scholarly journals The Dynamics of a Stochastic SIR Epidemic Model with Nonlinear Incidence and Vertical Transmission

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-20
Author(s):  
Guihua Li ◽  
Yuanhang Liu
Keyword(s):  
Epidemic Model ◽  
Disease Transmission ◽  
Deterministic Model ◽  
Random Disturbance ◽  
State Variables ◽  
Sir Epidemic Model ◽  
Nonlinear Incidence ◽  
Transmission Parameters ◽  
Sir Epidemic ◽  
Stochastic Sir

In this study, we build a stochastic SIR epidemic model with vertical infection and nonlinear incidence. The influence of the fluctuation of disease transmission parameters and state variables on the dynamic behaviors of the system is the focus of our study. Through the theoretical analysis, we obtain that there exists a unique global positive solution for any positive initial value. A threshold R 0 s is given. When R 0 s < 1 , the diseases can be extincted with probability one. When R 0 s > 1 , we construct a stochastic Lyapunov function to prove that the system exists an ergodic stationary distribution, which means that the disease will persist. Then, we obtain the conditions that the solution of the stochastic model fluctuates widely near the equilibria of the corresponding deterministic model. Finally, the correctness of the results is verified by numerical simulation. It is further found that the fluctuation of disease transmission parameters and infected individuals with the environment can reduce the threshold of disease outbreak, while the fluctuation of susceptible and recovered individuals has a little effect on the dynamic behavior of the system. Therefore, we can make the disease extinct by adjusting the appropriate random disturbance.

scholarly journals Global dynamics of a novel deterministic and stochastic SIR epidemic model with vertical transmission and media coverage

2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaodong Wang ◽  
Chunxia Wang ◽  
Kai Wang
Keyword(s):  
Vertical Transmission ◽  
Epidemic Model ◽  
Media Coverage ◽  
Existence And Uniqueness ◽  
Deterministic Model ◽  
Reproduction Number ◽  
Global Dynamics ◽  
Sir Epidemic Model ◽  
Sir Epidemic ◽  
Stochastic Sir

AbstractIn this paper, we study a novel deterministic and stochastic SIR epidemic model with vertical transmission and media coverage. For the deterministic model, we give the basic reproduction number $R_{0}$ R 0 which determines the extinction or prevalence of the disease. In addition, for the stochastic model, we prove existence and uniqueness of the positive solution, and extinction and persistence in mean. Furthermore, we give numerical simulations to verify our results.

scholarly journals Stability Analysis of a Stochastic SIR Epidemic Model with Specific Nonlinear Incidence Rate

2013 ◽  
Vol 2013 ◽  
pp. 1-4 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jihad Adnani ◽  
Khalid Hattaf ◽  
Noura Yousfi
Keyword(s):  
Incidence Rate ◽  
Epidemic Model ◽  
Endemic Equilibrium ◽  
Random Perturbations ◽  
Sir Epidemic Model ◽  
Nonlinear Incidence Rate ◽  
Nonlinear Incidence ◽  
Sir Epidemic ◽  
Stochastic Sir ◽  
The Stability

We investigate a stochastic SIR epidemic model with specific nonlinear incidence rate. The stochastic model is derived from the deterministic epidemic model by introducing random perturbations around the endemic equilibrium state. The effect of random perturbations on the stability behavior of endemic equilibrium is discussed. Finally, numerical simulations are presented to illustrate our theoretical results.

scholarly journals Stability Analysis of an Age-Structured SIR Epidemic Model with a Reduction Method to ODEs

Mathematics ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 6 (9) ◽  
pp. 147 ◽  
Author(s):  
Toshikazu Kuniya
Keyword(s):  
Stability Analysis ◽  
Epidemic Model ◽  
Disease Transmission ◽  
Transmission Function ◽  
Endemic Equilibrium ◽  
Dimensional System ◽  
Relevant Parameter ◽  
Sir Epidemic Model ◽  
Sir Epidemic ◽  
Age Structured

In this paper, we are concerned with the asymptotic stability of the nontrivial endemic equilibrium of an age-structured susceptible-infective-recovered (SIR) epidemic model. For a special form of the disease transmission function, we perform the reduction of the model into a four-dimensional system of ordinary differential equations (ODEs). We show that the unique endemic equilibrium of the reduced system exists if the basic reproduction number for the original system is greater than unity. Furthermore, we perform the stability analysis of the endemic equilibrium and obtain a fourth-order characteristic equation. By using the Routh–Hurwitz criterion, we numerically show that the endemic equilibrium is asymptotically stable in some epidemiologically relevant parameter settings.

scholarly journals Global analysis of stochastic SIR model with variable diffusion rates

2018 ◽  
Vol 49 (2) ◽  
pp. 155-182 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pitchaimani M. ◽  
Rajasekar S.P.
Keyword(s):  
Equilibrium Solution ◽  
Deterministic Model ◽  
Global Analysis ◽  
Sir Epidemic Model ◽  
Treatment Rate ◽  
Stochastic Version ◽  
Sir Epidemic ◽  
Variable Diffusion ◽  
Stochastic Sir ◽  
Stochastic Sir Model

In this article, a stochastic SIR epidemic model with treatment rate in a population of varying size is proposed and investigated. For the stochastic version, we briefly discuss the existence of global unique solutions and using the Lyapunov function, the disease free equilibrium solution is globally asymptotic stabe if $\mathcal{R}_0\leq1$ and the endemic equilibrium solution is obtained when $\mathcal{R}_0>1$. The main attention is paid to the $p$th-moment exponentially stable on the system, proved under suitable assumptions on the white noise perturbations and the optimal control for the deterministic model. Finally numerical simulations are done to show our theoretical results and to demonstrate the complicated dynamics of the model.

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