Dynamic analysis of an SEIRS model with nonlinear infectivity on complex networks

2015 ◽  
Vol 09 (01) ◽  
pp. 1650009 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shouying Huang

In this paper, we study the spreading of infections on complex heterogeneous networks based on an SEIRS epidemic model with nonlinear infectivity. By mathematical analysis, the basic reproduction number R0 is obtained. When R0 is less than one, the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable and the disease dies out, while R0 is greater than one, the disease-free equilibrium becomes unstable and the disease is permanent, and in the meantime there exists a unique endemic equilibrium which is globally attractive under certain conditions. Finally, the effects of various immunization schemes are studied. To verify our theoretical results, the corresponding numerical simulations are also included.

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lei Zhang ◽  
Maoxing Liu ◽  
Qiang Hou ◽  
Boli Xie

Abstract For some infectious diseases, such as herpes and tuberculosis, there is incomplete recovery and relapse. These phenomena make them difficult to control. In consequence of this status, an SEIRS epidemic model with incomplete recovery and relapse on networks is established and the global dynamics is studied. The results show that when the basic reproduction number R 0 <=1 the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable; when R 0 > 1, the endemic equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable. In addition, in consideration of vaccination control strategy, an SVEIRS model is introduced and the optimal control is solved. At last, the theoretical results are illustrated with numerical simulations.


Mathematics ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 6 (12) ◽  
pp. 328 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yanli Ma ◽  
Jia-Bao Liu ◽  
Haixia Li

In this paper, an SIQR (Susceptible, Infected, Quarantined, Recovered) epidemic model with vaccination, elimination, and quarantine hybrid strategies is proposed, and the dynamics of this model are analyzed by both theoretical and numerical means. Firstly, the basic reproduction number R 0 , which determines whether the disease is extinct or not, is derived. Secondly, by LaSalles invariance principle, it is proved that the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable when R 0 < 1 , and the disease dies out. By Routh-Hurwitz criterion theory, we also prove that the disease-free equilibrium is unstable and the unique endemic equilibrium is locally asymptotically stable when R 0 > 1 . Thirdly, by constructing a suitable Lyapunov function, we obtain that the unique endemic equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable and the disease persists at this endemic equilibrium if it initially exists when R 0 > 1 . Finally, some numerical simulations are presented to illustrate the analysis results.


2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hai-Feng Huo ◽  
Guang-Ming Qiu

A more realistic mathematical model of malaria is introduced, in which we not only consider the recovered humans return to the susceptible class, but also consider the recovered humans return to the infectious class. The basic reproduction numberR0is calculated by next generation matrix method. It is shown that the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable ifR0≤1, and the system is uniformly persistence ifR0>1. Some numerical simulations are also given to explain our analytical results. Our results show that to control and eradicate the malaria, it is very necessary for the government to decrease the relapse rate and increase the recovery rate.


2007 ◽  
Vol 8 (3) ◽  
pp. 191-203 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Tumwiine ◽  
J. Y. T. Mugisha ◽  
L. S. Luboobi

We use a model to study the dynamics of malaria in the human and mosquito population to explain the stability patterns of malaria. The model results show that the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable and occurs whenever the basic reproduction number,R0is less than unity. We also note that whenR0>1, the disease-free equilibrium is unstable and the endemic equilibrium is stable. Numerical simulations show that recoveries and temporary immunity keep the populations at oscillation patterns and eventually converge to a steady state.


2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 106-124
Author(s):  
Raqqasyi Rahmatullah Musafir ◽  
Agus Suryanto ◽  
Isnani Darti

We discuss the dynamics of new COVID-19 epidemic model by considering asymptomatic infections and the policies such as quarantine, protection (adherence to health protocols), and vaccination. The proposed model contains nine subpopulations: susceptible (S), exposed (E), symptomatic infected (I), asymptomatic infected (A), recovered (R), death (D), protected (P), quarantined (Q), and vaccinated (V ). We first show the non-negativity and boundedness of solutions. The equilibrium points, basic reproduction number, and stability of equilibrium points, both locally and globally, are also investigated analytically. The proposed model has disease-free equilibrium point and endemic equilibrium point. The disease-free equilibrium point always exists and is globally asymptotically stable if basic reproduction number is less than one. The endemic equilibrium point exists uniquely and is globally asymptotically stable if the basic reproduction number is greater than one. These properties have been confirmed by numerical simulations using the fourth order Runge-Kutta method. Numerical simulations show that the disease transmission rate of asymptomatic infection, quarantine rates, protection rate, and vaccination rates affect the basic reproduction number and hence also influence the stability of equilibrium points.


2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-6 ◽  
Author(s):  
El Mehdi Lotfi ◽  
Mehdi Maziane ◽  
Khalid Hattaf ◽  
Noura Yousfi

The aim of this paper is to study the dynamics of a reaction-diffusion SIR epidemic model with specific nonlinear incidence rate. The global existence, positivity, and boundedness of solutions for a reaction-diffusion system with homogeneous Neumann boundary conditions are proved. The local stability of the disease-free equilibrium and endemic equilibrium is obtained via characteristic equations. By means of Lyapunov functional, the global stability of both equilibria is investigated. More precisely, our results show that the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable if the basic reproduction number is less than or equal to unity, which leads to the eradication of disease from population. When the basic reproduction number is greater than unity, then disease-free equilibrium becomes unstable and the endemic equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable; in this case the disease persists in the population. Numerical simulations are presented to illustrate our theoretical results.


2012 ◽  
Vol 2012 ◽  
pp. 1-14 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hai-Feng Huo ◽  
Li-Xiang Feng

An epidemic model with incomplete treatment and vaccination for the newborns and susceptibles is constructed. We establish that the global dynamics are completely determined by the basic reproduction numberR0. IfR0≤1, then the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable. IfR0>1, the endemic equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable. Some numerical simulations are also given to explain our conclusions.


2015 ◽  
Vol 08 (06) ◽  
pp. 1550082 ◽  
Author(s):  
Muhammad Altaf Khan ◽  
Yasir Khan ◽  
Qaiser Badshah ◽  
Saeed Islam

In this paper, an SEIVR epidemic model with generalized incidence and preventive vaccination is considered. First, we formulate the model and obtain its basic properties. Then, we find the equilibrium points of the model, the disease-free and the endemic equilibrium. The stability of disease-free and endemic equilibrium is associated with the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text]. If the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text], the disease-free equilibrium is locally as well as globally asymptotically stable. Moreover, if the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text], the disease is uniformly persistent and the unique endemic equilibrium of the system is locally as well as globally asymptotically stable under certain conditions. Finally, the numerical results justify the analytical results.


2016 ◽  
Vol 24 (04) ◽  
pp. 577-609 ◽  
Author(s):  
YANRU YAO ◽  
JUPING ZHANG

In this paper, we develop a two-strain SIS model on heterogeneous networks with demographics for disease transmission. We calculate the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text] of infection for the model. We prove that if [Formula: see text], the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable. If [Formula: see text], the conditions of the existence and global asymptotical stability of two boundary equilibria and the existence of endemic equilibria are established, respectively. Numerical simulations illustrate that the degree distribution of population varies with time before it reaches the stationary state. What is more, the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text] does not depend on the degree distribution like in the static network but depend on the demographic factors.


2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-13
Author(s):  
Kai Wang ◽  
Xueliang Zhang ◽  
Zhidong Teng ◽  
Lei Wang ◽  
Liping Zhang

A patch model for echinococcosis due to dogs migration is proposed to explore the effect of dogs migration among patches on the spread of echinococcosis. We firstly define the basic reproduction numberR0. The mathematical results show that the dynamics of the model can be completely determined byR0. IfR0<1, the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable. WhenR0>1, the model is permanence and endemic equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable. According to the simulations, it is shown that the larger diffusion of dogs from the lower epidemic areas to the higher prevalence areas can intensify the spread of echinococcosis. However, the larger diffusion of dogs from the higher prevalence areas to the lower epidemic areas can reduce the spread and is beneficial for disease control.


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