Abstract 13758: The Value of Plasma Neutrophil Gelatinase Associated Lipocalin in the Diagnosis of Cardiorenal Syndrome Type 1
Introduction: The presence of acute kidney injury in the setting of acute heart failure is very common occurrence and was termed cardiorenal syndrome 1 (CRS1). In CRS1 the diagnosis of acute kidney damage is often delayed by creatinine and urine output following KDIGO standards (Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes). Neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL) in the blood and urine is one of the earliest markers of acute kidney damage due to anemia or nephrotoxicity. Hypothesis: Plasma NGAL has good value in the diagnosis of cardiorenal syndrome type 1. Methods: There were 139 patients with acute heart failure or acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF) in the Department of cardiovascular resuscitation and Interventional cardiology at our hospital from September 2018 to June 2019. This is a prospective cohort study Results: There were 48 cases (rate 34.5%) with CRS1, medium age 66.12 ± 15.77, men accounted for 50.4%. The optimal cut-off for diagnosing NGAL CRS1 is > 353.23 ng/ml, AUC is 0.732 (95% CI 0.65-0.80, p <0.001), sensitivity 74.47%, specificity 68.48%, positive predictive value 54.7%, negative predictive value 84%. Building the optimal regression model by the BMA (Bayesian Model Average) method with 2 variables NGAL and creatinin day 1: Odds Ratio= e^y while y = - 2.39 + 0.0037 x NGAL + 0.17 x CreatininD1. Moreover, a nomogram with 2 variables NGAL and creatinin day 1 was designed to predict the likelihood of CRS1 with AUC 0.79 and validated on a testing set (consiting of 40 % of the data) by 10-cross-validation method with accuracy 79.82%. Ultimately, a confusion matrix was constructed to determine model accuracy 75.93%, sensitivity 76.74%, specificity 72.73%, positive predictive value 91.67%, negative predictive value 44.44%. Conclusions: Plasma NGAL is quite good value in the diagnosis of CRS1 in patients with acute heart failure or ADHF. A predictive model based on NGAL may help early diagnose CRS1 in patients with acute heart failure or ADHF.