TECHNOLOGY FUTURES ANALYSIS METHODOLOGIES FOR SUSTAINABLE ENERGY TECHNOLOGIES

2007 ◽  
Vol 04 (02) ◽  
pp. 171-190 ◽  
Author(s):  
JOANNE G. PHILLIPS ◽  
TED R. HEIDRICK ◽  
IAN J. POTTER
Keyword(s):  
Technology Assessment ◽  
Sustainable Energy ◽  
Assessment Criteria ◽  
Energy Technology ◽  
Environmental Technology ◽  
Energy Technologies ◽  
The Future ◽  
Future Value ◽  
Current Energy ◽  
A Current

Futures Analysis Methodologies are reviewed and assessed to determine the most appropriate methodology for assessing the future value of a current investment in a sustainable energy technology. Assessment criteria are defined and each method is evaluated against these criteria. The paper provides preliminary conclusions regarding which methodologies to pursue for the purpose of developing a model to predict the future value of a current energy/environmental technology.

The Role of the National Energy Technology Laboratory (NETL) in the Advancement of Energy and Environmental Technologies: Reference Material

2001 ◽  
Author(s):  
Arthur L. Baldwin
Keyword(s):  
Reference Material ◽  
Energy Technology ◽  
Environmental Technology ◽  
Technology Advancement ◽  
The Future ◽  
Environmental Technologies

Abstract • Why is Energy Important? • Energy, and the Future • What is NETL? • NETL’s Role in Energy and Environmental Technology Advancement • Partnerships

scholarly journals A Developed Framework for Energy Technology Sustainability Assessment

2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 832-838 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
System Dynamics ◽  
Technology Assessment ◽  
New Technologies ◽  
Sustainability Assessment ◽  
Sustainable Growth ◽  
Energy Technology ◽  
Energy Technologies ◽  
Valuation Method ◽  
System Method ◽  
Technology Growth

Technology assessment has reformed in nature over the last four decades from an analytical tool for technology evaluation, which relies extensively on quantitative and qualitative modelling methods to strategic plan tool for policy creation regarding satisfactory new technologies, that based on participative policy problematic investigation. The aim of assessing technology today is to make policy choices for solutions to organizational and social problems. which, at the workable level, use innovative technologies which considered publicly acceptable, that is, practical policy decisions. This paper concentrates on the progressing of a framework that joins a technology valuation method, namely, system dynamics, inside the larger opportunity of technology growth for sustainability. The framework, called system method to technology sustainability assessment (SATSA), joining three main fundamentals: technology progress, sustainable progress, and dynamic systems method. The article after that determines the framework of integrating the system dynamics procedure in energy technology assessment philosophy and exercise inside the framework of sustainable growth. The framework offers for technology sustainability assessment, which can direct the upgrade of sustainable energy technologies at a policy class. Additionally, it can support the technology inventors to understand the possible effects of technology, therefore allowing them to decrease technology transmission hazards.

Post-Soviet economy development: From the past to the future

2017 ◽  
pp. 5-21 ◽  
Author(s):  
E. Yasin
Keyword(s):  
Present Situation ◽  
Soviet Economy ◽  
Market Reforms ◽  
Democratic Development ◽  
The Past ◽  
Current Period ◽  
The Future ◽  
History Of ◽  
Working Out ◽  
A Current

The article is devoted to major events in the history of the post-Soviet economy, their influence on forming and development of modern Russia. The author considers stages of restructuring, market reforms, transformational crisis, and recovery growth (1999-2011), as well as a current period which started in2011 and is experiencing serious problems. The present situation is analyzed, four possible scenarios are put forward for Russia: “inertia”, “mobilization”, “decisive leap”, “gradual democratic development”. More than 30 experts were questioned in the process of working out the scenarios.

Smart Estimation Ver-H.1.0

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sigit Haryadi
Keyword(s):  
Sample Size ◽  
Confidence Level ◽  
Time Span ◽  
Regression Equation ◽  
Weight Factor ◽  
The Past ◽  
Level Of Confidence ◽  
The Future ◽  
Future Value ◽  
The Difference

We cannot be sure exactly what will happen, we can only estimate by using a particular method, where each method must have the formula to create a regression equation and a formula to calculate the confidence level of the estimated value. This paper conveys a method of estimating the future values, in which the formula for creating a regression equation is based on the assumption that the future value will depend on the difference of the past values divided by a weight factor which corresponding to the time span to the present, and the formula for calculating the level of confidence is to use "the Haryadi Index". The advantage of this method is to remain accurate regardless of the sample size and may ignore the past value that is considered irrelevant.

The time that money requires: Use of the future and critique of the present in financial valuation

2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 95-113
Author(s):  
Fabian Muniesa ◽  
Liliana Doganova
Keyword(s):  
Investment Decisions ◽  
Financial Valuation ◽  
The Future ◽  
History Of ◽  
Future Value ◽  
Philosophical Implication ◽  
Sociology Of Finance ◽  
Uncertain Future ◽  
Political Technology

The future is persistently considered in the sociology of finance from two divergent, problematic angles. The first approach consists in supplementing financial reasoning with an acknowledgement of the expectations that are needed in order to cope with an uncertain future and justify the viability of investment decisions. The second approach, often labelled critical, sees on the contrary in the logic of finance a negation of the future and an exacerbation of the valuation of the present. This is an impasse the response to which resides, we suggest, in considering the language of future value, which is indeed inherent to a financial view on things, as a political technology. We develop this argument through an examination of significant episodes in the history of financial reasoning on future value. We explore a main philosophical implication which consists in suggesting that the medium of temporality, understood in the dominant sense of a temporal progression inside which projects and expectations unfold, is not a condition for but rather a consequence of the idea of financial valuation.

Physics and Technology of Sustainable Energy

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
E. L. Wolf
Keyword(s):  
Quantum Physics ◽  
Fossil Fuels ◽  
Sustainable Energy ◽  
College Level ◽  
Adequate Treatment ◽  
Power Sources ◽  
Earth’S Atmosphere ◽  
Energy Technologies ◽  
Electric Power Grid ◽  
Earth's Atmosphere

This is a physics textbook describing, at a college level, the physics and technology needed to provide sustainable long-term energy, past the era of fossil fuels. A summary is given of global power generation and consumption, with estimates of times until conventional fuels will deplete. Sustainable power sources, largely those coming from the Sun directly or indirectly, are described. As sustainable energy must preserve the Earth’s atmosphere and climate, key elements of these topics are included. Key energy technologies in this book include photovoltaics, wind turbines and the electric power grid, for which the underlying physics is developed. Nuclear fusion is described in the context of the Sun’s energy generation, in a brief description of tokamak fusion reactors, and also to introduce ideas of quantum physics needed for adequate treatment of photovoltaic devices. Energy flow in and out of the Earth’s atmosphere is discussed, including the role of greenhouse gas impurities arising from fossil fuel burning as trapping heat and raising the Earth’s temperature. Discussion is included of the Earth’s climatic history and future. Exercises are included for each chapter.

Arts-Based Research: Merging Social Research and the Creative Arts

2020 ◽  
pp. 600-632
Author(s):  
Gioia Chilton ◽  
Patricia Leavy
Keyword(s):  
Social Research ◽  
Mixed Media ◽  
Assessment Criteria ◽  
Creative Arts ◽  
Arts Based Research ◽  
Poetic Inquiry ◽  
Public Scholarship ◽  
Literary Forms ◽  
The Future ◽  
Methodological Principles

Arts-based research (ABR) is a rapidly growing methodological genre. Arts-based research adapts the tenets of the creative arts in social research to make that research publicly accessible, evocative, and engaged. This chapter provides a retrospective and prospective overview of the field, including a review of some of the pioneers of arts-based research, methodological principles, and robust examples of arts-based research in different artistic genres. We include literary forms such as poetic inquiry and fiction, performative forms such as playbuilding, ethnodrama, ethnotheater and film, and visual forms such as photography, collage, art journaling, and mixed media. We note researches also use multiple art forms, and evolving and innovative forms of art. We provide suggestions for (contested) assessment criteria, such as utility, aesthetics, authenticity and valuing participatory and transformative approaches. The chapter closes with our thoughts regarding the future of the field, which includes ABR’s potential to improve public scholarship.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document