scholarly journals The Assessment of Systemic Risk in the Kenyan Banking Sector

Complexity ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-15 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hong Fan ◽  
Allan Alvin Lee Lukaya Amalia ◽  
Qian Qian Gao
Keyword(s):  
Systemic Risk ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Stress Test ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Financial Data ◽  
Annual Reports ◽  
Centrality Measures ◽  
Network Centrality ◽  
Regulatory Body ◽  
Stress Tests

The present paper aims to assess the systemic risk of the Kenyan banking system. We propose a theoretical framework to reveal the time evolution of the systemic risk using sequences of financial data and use the framework to assess the systemic risk of the Kenyan banking system that is regarded as the largest in the East and Central African region. Firstly, we estimate the bilateral exposures matrix using aggregate financial data on loans and deposits from annual reports and analyze the interconnectedness in the market using network centrality measures. Next, we extend the Eisenberg–Noe method to a multiperiod setting to the systemic risk of the Kenyan banking system, in which the multiperiod includes the dynamic evolutions of the Kenyan banking system of every bank and the structure of the interbank network system. We apply this framework to assess dynamically the systemic risk of the Kenyan banking system between 2009 and 2015. The main findings are the following. The theoretical network analysis using network centrality measures showed several banks displaying characteristics of systematically important banks (SIBs). The theoretical default analysis showed that a bank suffering a basic default will trigger a contagious default that caused several other banks in the sector to go bankrupt. Further stress test proved that the KCB bank theoretically caused a few contagious defaults due to an unusually high interconnectedness. This methodology can contribute by being part of monitoring system of the Central Bank of Kenya (regulatory body) as well as the implementation of policies (such as bank-internal stress tests) that assist in preventing default contagion.

Stress-testing Russian Banking System: Will Banks Need Government Assistance Again?

2010 ◽  
pp. 61-81 ◽  
Author(s):  
O. Solntsev ◽  
A. Pestova ◽  
M. Mamonov
Keyword(s):  
Stress Testing ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Stress Test ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Government Assistance ◽  
Methodological Issues ◽  
Loan Portfolio ◽  
Macroeconomic Indicators ◽  
Remote Stress ◽  
Capital Injections

The article analyzes factors that affect growth of the share of non-performing loans in the loan portfolio of Russian banks and proposes approaches for this share forecasting on the basis of dynamics of macroeconomic indicators. It also deals with methodological issues of remote stress-test of lending agencies. Using the results of conducted stress-test of Russian banks the authors assess their perspective capital needs in 2010 and estimate the share of government assistance in capital injections. Furthermore, the authors define the scale of vulnerable banks groups in the Russian banking sector.

scholarly journals Revenue Diversification, Risk and Bank Performance of Vietnamese Commercial Banks

2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 138 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ngoc Nguyen
Keyword(s):  
Commercial Banks ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Transformation Model ◽  
Annual Reports ◽  
Bank Performance ◽  
Method Of Moment ◽  
Revenue Diversification ◽  
Interest Income ◽  
Using Data

In the future, when the process of economic integration in the banking sector is more powerful, and competitive, diversifying revenue is an inevitable and objective trend to help the banks increase profits, minimize risks and improve their competitive position in the system. The research is on the relationship between revenue diversification, risk and bank performance using data from audited financial statements and annual reports of 26 commercial banks listed and unlisted in Vietnam during the period 2010–2018. The research method uses Generalized Method of Moment (GMM) modeling techniques to solve endogenous problems, variance and autocorrelation in the research model. Research results show that diversification negatively impacts profitability and the higher the diversification, the higher the risk of commercial banks. However, the more diversified listed banks, the more increased the bank’s stability. The banks show the weakness and lack of experience of the banking system in developing a reasonable profit transformation model. The revenue diversification of banks is currently passive and moves slowly. Interest income is still the motivation of bank development, boosting profit growth. Growth, as well as the contribution from service activities, is not commensurate with potentials; although there are many positive points, they are not enough to cover risks from net interest income activities.

Bank Capital Requirements after the Financial Crisis

2019 ◽  
pp. 706-735
Author(s):  
Mark E. Van Der Weide ◽  
Jeffrey Y. Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Structural Changes ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Balance Sheet ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Capital Requirements ◽  
Bank Capital ◽  
Regulatory Capital ◽  
Stress Tests ◽  
Global Banking

Regulators responded with an array of strategies to shore up weaknesses exposed by the 2008 financial crisis. This chapter focuses on reforms to bank capital regulation. We first discuss the ways in which the post-crisis Basel III reforms recalibrated the existing framework by improving the quality of capital, increasing the quantity of capital, and improving the calculation of risk weights. We then shift to the major structural changes in the regulatory capital framework—capital buffers on top of the minimum requirements; a leverage ratio that explicitly accounts for off-balance-sheet exposures; risk-based and leverage capital surcharges on the largest banks; bail-in debt to facilitate orderly resolution; and forward-looking stress tests. We conclude with a quantitative assessment of the evolution of capital in the global banking system and in the US banking sector.

scholarly journals Relationship between financial performances and marketing practices in the banking sector of Jordan

2019 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
pp. 11-19
Author(s):  
Majed Khalil Shami
Keyword(s):  
Banking Sector ◽  
Financial Statements ◽  
Middle Level ◽  
Financial Data ◽  
Annual Reports ◽  
Target Market ◽  
Scheffe Test ◽  
The Relationship

The study aims at analyzing the relationship between financial performances and marketing practices in the banking sector of Jordan. A questionnaire was distributed to 45 top, middle, and branch level managers of 15 banks. The financial data was obtained from the financial statements and annual reports of the banks during the five-year period between 2011 and 2015. The three categories of participants, who were recruited, were top-level managers, middle-level managers and branch-level managers from 17 banks of Jordan. No two means were found to differ significantly at 0.05 level by means of Scheffe test. The results revealed that the more positive the perception was of the managers regarding the position of their banks in the market, the more they were inclined to choose an accurate target market in accomplishing their marketing objectives. Therefore, it has been concluded that when the financial needs of the customers were similar, the change in the loan-to-deposit ratio was significantly positive.

scholarly journals MODEL OF ASSESSMENT OF THE IMPACT OF MAIN CHALLENGES OF MODERNITY ON EMPLOYMENT IN BANKING SECTOR ACCORDING TO STRESS TESTING METHODOLOGY

2021 ◽  
pp. 214-227
Author(s):  
O.O. Domuz ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Stress Testing ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Extreme Values ◽  
Stress Test ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Criteria And Indicators ◽  
Banking Institutions ◽  
System 2 ◽  
The Impact

According to results of the study, globalization factors that require specific approaches to analysis in the context of changes and transformations that occur in socio-economic sphere of banking system; A model of stress testing to assess the impact of global factors on changes in the level and structure of employment of employees of banking institutions, based on the use of tools to find extreme values ​​at the level of individual banking institutions and the banking system as a whole are showen; In order to test the model, the stages of its application are formed: 1. selection of criteria for stress testing of changes in the bank's employment system; 2. the choice of indicators that characterize changes in the level and structure of employment of a bank; 3. conducting stress testing of criteria and indicators based on the use of tools for detecting extreme quantities; 4. construction of a stress test map by periods; 5. comparison of stress test maps of impact criteria and indicators, analysis of common sensitivity points in order to identify the causes and degree of influence of global factors; Within the framework of the model, special attention is paid to analytical methods to determine the impact and sensitivity of the employment response to trends and changes in the macro- and microeconomic environment; Using the method of determining extreme values, the existence of a relationship between the criteria that characterize the financial and economic performance of national banks and the degree of transformational changes in bank employment; As a result of the construction of stress test maps, it was determined that the criteria of financial and economic activity of banks and employment indicators in banking sector are highly sensitive to crises in respective periods, but respond differently to macroeconomic factors of different periods; The proposals on the expediency and necessity of using the model of stress testing in national banking system are formed.

scholarly journals Basic Indicators of Systemic Risk in the EU Banking Sector. Implications for Banking Regulation

2015 ◽  
Vol 47 (1) ◽  
pp. 36-55 ◽  
Author(s):  
Katarzyna Sum
Keyword(s):  
Systemic Risk ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Empirical Investigation ◽  
Stress Test ◽  
Balance Sheet ◽  
Banking Regulation ◽  
Risk Regulation ◽  
Test Analysis ◽  
Supranational Level ◽  
The Eu

Abstract The issue of systemic risk regulation and management has gained substantial attention following the latest financial crisis. In the case of the EU it became crucial to deal with the systemic risk problem on a supranational level since the banking sectors of the member countries are highly integrated. While substantial measures have been undertaken to mitigate systemic risk in the EU, the discussion of further reforms continues. This study’s goal is to assess basic indicators of systemic risk in the EU banking sector by using three complementary methods: a forward-looking stock market data analysis, an EU-stress test analysis for systemically important banks, and an empirical investigation of the relation between banking regulation and systemic risk as measured by bank balance sheet indicators. The results lead to a recommendation of further necessary regulatory reforms, which appear in the conclusion.

scholarly journals France

2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (322) ◽  
Author(s):  
Keyword(s):  
Systemic Risk ◽  
Stress Testing ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Global Scale ◽  
Technical Note ◽  
Insurance Companies ◽  
Stress Tests ◽  
Risk Premiums ◽  
Trade Shocks ◽  
Global Presence

France is home to numerous banks and insurers which are very active at a global scale. Four Global Systemically Important Banks (G-SIBs) are incorporated in France as well as multiple number of large insurers. Assets of banking system exceed GDP by 2.7 times. Four G-SIBs dominate France’s financial landscape, also taking into account bancassurance (i.e., banking and insurance companies working under financial conglomerate structure) business model they have. Global presence and diversification, integration of banking and insurance activities defined the perimeter and scope of systemic risk assessment (including stress testing) of FSAP. This technical note contributes to the FSAP’s assessment of systemic risk with a comprehensive set of stress testing exercises. The assessment is based on stress tests, which simulate the health of banks, insurers under severe yet plausible (counterfactual) adverse scenarios. Scenarios include global and regional financial market turmoil (shocks to term and risk premiums), a major slowdown of economic activity in Euro Area (EA) and France due to secular stagnation and trade shocks. The analyses include simulations based on solvency and liquidity scenarios.

scholarly journals What Factors Drive the Banks Systemic Risk among South Asian Countries

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Raheel Mumtaz ◽  
Quaisar Ijaz Khan ◽  
M.Farooq Rehan
Keyword(s):  
South Asian ◽  
Systemic Risk ◽  
Panel Data Analysis ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Annual Reports ◽  
Asian Countries ◽  
Leverage Ratio ◽  
Interest Income ◽  
Income Ratio ◽  
Risk Contribution

Purpose: This study designs to examine the determinants (size, liquidity ratio, leverage ratio, deposit ratio, asset growth, net interest income ratio and return on asset ratio) of bank’s systemic risk. We use the data of listed commercial banks of the South Asian countries (Pakistan, Bangladesh, and India). Design/Methodology/Approach: The sample consists 30 banks from Bangladesh, 87 banks from India and 22 banks from Pakistan. This study covers the period from 2006 to 2018. The data is collected from the published annual reports of banks and stock exchanges of respective country. The panel data analysis is performed for the estimation of research models. Findings: The findings demonstrate that larger banks contribute lower in the systemic risk of banks. Additionally, highly liquid banks enhance the systemic risk of the banking system. Moreover, the banks with greater reliance on the deposits, net interest income and with high return on asset reduce the systemic risk contribution of the banks. Implications/Originality/Value: This study provides the justification to devise the banking policies like enhance the proportion of liquidity among assets, reliance on net interest income and promote the financing needs through deposits to limit the systemic risk contribution of the banking system.                                                            

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