scholarly journals Risk Assessment of Urban Rail Transit Project Using Interpretative Structural Modelling: Evidence from China

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Yuan Gao ◽  
Chun Kit Lau

Public-private partnership (PPP) projects require comprehensive risk assessment and management, including Urban Rail Transit (URT). A more effective risk management can benefit from an accurate understanding of the two-way influence of PPP project risk factors. This paper uses the content analysis method to filter out, compare, and analyze PPP-related literature; 12 categories of 22 PPP risk factors are extracted and identified, and the possible correlations between these risk factors are judged preliminarily. With the knowledge and advice provided by PPP experts, the initial risk relationships are adjusted and supplemented, which then help to determine a reasonable logical relationship among risk factors. The logical relationship helps analyze the risk factors based on the ISM model analysis method and builds a hierarchical structure relationship of risk factors including 6 levels. Finally, the direct, intermediate, and autonomous factors that lead to problems or failures in PPP projects are analyzed which explains in detail the paths of risk transmission and risk prevention measures of PPP companies operating URT. It lays a foundation for PPP project companies operating URT to recognize, manage, and control risks in a targeted and systematic manner.

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yanhui Wang ◽  
Yitong Wang ◽  
Man Li ◽  
Huijie Xu ◽  
Limin Jia ◽  
...  

Information ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (8) ◽  
pp. 258 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shi ◽  
Zhang ◽  
Lei

With the construction of the urban rail transit (URT) network, the explosion of passenger volume is more rapid than the increased capacity of the newly built infrastructure, which results in serious passenger flow congestion (PLC). Understanding the propagation process of PLC is the key to formulate sustainable policies for reducing congestion and optimizing management. This study proposes a susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model based on the theories of epidemiological dynamics and complex network to analyze the PLC propagation. We simulate the PLC propagation under various situations, and analyze the sensitivity of PLC propagation to model parameters. Finally, the control strategies of restricting PLC propagation are introduced from two aspects, namely, supply control and demand control. The results indicate that both of the two control strategies contribute to relieving congestion pressure. The propagating scope of PLC is more sensitive when taking mild supply control, whereas, the demand control strategy shows some advantages in flexibly implementing and dealing with serious congestion. These results are of important guidance for URT agencies to understand the mechanism of PLC propagation and formulate appropriate congestion control strategies.


2013 ◽  
Vol 357-360 ◽  
pp. 2890-2895
Author(s):  
Li Ming Xia ◽  
Le Sun

Through the identification of the risk factors affecting the total repurchase price in BT project of the urban rail transit, we obtain data by questionnaires and make cluster analysis on all risk variables.Then select the key risk factors that affect total repurchase price,which play a guiding role for controlling the total repurchase price in the BT project of urban rail transportation.


2015 ◽  
Vol 730 ◽  
pp. 327-330 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhi Da Jiao ◽  
Chun Hui Gan

Based on the operation and management of station, the research was mainly about the risk assessment method of the crowd crushing and tramping accidents in urban rail transit stations. The indicator system about the crowd crushing and tramping accidents in urban rail transit station was established. The C2R model of data envelopment analysis (DEA) was used in the risk assessment, and the model was solved with MATLAB programming. The result of the analysis is generally consistent with the actual situation.


2014 ◽  
Vol 2 (4) ◽  
pp. 372-384
Author(s):  
Yongliang Wang ◽  
Xingchen Zhang

Abstract The maximum assembling for some period on nested routing platforms of urban rail transit line were calculated by trend analysis method. Based on influencing factors of maximum assembling on platform, relative hypotheses were given. Platforms were divided to eight types by relations between platform and routing train. Interaction of passenger, train and platform, assembling change process, and calculation frames of maximum assembling on different type platforms carried out to be maximum assembling were concluded by trend analysis method. The numerical example application revealed that trend analysis method to calculate maximum assembling on nested routing platforms is feasible, and the final results by trend analysis method are more accurate than by one of codes for design of metro.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-12
Author(s):  
Yuning Wang ◽  
Yingzi Liang ◽  
Hui Sun

The decision-making for urban rail transit emergency events takes an important role in both reducing the losses caused by disasters and ensuring the safety of passengers. For the rainstorm emergency decision-making without certain scenario prediction information, considering the characteristic that the predisaster prevention measures will influence the effect of in-process countermeasures, this paper aimed to analyze the whole process scenarios for the occurrence, evolution, and development of rainstorm disaster in urban rail transit by considering the regret aversion of the decision makers. An emergency decision-making method for the beforehand-ongoing two stages rainstorm emergencies was developed to assess the emergency decision-making of urban rail transportation in different rainfall flood scenarios. Besides, the utilities and application costs of the emergency plans are also considered when defining the optimal emergency decision-making. This paper purposes the emergency decision-making model based on regret theory to define the optimal predisaster prevention method and ongoing responding measure for different disaster scenarios. Taking the Tianjin rail transportation as an example, this paper defines the optimal emergency decision-making to respond typhoon “Lekima.” The results show that if this method can be implemented in the rail transportation rainstorm disaster emergency responding and relevant disaster prevention management, then the reliability and risk responding capability of public transportation service can both be improved.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document