scholarly journals Synoptic Forcing of Precipitation over Greenland: Climatology for 1961–99

2009 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 60-78 ◽  
Author(s):  
Keah C. Schuenemann ◽  
John J. Cassano ◽  
Joel Finnis

Abstract Analysis of the synoptic climatology and precipitation patterns over the North Atlantic region allows for a better understanding of the atmospheric input to the mass balance of the Greenland ice sheet. The self-organizing map (SOM) technique was applied to the 40-yr European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Re-Analysis (ERA-40) daily sea level pressure (SLP) data from 1961 to 1999 to objectively identify synoptic SLP patterns over the North Atlantic region. A total of 35 different SLP patterns were identified. Patterns common to the winter season are characterized by deep low pressure systems that approach Greenland through an active North Atlantic storm track, whereas patterns most common to the summer months are generally weaker and approach the ice sheet from the west through Baffin Bay. The blocking, splitting, and intensification of cyclones by the high elevations of the Greenland ice sheet were identified in this analysis. Analysis of ERA-40 precipitation associated with each SLP pattern revealed that the largest precipitation events were associated with passing cyclones that created onshore flow, allowing the air to be lifted orographically by the steep margins of the ice sheet. The ERA-40 annual mean precipitation over Greenland from 1961 to 1999 was 35.8 cm yr−1. Greenland was divided into five subregions, and the preferred synoptic patterns for receiving precipitation in each region include cyclones positioned to allow dynamic and orographic lift in each region. Annual precipitation contributions from each SLP pattern were isolated to reveal that half of the annual mean precipitation over Greenland comes from only 11 of the 35 identified synoptic patterns (31.4%), highlighting the importance of studying Greenland precipitation on an event-by-event basis on a daily time scale.

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ruth Mottram ◽  
Susann Ascheneller ◽  
Florian Sauerland ◽  
Rasmus Anker Pedersen ◽  
Peter Thejll ◽  
...  

<div><span><span>The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) is an important control on both northern European weather and Greenland ice sheet surface mass budget via the path of storm tracks that deliver precipitation, particularly in the winter, and by the strength and persistence of the Greenland blocking high that promotes melt in summer. Within CMIP5 models, atmospheric blocking was generally poorly represented regardless of location, we here examine an ensemble of 10 CMIP6 fully coupled earth system models (ESMs) that were available by Summer</span><span> 20</span><span>19 </span><span>in order to examine if model improvements better represent the NAO in CMIP6.</span></span></div><div><span><span>We examine </span><span> temperature over Greenland and the north Atlantic region as well as NAO position, persistence and strength in winter and summer for each model in the historical scenario. No single model performs well on all characteristics but the UKESM and EC-EARTH3 perform the best when compared to the ERA5 climate reanalysis.</span></span></div><div><span><span>We also show how the NAO is expected to change in </span><span>8 of</span><span> the</span><span>se</span><span> models under different future climate scenarios.</span><span>  </span><span>The location</span><span> </span><span>of the Icelandic low in particular migrates northwards by varying amounts, likely related to Arctic sea ice changes within the models and with a consequent impact on precipitation.</span></span></div><div><span><span>Downscaling experiments carried out using the HIRHAM5 regional climate model over the Greenland ice sheet show the importance of accurately characterising the NAO in order to correctly </span><span> </span><span>estimate both winter accumulation and summer melt and the combination that gives the ice sheet mass budget. Our study emphasises the importance of assessing a range of different climate and weather variables when selecting models to downscale for </span><span>obtaining </span><span>ice sheet mass balance. We also note that while some progress has been made in </span><span>better representing </span><span>atmospheric blocking in ESMs, largely down to higher resolution in atmospheric models, there is still a substantial improvement required before ESMs can be said to accurately characterise the climate of the North Atlantic region with consequent impacts on ice sheet surface mass budget projections.</span></span></div>


2012 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 63-101
Author(s):  
D. Hofer ◽  
C. C. Raible ◽  
A. Dehnert ◽  
J. Kuhlemann

Abstract. Using a highly resolved atmospheric general circulation model the impact of different glacial boundary conditions on precipitation and atmospheric dynamics in the North Atlantic region is investigated. Seven 30-yr time slice experiments of the Last Glacial Maximum (21 ka ago) and of a less pronounced glacial state – the Middle Weichselian (65 ka ago) – are compared to analyse the sensitivity to changes in the ice sheet distribution, in the radiative forcing, and in the prescribed time-varying lower boundary conditions, which are taken from a lower-resolved but fully-coupled atmosphere-ocean general circulation model. The strongest differences are found for simulations with different heights of the Laurentide ice sheet. A large altitude of this ice sheet leads to a southward displacement of the jet stream and the storm track in the North Atlantic region. These changes in the atmospheric dynamics generate a band of increased precipitation in the mid-latitudes across the Atlantic to southern Europe in winter, while the precipitation pattern in summer is only marginally affected. The impact of the radiative forcing differences between the two glacial periods and of the prescribed time-varying lower boundary conditions – evaluated using two simulations of the Last Glacial Maximum with a global mean temperature difference of 1.1 °C – are of second order compared to the one of the Laurentide ice sheet. They affect the atmospheric dynamics and precipitation in a similar but less pronounced manner as the topographic changes.


2012 ◽  
Vol 8 (3) ◽  
pp. 995-1009 ◽  
Author(s):  
P. Bakker ◽  
C. J. Van Meerbeeck ◽  
H. Renssen

Abstract. During the Last Interglacial (LIG; ~130 000 yr BP), part of the Greenland Ice Sheet (GIS) melted due to a warmer than present-day climate. However, the impact of this melting on the LIG climate in the North Atlantic region is relatively unknown. Using the LOVECLIM Earth system model of intermediate complexity, we have systematically tested the sensitivity of the LIG climate to increased freshwater runoff from the GIS. In addition, experiments have been performed to investigate the impact of an idealized reduction of both surface elevation and extent of the GIS on the LIG climate. Based on changes in the maximum sea-ice cover and the strength of the overturning circulation, three regimes have been identified, which are characterized by a specific pattern of surface temperature change in the North Atlantic region. By comparing the simulated deep ocean circulation with proxy-based reconstructions, the most realistic simulated climate could be discerned. The resulting climate is characterized by a shutdown of deep convection and a subsequent ~4 °C cooling in the Labrador Sea. Furthermore, a cooling of ~1 °C over the North Atlantic Ocean between 40° N and 70° N is seen. The prescribed reduction in surface elevation and extent of the GIS results in a local warming of up to 4 °C and amplifies the freshwater-forced reduction in deep convection and the resultant cooling in the Nordic Seas. A further comparison of simulated summer temperatures with both continental and oceanic proxy records reveals that the partial melting of the GIS during the LIG could have delayed maximum summer temperatures in the western part of the North Atlantic region relative to the insolation maximum.


2012 ◽  
Vol 8 (3) ◽  
pp. 935-949 ◽  
Author(s):  
D. Hofer ◽  
C. C. Raible ◽  
A. Dehnert ◽  
J. Kuhlemann

Abstract. Using a highly resolved atmospheric general circulation model, the impact of different glacial boundary conditions on precipitation and atmospheric dynamics in the North Atlantic region is investigated. Six 30-yr time slice experiments of the Last Glacial Maximum at 21 thousand years before the present (ka BP) and of a less pronounced glacial state – the Middle Weichselian (65 ka BP) – are compared to analyse the sensitivity to changes in the ice sheet distribution, in the radiative forcing and in the prescribed time-varying sea surface temperature and sea ice, which are taken from a lower-resolved, but fully coupled atmosphere-ocean general circulation model. The strongest differences are found for simulations with different heights of the Laurentide ice sheet. A high surface elevation of the Laurentide ice sheet leads to a southward displacement of the jet stream and the storm track in the North Atlantic region. These changes in the atmospheric dynamics generate a band of increased precipitation in the mid-latitudes across the Atlantic to southern Europe in winter, while the precipitation pattern in summer is only marginally affected. The impact of the radiative forcing differences between the two glacial periods and of the prescribed time-varying sea surface temperatures and sea ice are of second order importance compared to the one of the Laurentide ice sheet. They affect the atmospheric dynamics and precipitation in a similar but less pronounced manner compared with the topographic changes.


2007 ◽  
Vol 68 (2) ◽  
pp. 280-283 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael R. Kaplan

AbstractA large ice sheet still covered almost all of Maine and eastern New England until ca. 15 cal ka BP, reaching south of 45 °S, despite rising summer insolation intensity and major ice recession elsewhere outside the North Atlantic region. Furthermore, the well-studied moraine belt along eastern coastal Maine, including the prominent Pineo Ridge delta/moraine complex and Pond Ridge moraine, indicates repeated readvances and stillstands between ca. 16 and 15 cal ka BP. This moraine belt reflects a considerable ice sheet response over eastern North America during this time period, coeval with the latter half of the European Oldest Dryas period. Moraine deposition was concurrent with reduction or elimination of North Atlantic meridional overturning, starting with the earlier onset of peak IRD and Heinrich Event 1 (HE-1). The existing 14C chronology suggests that the coastal moraine belt and the persistence of the ice sheet until ∼ 15 cal ka BP was a response to the severe cooling of the North Atlantic region after ∼ 17 cal ka BP.


2011 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
pp. 2763-2801 ◽  
Author(s):  
P. Bakker ◽  
C. J. Van Meerbeeck ◽  
H. Renssen

Abstract. During the Last Interglacial (LIG; ~130 thousand years BP), part of the Greenland Ice Sheet (GIS) melted under the influence of a warmer than present-day climate. However, the impact of this melting on the LIG climate in the North Atlantic region is unknown. Using the LOVECLIM earth system model of intermediate complexity we have systematically tested the sensitivity of the LIG climate to increased freshwater runoff from the GIS. Moreover, additional experiments have been performed to investigate the impact of an idealized reduction of both altitude and extent of the GIS on the LIG climate. By comparing the simulated deep ocean circulation with proxy-based reconstructions, the most realistic simulated climate could be discerned. The resulting climate is characterized by a shutdown of deep convection in the Labrador Sea and a subsequent cooling here by ~6 °C and ~2 °C over the southern part of Baffin Island and the North Atlantic Ocean between 40° N and 60° N. The reduction of altitude and extent of the GIS results in a local warming of up to 6 °C and a reduction in deep convection and accompanying cooling in the Nordic Seas. Combining model results and proxy-based reconstructions enabled us to constrain the possible melt rate of the GIS to a flux between 0.052 Sv and 0.13 Sv. A further comparison of simulated summer temperatures with both continental and oceanic proxy-records reveals that the partial melting of the GIS during the LIG could have delayed maximum summer temperatures in the western part of the North Atlantic region relative to the insolation maximum.


1994 ◽  
Vol 41 (1) ◽  
pp. 19-25 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peter U. Clark

AbstractGeologic records of fluctuations of the Laurentide ice sheet margin following the most recent glacial maximum (ca. 20,000 14C yr B.P.) identify fundamental differences in ice-sheet behavior depending on subglacial bed conditions. Rapid and irregular icemargin fluctuations occurred only over areas of deforming sediment, indicating nonclimatic forcing controlled by the inherent instability of coupled ice sheet-deforming sediment dynamics. In contrast, largely uninterrupted ice-margin retreat with no evidence of significant readvance occurred over rigid-bed areas, indicating stable behavior. Unstable ice-sheet behavior was most pronounced from 15,000 until 10,000 14C yr B.P., by which time most of the ice margin had retreated onto a rigid bed. Unstable ice-sheet behavior would have been an integral component in controlling variable fluxes of icebergs and meltwater, as well as meltwater routing, to the North Atlantic, thus affecting thermohaline circulation. The abrupt climate oscillations in the North Atlantic region that ended at 10,000 14C yr B.P. may thus have their origin in the inherently unstable behavior of the Laurentide ice sheet overriding deforming sediment.


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