality in Hamburg was about 5.5% higher than in the previous 20 years, of which 3.4% (n = 618) represented COVID-19 deaths. Our study highlights the need for mortality surveillance and postmortem examinations. The vast majority of individuals who died directly from SARS-CoV-2 infection were of advanced age and had multiple comorbidities.

Neither sex appears to benefit from divorce within migratory Northern Flickers consistent with accidental loss and bet-hedging

Divorce is widespread among species of birds and may either be an adaptive strategy to secure a better mate or territory or be a nonadaptive result of a failure to maintain the pairbond. I examined the causes and consequences for divorce in the Northern Flicker (Colaptes auratus), a migratory woodpecker with a high annual mortality rate. In a long-term population study of 1,793 breeding pairs over 17 years, the within-season divorce rate was 4.6% and the between-season divorce rate was 15.5%. Retained pairs within a season initiated their renest 5 days faster than divorced birds that had no greater fledgling production, suggesting that within-season divorce was making the best of a bad job with severe time constraints. Poor performance in the year prior to divorce was not strongly associated with divorce, and analysis of multiple breeding stages revealed that divorcing individuals in the subsequent year had later laying dates, smaller clutches, and fewer fledglings than retained pairs but no better performance than widowed individuals. Analyzing the data separately by sex showed that neither males nor females benefitted from divorce. Thus, there is a reproductive cost linked to finding a new partner per se, but no reproductive advantage associated with divorce. New mates after divorce were usually not older (not higher quality) than previous mates, so intrasexual competition was probably not driving partnership splits. The most plausible explanation seems to be a “bet-hedging” hypothesis in which birds re-pair rapidly in spring if their previous mate does not quickly arrive during spring migration. Divorce in Northern Flickers does not appear to be adaptive and future studies on arrival and interactions of individuals in spring will elucidate proximate constraints on relocating the previous partner.

Disparities in excess deaths from the COVID-19 pandemic among migrant workers in Kuwait

Background The actual human cost of the pandemic cannot be viewed through the COVID-19 mortality rates alone, especially when the pandemic is widening the existing health disparities among different subpopulations within the same society. In Kuwait, migrant workers were already disproportionately impacted by COVID-19 and its unintended consequences. The totality of that effect on mortality is yet to be fully understood. Objective To estimate excess deaths in the pandemic year of 2020 among the Kuwaiti and non-Kuwaiti migrant populations. Methods We analyzed publicly available retrospective data in Kuwait on total annual mortality historically (from 2005 to 2019) and in 2020. We fitted a quasi-poisson generalized linear model adjusted for yearly trend and nationality to estimate the expected deaths in 2020 in the absence of the pandemic. We calculated excess deaths as the difference between observed and expected mortality for the year of the pandemic in both Kuwaitis and non-Kuwaitis. Results In the absence of the pandemic, we expected the total mortality in Kuwait to be 6629 (95% CI: 6472 to 6789) deaths. However, the observed total mortality in 2020 was 9975 deaths; about 3346 (3186 to 3503) more deaths above the expected historical trend. Deaths among migrant workers would have been approximately 71.9% (67.8 to 76.0) lower in the absence of the pandemic. On the other hand, deaths among Kuwaitis would have been 32.4% (29.3 to 35.6) lower if the country had not been hit by the pandemic. Conclusion The burden of mortality brought on by the COVID-19 pandemic is substantially higher than what the official tally might suggest. Systematically disadvantaged migrant workers shouldered a larger burden of deaths in the pandemic year. Public health interventions must consider structural and societal determinants that give rise to the health disparities seen among migrant workers.

Estimating catch curve mortality based on relative return rates of coded wire tagged lake trout in US waters of Lake Huron

We estimated total mortality using catch curves based on relative return rates (RRs) of coded wire tagged lake trout in US waters of Lake Huron. RR was calculated as age specific CPUE per million of fish stocked. Annual mortality for the late 1990s through early 2000s was estimated as 38% from the 1991-1995 year-classes with an effective age range of 5-10 years, and then was estimated as 24% for the post-2000 period from the 1996-2009 year-classes. The two estimates from simple catch curve regressions based on average RR at age values were the same as from a mixed model with individual RR values from all stocking events. These two estimates were also comparable to the findings from statistical catch-at-age assessments with fundamentally different assumptions. Our approach is not constrained by the assumption that the expected recruitment is a constant over time and thus has the advantage to use multiple observations on each age from multiple cohorts. Our approach has broad applicability to aquatic ecosystems in which multiple mark-and-release events of fish stocking have been implemented.

Demographics of great sturgeon (Huso huso) in Iranian waters of the Caspian Sea (2008–2010)

Demographic data of the great sturgeon, Huso huso, from the Iranian coastal waters of the Caspian Sea were derived from measurements of individuals with a fork length ranging from 84 to 255 cm, obtained from commercial fisheries. The maximum age of fish caught in the south Caspian Sea was 30 years. The estimates of the asymptotic length L∞ and the growth coefficient (K) were 265.255 cm and 0.062 per year for males and 275.78 cm and 0.08 per year for females, respectively. Total mortality rates obtained by Gulland's method were larger for males (0.64) than for females (0.46). Annual mortality rates were calculated as 47% for males and 37% for females. Data obtained in this study and their comparison with data from previous studies indicate that the great sturgeon stock is definitely exploited in an unsustainable manner.

Dying From Or With SARS-CoV-2 – Prospective Postmortem Evaluation of 735 Consecutive Death Cases –

BackgroundCoronavirus disease 19 (COVID-19), caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), has become a global pandemic with significant mortality. Accurate information on the specific circumstances of death and whether patients died from or with SARS-CoV-2 is scarce.MethodsTo distinguish COVID-19 from non-COVID-19 deaths, we performed a systematic review of 735 SARS-CoV-2-associated deaths in Hamburg, Germany, from March to December 2020, using conventional autopsy, ultrasound-guided minimally invasive autopsy, postmortem computed tomography and medical records. Statistical analyses including multiple logistic regression were used to compare both cohorts.Findings84.1% (n=618) were classified as COVID-19 deaths, 6.4% (n=47) as non-COVID-19 deaths, 9.5% (n=70) remained unclear. Median age of COVID-19 deaths was 83.0 years, 54.4% were male. In the autopsy group (n=283), the majority died of pneumonia and/or diffuse alveolar damage (73.6%; n=187). Thromboses were found in 39.2% (n=62/158 cases), pulmonary embolism in 22.1% (n=56/253 cases). In 2020, annual mortality in Hamburg was about 5.5% higher than in the previous 20 years, of which 3.4% (n=618) represented COVID-19 deaths.InterpretationOur study highlights the need for mortality surveillance and postmortem examinations. The vast majority of individuals who died directly from SARS-CoV-2 infection were of advanced age and had multiple comorbidities.

Mortality among involuntary inpatients of psychiatric hospital

Background Mortality is often used as an indicator of public health efforts. Even if mortality in psychiatric hospitals decreased since the introduction of modern treatment, the death toll is still high. The authors have analyzed the forensic autopsy data and the medical documentation regarding 115 death cases from psychiatric hospitals in south-eastern Romania during the period of 2000–2020. Results The average annual mortality rate was 5.13‰, the necropsy data corroborated with those from the medical documentary material indicates acute myocardial infarction as the dominant cause, with 65 (56.5%) cases, followed by upper respiratory tract occlusion with 23 cases (20%) and pulmonary thromboembolism in 4 cases (12.2%). Furthermore, in 6 cases (5.2%) the cause of death was traumatic: 4 cases of cranio-cerebral trauma and 2 cases of hanging. Conclusions In the mortality structure of psychiatric patients, cardiac death predominated, being influenced by the cardiotoxic effect of medication administered for the specific pathology; hence, an early involvement of cardiologists in the follow-up of patients and the finding of treatment schemes with a reduced cardiotoxic effect are required.