A Common Wind Damage Pattern in Relation to the Classical Tornado

1957 ◽  
Vol 38 (1.1) ◽  
pp. 1-5
Author(s):  
George W. Reynolds

A wind damage pattern in which no major damage has been accomplished by winds blowing toward the direction from which the storm came can result from a classical tornado if the speed of translation is high enough relative to the maximum wind speed. A distinct rotary damage pattern indicates that the speed of translation is a less important component of the total speed. One might consider a wind damage pattern in which there is,An increase in damage intensity from right to left,No major damage accomplished to the left of the line of most extreme damage, andEvidence indicating that the damage in the major damage area was accomplished by winds blowing with the direction of translation of the storm, to be a point in favor of cyclonic rotation. If the build-up were from left to right, with the break-off to the right of the line of most extreme damage, the point would be in favor of anti-cyclonic rotation. The wind speed-wind pressure relationship is discussed briefly, and tables and graphs showing the wind speeds and pressures at points on opposite sides of a tornado, for assigned values of the speeds of rotation and translation, are included. A table estimating the total force on a wall resulting from assumed wind speeds is also presented.

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ari K. Venäläinen ◽  
Mikko O. Laapas ◽  
Pentti I. Pirinen ◽  
Matti Horttanainen ◽  
Reijo Hyvönen ◽  
...  

Abstract. The bioeconomy has an increasing role to play in climate change mitigation and the sustainable development of national economies. In a forested country, such as Finland, over 50 % of its current bioeconomy relies on the sustainable management and utilization of forest resources. Wind storms are a major risk that forests are exposed to and high spatial resolution analysis of the most vulnerable locations can produce risk assessment of forest management planning. Coarse spatial resolution estimates of the return levels of maximum wind speed based, e.g., on reanalysed meteorological data or climate scenarios can be downscaled to forest stand levels with the help of land cover and terrain elevation data. In this paper, we examine the feasibility of the wind multiplier approach for downscaling of maximum wind speed, using 20 meter spatial resolution CORINE-land use dataset and high resolution digital elevation data. A coarse spatial resolution estimate of the 10-year return level of maximum wind speed was obtained from the ERA-Interim reanalysed data. These data were downscaled to 26 meteorological station locations to represent very diverse environments: Open Baltic Sea islands, agricultural land, forested areas, and Northern Finland treeless fells. Applying a comparison, the downscaled 10-year return levels explained 77 % of the observed variation among the stations examined. In addition, the spatial variation of wind multiplier downscaled 10-year return level wind was compared with the WAsP- model simulated wind. The heterogeneous test area was situated in Northern Finland, and it was found that the major features of the spatial variation were similar, but in the details, there were relatively large differences. However, for areas representing a typical Finnish forested landscape with no major topographic variation, both of the methods produced very similar results. Further fine-tuning of wind multipliers could improve the downscaling for the locations with large topographic variation. However, the current results already indicate that the wind multiplier method offers a pragmatic and computationally feasible tool for identifying at a high spatial resolution those locations having the highest forest wind damage risks. It can also be used to provide the necessary wind climate information for wind damage risk model calculations, thus making it possible to estimate the probability of predicted threshold wind speeds for wind damage and consequently the probability (and amount) of wind damage for certain forest stand configurations.


2017 ◽  
Vol 8 (3) ◽  
pp. 529-545 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ari Venäläinen ◽  
Mikko Laapas ◽  
Pentti Pirinen ◽  
Matti Horttanainen ◽  
Reijo Hyvönen ◽  
...  

Abstract. The bioeconomy has an increasing role to play in climate change mitigation and the sustainable development of national economies. In Finland, a forested country, over 50 % of the current bioeconomy relies on the sustainable management and utilization of forest resources. Wind storms are a major risk that forests are exposed to and high-spatial-resolution analysis of the most vulnerable locations can produce risk assessment of forest management planning. In this paper, we examine the feasibility of the wind multiplier approach for downscaling of maximum wind speed, using 20 m spatial resolution CORINE land-use dataset and high-resolution digital elevation data. A coarse spatial resolution estimate of the 10-year return level of maximum wind speed was obtained from the ERA-Interim reanalyzed data. Using a geospatial re-mapping technique the data were downscaled to 26 meteorological station locations to represent very diverse environments. Applying a comparison, we find that the downscaled 10-year return levels represent 66 % of the observed variation among the stations examined. In addition, the spatial variation in wind-multiplier-downscaled 10-year return level wind was compared with the WAsP model-simulated wind. The heterogeneous test area was situated in northern Finland, and it was found that the major features of the spatial variation were similar, but in some locations, there were relatively large differences. The results indicate that the wind multiplier method offers a pragmatic and computationally feasible tool for identifying at a high spatial resolution those locations with the highest forest wind damage risks. It can also be used to provide the necessary wind climate information for wind damage risk model calculations, thus making it possible to estimate the probability of predicted threshold wind speeds for wind damage and consequently the probability (and amount) of wind damage for certain forest stand configurations.


2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (14) ◽  
pp. 1682 ◽  
Author(s):  
Torsten Geldsetzer ◽  
Shahid K. Khurshid ◽  
Kerri Warner ◽  
Filipe Botelho ◽  
Dean Flett

RADARSAT Constellation Mission (RCM) compact polarimetry (CP) data were simulated using 504 RADARSAT-2 quad-pol SAR images. These images were used to samples CP data in three RCM modes to build a data set with co-located ocean wind vector observations from in situ buoys on the West and East coasts of Canada. Wind speeds up to 18 m/s were included. CP and linear polarization parameters were related to the C-band model (CMOD) geophysical model functions CMOD-IFR2 and CMOD5n. These were evaluated for their wind retrieval potential in each RCM mode. The CP parameter Conformity was investigated to establish a data-quality threshold (>0.2), to ensure high-quality data for model validation. An accuracy analysis shows that the first Stokes vector (SV0) and the right-transmit vertical-receive backscatter (RV) parameters were as good as the VV backscatter with CMOD inversion. SV0 produced wind speed retrieval accuracies between 2.13 m/s and 2.22 m/s, depending on the RCM mode. The RCM Medium Resolution 50 m mode produced the best results. The Low Resolution 100 m and Low Noise modes provided similar results. The efficacy of SV0 and RV imparts confidence in the continuity of robust wind speed retrieval with RCM CP data. Three image-based case studies illustrate the potential for the application of CP parameters and RCM modes in operational wind retrieval systems. The results of this study provide guidance to direct research objectives once RCM is launched. The results also provide guidance for operational RCM data implementation in Canada’s National SAR winds system, which provides near-real-time wind speed estimates to operational marine forecasters and meteorologists within Environment and Climate Change Canada.


Atmosphere ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (9) ◽  
pp. 1216
Author(s):  
Lijun Liu ◽  
Fan Zhang

Wind speed affects the navigational safety of the Yangtze River, and assessing its spatiotemporal dynamics provides support for navigation management and disaster prevention. We developed a wind multiplier downscaling method integrating the effects of land use and topography, and used meteorological station observations and European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) Reanalysis Interim (ERA-Interim) reanalysis data for statistical downscaling in the Yangtze River inland waterway region from 1980 to 2017. Compared with reanalysis data, the downscaling products showed improved accuracy (especially at 5–10 m/s), and are consistent with site-based interannual variability observations. Increasing maximum wind speeds in the middle–downstream area was observed from 1980 to 1990, while a decreasing trend was observed from 2010 to 2017; the opposite was observed for the upstream. Land use has significant influence on wind speed, with a decreasing trend observed year by year for wind speed above grade 9. Although the proportion of grade 4–8 wind speed over water is small and the trend is not obvious, grade 9–10 wind speeds displayed an increasing trend from 2010 to 2017, indicating that changes in surface roughness have a significant influence on wind speed in the Yangtze River inland waterway.


Author(s):  
James B. Elsner ◽  
Thomas H. Jagger

Strong hurricanes, such as Camille in 1969, Andrew in 1992, and Katrina in 2005, cause catastrophic damage. It is important to have an estimate of when the next big one will occur. You also want to know what influences the strongest hurricanes and whether they are getting stronger as the earth warms. This chapter shows you how to model hurricane intensity. The data are basinwide lifetime highest intensities for individual tropical cyclones over the North Atlantic and county-level hurricane wind intervals. We begin by considering trends using the method of quantile regression and then examine extreme-value models for estimating return periods. We also look at modeling cyclone winds when the values are given by category, and use Miami-Dade County as an example. Here you consider cyclones above tropical storm intensity (≥ 17 m s−1) during the period 1967–2010, inclusive. The period is long enough to see changes but not too long that it includes intensity estimates before satellite observations. We use “intensity” and “strength” synonymously to mean the fastest wind inside the cyclone. Consider the set of events defined by the location and wind speed at which a tropical cyclone first reaches its lifetime maximum intensity (see Chapter 5). The data are in the file LMI.txt. Import and list the values in 10 columns of the first 6 rows of the data frame by typing . . . > LMI.df = read.table("LMI.txt", header=TRUE) > round(head(LMI.df)[c(1, 5:9, 12, 16)], 1). . . The data set is described in Chapter 6. Here your interest is the smoothed intensity estimate at the time of lifetime maximum (WmaxS). First, convert the wind speeds from the operational units of knots to the SI units of meter per second. . . . > LMI.df$WmaxS = LMI.df$WmaxS * .5144 . . . Next, determine the quartiles (0.25 and 0.75 quantiles) of the wind speed distribution. The quartiles divide the cumulative distribution function (CDF) into three equal-sized subsets. . . . > quantile(LMI.df$WmaxS, c(.25, .75)) 25% 75% 25.5 46.0 . . . You find that 25 percent of the cyclones have a lifetime maximum wind speed less than 26 m s−1 and 75 percent have a maximum wind speed less than 46ms−1, so that 50 percent of all cyclones have a maximum wind speed between 26 and 46 m s−1 (interquartile range–IQR).


2008 ◽  
Vol 23 (4) ◽  
pp. 758-761 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shyamnath Veerasamy

Abstract In their study on the wind–pressure relationship (WPR) that exists in tropical cyclones, Knaff and Zehr presented results of the use of the Dvorak Atlantic WPR for estimating central pressure and maximum wind speed of tropical cyclones. These show some fairly large departures of estimated central pressure and maximum surface winds from observed values. Based on a study carried out in the southwest Indian Ocean (SWIO), it is believed that improvements in the use of the Dvorak WPR can be achieved by using the size of a closed isobar (it is the 1004-hPa closed isobar in the SWIO) to determine whether to use the North Atlantic (NA), the western North Pacific (WNP), or a mean of the NA and WNP Dvorak WPR for estimating central pressure and maximum wind speed in tropical cyclones.


2011 ◽  
Vol 368-373 ◽  
pp. 1424-1430
Author(s):  
Jian Jia Wu ◽  
Wen Hai Shi

Based on large amount of meteorological wind field records observed in Wenzhou district, this paper analyzed the annual maximum wind speed (maximum 10 minute mean wind speed), annual extreme wind speed (maximum 3 seconds mean wind speed), reference wind pressure and wind field characteristics of typhoon in Wenzhou. The results shows that the annual maximum wind speed have a decreased trend on the whole in different areas of Wenzhou, and the trend in coastal area is more obvious than that in inland areas; the annual maximum wind speed in different areas of Wenzhou is unsteady and the typhoons have great effect on it; the value of reference wind pressure in Dongtou is greater than the value given by the design load code of China (GB50009-2001, 2002), but the values of other areas are less than the value of Code. Based on the wind field of three typhoon records, some significant results about the variation and routine characteristics of typhoon are also discussed.


2008 ◽  
Vol 38 (12) ◽  
pp. 2942-2950 ◽  
Author(s):  
Posy E. Busby ◽  
Glenn Motzkin ◽  
Emery R. Boose

Hurricane wind speeds at a given site are related to the intensity of the storm and the distance and direction from the storm center. As a result, forest damage is expected to vary predictably with respect to location relative to the storm track. To determine whether patterns of forest response along the track of a major hurricane in coastal New England were consistent with the expected patterns of wind damage, we investigated tree growth responses to the storm in several study sites that are similar with respect to site conditions, vegetation, and disturbance history. Growth responses to a severe hurricane in 1944 varied predictably among study sites with respect to distance from the storm track. Sites closest to the storm track experienced lesser wind damage and exhibited minimal growth responses, whereas sites farther east of the storm track and closer to the area of maximum estimated wind speed were characterized by greater wind damage and growth changes. Variation in estimated wind speed among our study sites (5–10 m/s) is not much greater than anticipated increases in hurricane intensity predicted under future climate scenarios (3–7 m/s). Thus, our results suggest that the magnitude of anticipated increases in wind speeds associated with Atlantic hurricanes may be sufficient to cause changes in forest response.


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (14) ◽  
pp. 2653
Author(s):  
Ziyao Sun ◽  
Biao Zhang ◽  
Jie Tang

Estimation of maximum wind speed associated with tropical cyclones (TCs) is crucial to evaluate potential wind destruction. The Holland B parameter is the key parameter of TC parametric wind field models. It plays an essential role in describing the radial distribution characteristics of a TC wind field and has been widely used in TC disaster risk evaluation. In this study, a backpropagation neural network (BPNN) is developed to estimate the Holland B parameter (Bs) in TC surface wind field model. The inputs of the BPNN include different combinations of TC minimum center pressure difference (Δp), latitude, radius of maximum wind speed, translation speed and intensity change rate from the best-track data of the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC). We find that the BPNN exhibits the best performance when only inputting TC central pressure difference. The Bs estimated from BPNN are compared with those calculated from previous statistical models. Results indicate that the proposed BPNN can describe well the nonlinear relation between Bs and Δp. It is also found that the combination of BPNN and Holland’s wind pressure model can significantly improve the maximum wind speed underestimation and overestimation of the two existing wind pressure models (AH77 and KZ07) for super typhoons.


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