P5-20-03: Personalizing Supportive Care: A Clinical Prediction Model for Neutropenic Complications in Patients with Early-Stage Breast Cancer (ESBC) Receiving Intermediate Risk Chemotherapy.

Author(s):  
NM Kuderer ◽  
E Culakova ◽  
MS Poniewierski ◽  
J Crawford ◽  
D Dale ◽  
...  
1998 ◽  
Vol 16 (7) ◽  
pp. 2392-2400 ◽  
Author(s):  
J H Silber ◽  
M Fridman ◽  
R S DiPaola ◽  
M H Erder ◽  
M V Pauly ◽  
...  

PURPOSE If patients could be ranked according to their projected need for supportive care therapy, then more efficient and less costly treatment algorithms might be developed. This work reports on the construction of a model of neutropenia, dose reduction, or delay that rank-orders patients according to their need for costly supportive care such as granulocyte growth factors. PATIENTS AND METHODS A case series and consecutive sample of patients treated for breast cancer were studied. Patients had received standard-dose adjuvant chemotherapy for early-stage nonmetastatic breast cancer and were treated by four medical oncologists. Using 95 patients and validated with 80 additional patients, development models were constructed to predict one or more of the following events: neutropenia (absolute neutrophil count [ANC] < or = 250/microL), dose reduction > or = 15% of that scheduled, or treatment delay > or = 7 days. Two approaches to modeling were attempted. The pretreatment approach used only pretreatment predictors such as chemotherapy regimen and radiation history; the conditional approach included, in addition, blood count information obtained in the first cycle of treatment. RESULTS The pretreatment model was unsuccessful at predicting neutropenia, dose reduction, or delay (c-statistic = 0.63). Conditional models were good predictors of subsequent events after cycle 1 (c-statistic = 0.87 and 0.78 for development and validation samples, respectively). The depth of the first-cycle ANC was an excellent predictor of events in subsequent cycles (P = .0001 to .004). Chemotherapy plus radiation also increased the risk of subsequent events (P = .0011 to .0901). Decline in hemoglobin (HGB) level during the first cycle of therapy was a significant predictor of events in the development study (P = .0074 and .0015), and although the trend was similar in the validation study, HGB decline failed to reach statistical significance. CONCLUSION It is possible to rank patients according to their need of supportive care based on blood counts observed in the first cycle of therapy. Such rankings may aid in the choice of appropriate supportive care for patients with early-stage breast cancer.


2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (16) ◽  
pp. 4912-4923
Author(s):  
Xiaoxia Hu ◽  
Bianhong Wang ◽  
Qi Chen ◽  
Aijie Huang ◽  
Weijia Fu ◽  
...  

2020 ◽  
Vol 38 (29_suppl) ◽  
pp. 73-73
Author(s):  
Edward C. Li ◽  
Dylan Mezzio ◽  
Kimberley J. Campbell ◽  
Andrew Spargo ◽  
Gary H. Lyman

73 Background: According to clinical practice guidelines, the threshold for routine myeloid growth factor (MGF) PP is a high risk (>20%) of developing FN. However, in response to the COVID-19 pandemic, a recent recommendation expands this threshold for using MGF PP to include patients at intermediate risk (10-20%) of developing FN, with the goal of reducing emergency room and hospital visits. Patients with breast cancer receiving potentially curative chemotherapy consisting of docetaxel or paclitaxel (every 21 days) are at an intermediate risk (10-20%) of developing FN. This study evaluates the cost-effectiveness of PP vs. SP using a biosimilar MGF, filgrastim-sndz, in early-stage breast cancer patients at intermediate risk of FN. Methods: A Markov model with a lifetime horizon was constructed to evaluate the total costs and clinical outcomes when using filgrastim-sndz as PP vs. SP in 56 year old early-stage breast cancer patients receiving adjuvant docetaxel (following doxorubicin/cyclophosphamide) every 3 weeks for 4 cycles. Patients had ≥1 FN risk factor (i.e., recent surgery) without the receipt of anti-HER2 therapy, representing a 16% baseline FN risk. Average Sales Price (ASP) calculated from the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services July 2020 ASP Drug Pricing File was used as the filgrastim-sndz cost. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) were calculated for cost per FN event avoided, life-year saved (LYS), and quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained from a United States payer perspective. Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses (PSA) were conducted. Results: Filgrastim-sndz as PP vs. SP provided an additional 0.102 FN events avoided, 0.065 LYS, and 0.056 QALYs at an incremental cost of $2,106. The ICERs were $20,656, $32,624 and $37,333 for cost per FN event avoided, cost per LYS, and cost per QALY gained, respectively. In the PSA, the likelihood of cost-effectiveness at a willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of $50,000 per QALY gained was 71.3%. Conclusions: For early-stage breast cancer patients at intermediate risk of FN receiving adjuvant docetaxel with 1 or more risk factors, PP with filgrastim-sndz compared to SP is cost-effective based on a WTP threshold of $50,000/QALY. [Table: see text]


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