N-intertwined SIS epidemic model with Markovian switching

2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (04) ◽  
pp. 1950031 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaochun Cao ◽  
Zhen Jin

Epidemic dynamics is often subject to environmental noise and uncertainty. In this paper, we investigate the effect of color noise on the spread of epidemic in complex networks, which is modeled by stochastic switched differential equations based on the [Formula: see text]-intertwined SIS model using a continuous time finite-state Markov chain. Applying Lyapunov functions, we prove that the model has a unique global positive solution and establish sufficient conditions for stochastic extinction and permanence of the epidemic. We also show that the solution is stochastically ultimately bounded and the variance of the solution is bounded too. Furthermore, we discuss the limit of the time average of the solution. Finally, numerical simulations are carried out to illustrate our theoretical results.

2015 ◽  
Vol 2015 ◽  
pp. 1-14 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yanju Xiao ◽  
Weipeng Zhang ◽  
Guifeng Deng ◽  
Zhehua Liu

This paper introduces the global dynamics of an SIS model with bilinear incidence rate and saturated treatment function. The treatment function is a continuous and differential function which shows the effect of delayed treatment when the rate of treatment is lower and the number of infected individuals is getting larger. Sufficient conditions for the existence and global asymptotic stability of the disease-free and endemic equilibria are given in this paper. The first Lyapunov coefficient is computed to determine various types of Hopf bifurcation, such as subcritical or supercritical. By some complex algebra, the Bogdanov-Takens normal form and the three types of bifurcation curves are derived. Finally, mathematical analysis and numerical simulations are given to support our theoretical results.


2021 ◽  
Vol 0 (0) ◽  
pp. 0
Author(s):  
Miaomiao Gao ◽  
Daqing Jiang ◽  
Tasawar Hayat ◽  
Ahmed Alsaedi ◽  
Bashir Ahmad

<p style='text-indent:20px;'>This paper focuses on the spread dynamics of an HIV/AIDS model with multiple stages of infection and treatment, which is disturbed by both white noise and telegraph noise. Switching between different environmental states is governed by Markov chain. Firstly, we prove the existence and uniqueness of the global positive solution. Then we investigate the existence of a unique ergodic stationary distribution by constructing suitable Lyapunov functions with regime switching. Furthermore, sufficient conditions for extinction of the disease are derived. The conditions presented for the existence of stationary distribution improve and generalize the previous results. Finally, numerical examples are given to illustrate our theoretical results.</p>


2012 ◽  
Vol 49 (4) ◽  
pp. 1036-1051 ◽  
Author(s):  
Damian Clancy

For a sequence of finite state space birth–death processes, each having a single absorbing state, we show that, under certain conditions, as the size of the state space tends to infinity, the quasistationary distributions converge to the stationary distribution of a limiting infinite state space birth–death process. This generalizes a result of Keilson and Ramaswamy by allowing birth and death rates to depend upon the size of the state space. We give sufficient conditions under which the convergence result of Keilson and Ramaswamy remains valid. The generalization allows us to apply our convergence result to examples from population biology: a Pearl–Verhulst logistic population growth model and the susceptible-infective-susceptible (SIS) model for infectious spread. The limit distributions obtained suggest new finite-population approximations to the quasistationary distributions of these models, obtained by the method of cumulant closure. The new approximations are found to be both simple in form and accurate.


2012 ◽  
Vol 49 (04) ◽  
pp. 1036-1051
Author(s):  
Damian Clancy

For a sequence of finite state space birth–death processes, each having a single absorbing state, we show that, under certain conditions, as the size of the state space tends to infinity, the quasistationary distributions converge to the stationary distribution of a limiting infinite state space birth–death process. This generalizes a result of Keilson and Ramaswamy by allowing birth and death rates to depend upon the size of the state space. We give sufficient conditions under which the convergence result of Keilson and Ramaswamy remains valid. The generalization allows us to apply our convergence result to examples from population biology: a Pearl–Verhulst logistic population growth model and the susceptible-infective-susceptible (SIS) model for infectious spread. The limit distributions obtained suggest new finite-population approximations to the quasistationary distributions of these models, obtained by the method of cumulant closure. The new approximations are found to be both simple in form and accurate.


2011 ◽  
Vol 2011 ◽  
pp. 1-15 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kanit Mukdasai ◽  
Piyapong Niamsup

We consider Lyapunov stability theory of linear time-varying system and derive sufficient conditions for uniform stability, uniform exponential stability, -uniform stability, andh-stability for linear time-varying system with nonlinear perturbation on time scales. We construct appropriate Lyapunov functions and derive several stability conditions. Numerical examples are presented to illustrate the effectiveness of the theoretical results.


Complexity ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-9
Author(s):  
Maoxing Liu ◽  
Xinjie Fu ◽  
Jie Zhang ◽  
Donghua Zhao

In this paper, we propose a susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) epidemic model with demographics on heterogeneous metapopulation networks. We analytically derive the basic reproduction number, which determines not only the existence of endemic equilibrium but also the global dynamics of the model. The model always has the disease-free equilibrium, which is globally asymptotically stable when the basic reproduction number is less than unity and otherwise unstable. We also provide sufficient conditions on the global stability of the unique endemic equilibrium. Numerical simulations are performed to illustrate the theoretical results and the effects of the connectivity and diffusion. Furthermore, we find that diffusion rates play an active role in controlling the spread of infectious diseases.


Author(s):  
Miaomiao Gao ◽  
Daqing Jiang ◽  
Xiangdan Wen

In this paper, we study the dynamical behavior of a stochastic two-compartment model of [Formula: see text]-cell chronic lymphocytic leukemia, which is perturbed by white noise. Firstly, by constructing suitable Lyapunov functions, we establish sufficient conditions for the existence of a unique ergodic stationary distribution. Then, conditions for extinction of the disease are derived. Furthermore, numerical simulations are presented for supporting the theoretical results. Our results show that large noise intensity may contribute to extinction of the disease.


Author(s):  
Hao Peng ◽  
Xinhong Zhang ◽  
Daqing Jiang

In this paper, we analyze a stochastic rabies epidemic model which is perturbed by both white noise and telegraph noise. First, we prove the existence of the unique global positive solution. Second, by constructing an appropriate Lyapunov function, we establish a sufficient condition for the existence of a unique ergodic stationary distribution of the positive solutions to the model. Then we establish sufficient conditions for the extinction of diseases. Finally, numerical simulations are introduced to illustrate our theoretical results.


Symmetry ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (5) ◽  
pp. 745 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tongqian Zhang ◽  
Tingting Ding ◽  
Ning Gao ◽  
Yi Song

In this paper, a stochastic SIRC epidemic model for Influenza A is proposed and investigated. First, we prove that the system exists a unique global positive solution. Second, the extinction of the disease is explored and the sufficient conditions for extinction of the disease are derived. And then the existence of a unique ergodic stationary distribution of the positive solutions for the system is discussed by constructing stochastic Lyapunov function. Furthermore, numerical simulations are employed to illustrate the theoretical results. Finally, we give some further discussions about the system.


2019 ◽  
Vol 2019 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Cuimei Jiang ◽  
Akbar Zada ◽  
M. Tamer Şenel ◽  
Tongxing Li

Abstract This paper discusses the synchronization problem of N-coupled fractional-order chaotic systems with ring connection via bidirectional coupling. On the basis of the direct design method, we design the appropriate controllers to transform the fractional-order error dynamical system into a nonlinear system with antisymmetric structure. By choosing appropriate fractional-order Lyapunov functions and employing the fractional-order Lyapunov-based stability theory, several sufficient conditions are obtained to ensure the asymptotical stabilization of the fractional-order error system at the origin. The proposed method is universal, simple, and theoretically rigorous. Finally, some numerical examples are presented to illustrate the validity of theoretical results.


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