scholarly journals Assessing the Quality of Southern Ocean Circulation in CMIP5 AOGCM and Earth System Model Simulations

2019 ◽  
Vol 32 (18) ◽  
pp. 5915-5940 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. L. Beadling ◽  
J. L. Russell ◽  
R. J. Stouffer ◽  
P. J. Goodman ◽  
M. Mazloff
Keyword(s):  
Southern Ocean ◽  
Wind Stress ◽  
Ocean Circulation ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Dominant Role ◽  
Surface Wind ◽  
Coupled Model ◽  
Observational Uncertainty ◽  
Mean State

Abstract The Southern Ocean (SO) is vital to Earth’s climate system due to its dominant role in exchanging carbon and heat between the ocean and atmosphere and transforming water masses. Evaluating the ability of fully coupled climate models to accurately simulate SO circulation and properties is crucial for building confidence in model projections and advancing model fidelity. By analyzing multiple biases collectively across large model ensembles, physical mechanisms governing the diverse mean-state SO circulation found across models can be identified. This analysis 1) assesses the ability of a large ensemble of models contributed to phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) to simulate observationally based metrics associated with an accurate representation of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current (ACC), and 2) presents a framework by which the quality of the simulation can be categorized and mechanisms governing the resulting circulation can be deduced. Different combinations of biases in critical metrics including the magnitude and position of the zonally averaged westerly wind stress maximum, wind-driven surface divergence, surface buoyancy fluxes, and properties and transport of North Atlantic Deep Water entering the SO produce distinct mean-state ACC transports. Relative to CMIP3, the quality of the CMIP5 SO simulations has improved. Eight of the thirty-one models simulate an ACC within observational uncertainty (2σ) for approximately the right reasons; that is, the models achieve accuracy in the surface wind stress forcing and the representation of the difference in the meridional density across the current. Improved observations allow for a better assessment of the SO circulation and its properties.

scholarly journals Representation of Southern Ocean Properties across Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Generations: CMIP3 to CMIP6

2020 ◽  
Vol 33 (15) ◽  
pp. 6555-6581 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. L. Beadling ◽  
J. L. Russell ◽  
R. J. Stouffer ◽  
M. Mazloff ◽  
L. D. Talley ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Southern Ocean ◽  
Ocean Circulation ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Dominant Role ◽  
Surface Wind ◽  
Coupled Model ◽  
Anthropogenic Heat ◽  
Model Intercomparison ◽  
Observational Uncertainty ◽  
Intercomparison Project

AbstractThe air–sea exchange of heat and carbon in the Southern Ocean (SO) plays an important role in mediating the climate state. The dominant role the SO plays in storing anthropogenic heat and carbon is a direct consequence of the unique and complex ocean circulation that exists there. Previous generations of climate models have struggled to accurately represent key SO properties and processes that influence the large-scale ocean circulation. This has resulted in low confidence ascribed to twenty-first-century projections of the state of the SO from previous generations of models. This analysis provides a detailed assessment of the ability of models contributed to the sixth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) to represent important observationally based SO properties. Additionally, a comprehensive overview of CMIP6 performance relative to CMIP3 and CMIP5 is presented. CMIP6 models show improved performance in the surface wind stress forcing, simulating stronger and less equatorward-biased wind fields, translating into an improved representation of the Ekman upwelling over the Drake Passage latitudes. An increased number of models simulate an Antarctic Circumpolar Current (ACC) transport within observational uncertainty relative to previous generations; however, several models exhibit extremely weak transports. Generally, the upper SO remains biased warm and fresh relative to observations, and Antarctic sea ice extent remains poorly represented. While generational improvement is found in many metrics, persistent systematic biases are highlighted that should be a priority during model development. These biases need to be considered when interpreting projected trends or biogeochemical properties in this region.

scholarly journals Southern Ocean Wind Stress in CMIP5 Models: Role of Wind Fluctuations

2020 ◽  
Vol 33 (4) ◽  
pp. 1209-1226 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xia Lin ◽  
Xiaoming Zhai ◽  
Zhaomin Wang ◽  
David R. Munday
Keyword(s):  
Southern Ocean ◽  
Time Scales ◽  
Wind Stress ◽  
Surface Wind ◽  
Coupled Model ◽  
Cmip5 Models ◽  
Coupled Models ◽  
Surface Wind Stress ◽  
Stress Changes ◽  
The Mean

AbstractThe Southern Ocean (SO) surface wind stress is a major atmospheric forcing for driving the Antarctic Circumpolar Current and the global overturning circulation. Here the effects of wind fluctuations at different time scales on SO wind stress in 18 models from phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) are investigated. It is found that including wind fluctuations, especially on time scales associated with synoptic storms, in the stress calculation strongly enhances the mean strength, modulates the seasonal cycle, and significantly amplifies the trends of SO wind stress. In 11 out of the 18 CMIP5 models, the SO wind stress has strengthened significantly over the period of 1960–2005. Among them, the strengthening trend of SO wind stress in one CMIP5 model is due to the increase in the intensity of wind fluctuations, while in all the other 10 models the strengthening trend is due to the increasing strength of the mean westerly wind. These discrepancies in SO wind stress trend in CMIP5 models may explain some of the diverging behaviors in the model-simulated SO circulation. Our results suggest that to reduce the uncertainty in SO responses to wind stress changes in the coupled models, both the mean wind and wind fluctuations need to be better simulated.

The impact of topography and eddy parameterization on the simulated Southern Ocean circulation response to changes in surface wind stress

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hailu Kong ◽  
Malte F. Jansen
Keyword(s):  
Southern Ocean ◽  
Wind Stress ◽  
Ocean Circulation ◽  
Surface Wind ◽  
Flat Bottom ◽  
Coarse Resolution ◽  
Surface Wind Stress ◽  
Stress Changes ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Meso Scale

AbstractIt remains uncertain how the Southern Ocean circulation responds to changes in surface wind stress, and whether coarse resolution simulations, where meso-scale eddy fluxes are parameterized, can adequately capture the response. We address this problem using two idealized model setups mimicking the Southern Ocean: a flat bottom channel, and a channel with moderately complex topography. Under each topographic configuration and varying wind stress, we compare several coarse resolution simulations, configured with different eddy parameterizations, against an eddy-resolving simulation. We find that: (1) without topography, sensitivity of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current (ACC) to wind stress is overestimated by coarse resolution simulations, due to an underestimate of the sensitivity of the eddy diffusivity; (2) in the presence of topography, stationary eddies dominate over transient eddies in counteracting the direct response of the ACC and overturning circulation to wind stress changes; (3) coarse resolution simulations with parameterized eddies capture this counteracting effect reasonably well, largely due to their ability to resolve stationary eddies. Our results highlight the importance of topography in modulating the response of the Southern Ocean circulation to changes in surface wind stress. The interaction between meso-scale eddies and stationary meanders induced by topography requires more attention in future development and testing of eddy parameterizations.

scholarly journals Test and evaluation of a simple parameterization to enhance air-sea coupling in a global coupled model

2018 ◽  
Vol 3 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Fanghua Xu 1
Keyword(s):  
Wind Stress ◽  
Ocean Circulation ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Current System ◽  
Surface Wind ◽  
Coupled Model ◽  
Global Ocean ◽  
Western Boundary ◽  
Surface Wind Stress ◽  
Gyre Circulation

A simple temperature-dependent wind stress scheme is implemented in National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) Community Earth System Model (CESM), aiming to enhance positive wind stress and sea surface temperature (SST) correlation in SST-frontal regions. A series of three-year coupled experiments are conducted to determine a proper coupling coefficient for the scheme based on the agreement of surface wind stress and SST at oceanic mesoscale between model simulations and observations. Afterwards, 80-year simulations with/without the scheme are conducted to explore its effects on simulated ocean states and variability. The results show that the new scheme indeed improves the positive correlation between SST and wind stress magnitude near the large oceanic fronts. With more realistic surface heat flux and wind stress, the global SST biases are reduced. The global ocean circulation represented by barotropic stream function exhibits a weakened gyre circulation close to the western boundary separation, in agreement with previous studies. The simulation of equatorial Pacific current system is improved as well. The overestimated El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) magnitude in original CESM is reduced by ~30% after using the new scheme with an improved period.

scholarly journals Ocean Circulation and Tropical Variability in the Coupled Model ECHAM5/MPI-OM

2006 ◽  
Vol 19 (16) ◽  
pp. 3952-3972 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. H. Jungclaus ◽  
N. Keenlyside ◽  
M. Botzet ◽  
H. Haak ◽  
J.-J. Luo ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Ocean Circulation ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Surface Wind ◽  
Coupled Model ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Tropical Variability ◽  
Sst Variability ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Mean State

Abstract This paper describes the mean ocean circulation and the tropical variability simulated by the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology (MPI-M) coupled atmosphere–ocean general circulation model (AOGCM). Results are presented from a version of the coupled model that served as a prototype for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fourth Assessment Report (AR4) simulations. The model does not require flux adjustment to maintain a stable climate. A control simulation with present-day greenhouse gases is analyzed, and the simulation of key oceanic features, such as sea surface temperatures (SSTs), large-scale circulation, meridional heat and freshwater transports, and sea ice are compared with observations. A parameterization that accounts for the effect of ocean currents on surface wind stress is implemented in the model. The largest impact of this parameterization is in the tropical Pacific, where the mean state is significantly improved: the strength of the trade winds and the associated equatorial upwelling weaken, and there is a reduction of the model’s equatorial cold SST bias by more than 1 K. Equatorial SST variability also becomes more realistic. The strength of the variability is reduced by about 30% in the eastern equatorial Pacific and the extension of SST variability into the warm pool is significantly reduced. The dominant El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) period shifts from 3 to 4 yr. Without the parameterization an unrealistically strong westward propagation of SST anomalies is simulated. The reasons for the changes in variability are linked to changes in both the mean state and to a reduction in atmospheric sensitivity to SST changes and oceanic sensitivity to wind anomalies.

scholarly journals An Empirical Model for Surface Wind Stress Response to SST Forcing Induced by Tropical Instability Waves (TIWs) in the Eastern Equatorial Pacific

2009 ◽  
Vol 137 (6) ◽  
pp. 2021-2046 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rong-Hua Zhang ◽  
Antonio J. Busalacchi
Keyword(s):  
Wind Stress ◽  
Empirical Model ◽  
Stress Responses ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Surface Wind ◽  
Microwave Remote Sensing ◽  
Instability Waves ◽  
Tropical Instability Waves ◽  
Sst Forcing

Abstract High-resolution space-based observations reveal significant two-way air–sea interactions associated with tropical instability waves (TIWs); their roles in budgets of heat, salt, momentum, and biogeochemical fields in the tropical oceans have been recently demonstrated. However, dynamical model-based simulations of the atmospheric response to TIW-induced sea surface temperature (SSTTIW) perturbations remain a great challenge because of the limitation in spatial resolution and realistic representations of the related processes in the atmospheric planetary boundary layer (PBL) and their interactions with the overlying free troposphere. Using microwave remote sensing data, an empirical model is derived to depict wind stress perturbations induced by TIW-related SST forcing in the eastern tropical Pacific Ocean. Wind data are based on space–time blending of Quick Scatterometer (QuikSCAT) Direction Interval Retrieval with Thresholded Nudging (DIRTH) satellite observations and NCEP analysis fields; SST data are from the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) Microwave Imager (TMI). These daily data are first subject to a spatial filter of 12° moving average in the zonal direction to extract TIW-related wind stress (τTIW) and SSTTIW perturbations. A combined singular value decomposition (SVD) analysis is then applied to these zonal high-pass-filtered τTIW and SSTTIW fields. It is demonstrated that the SVD-based analysis technique can effectively extract TIW-induced covariability patterns in the atmosphere and ocean, acting as a filter by passing wind signals that are directly related with the SSTTIW forcing over the TIW active regions. As a result, the empirical model can well represent TIW-induced wind stress responses as revealed directly from satellite measurements (e.g., the structure and phase), but the amplitude can be underestimated significantly. Validation and sensitivity experiments are performed to illustrate the robustness of the empirical τTIW model. Further applications are discussed for taking into account the TIW-induced wind responses and feedback effects that are missing in large-scale climate models and atmospheric reanalysis data, as well as for uncoupled ocean and coupled mesoscale and large-scale air–sea modeling studies.

scholarly journals On the fast response of the Southern Ocean to changes in the zonal wind

Ocean Science ◽  
2007 ◽  
Vol 3 (3) ◽  
pp. 417-427 ◽  
Author(s):  
D. J. Webb ◽  
B. A. de Cuevas
Keyword(s):  
Southern Ocean ◽  
Wind Stress ◽  
Zonal Wind ◽  
Surface Wind ◽  
Drake Passage ◽  
Fast Response ◽  
Momentum Balance ◽  
Zonal Wind Stress ◽  
Model Studies ◽  
Barotropic Flow

Abstract. Model studies of the Southern Ocean, reported here, show that the Antarctic Circumpolar Current responds within two days to changes in the zonal wind stress at the latitudes of Drake Passage. Further investigation shows that the response is primarily barotropic and that, as one might expect, it is controlled by topography. Analysis of the results show that the changes in the barotropic flow are sufficient to transfer the changed surface wind stress to the underlying topography and that during this initial phase baroclinic processes are not involved. The model results also show that the Deacon Cell responds to changes in the wind stress on the same rapid time scale. It is shown that the changes in the Deacon Cell can also be explained by the change in the barotropic velocity field, an increase in the zonal wind stress producing an increased northward flow in shallow regions and southward flow where the ocean is deep. This new explanation is unexpected as previously the Deacon Cell has been thought of as a baroclinic feature of the ocean. The results imply that where baroclinic processes do appear to be involved in either the zonal momentum balance of the Southern Ocean or the formation of the Deacon Cell, they are part of the long term baroclinic response of the ocean's density field to the changes in the barotropic flow.

scholarly journals Does the sensitivity of Southern Ocean circulation depend upon bathymetric details?

2014 ◽  
Vol 372 (2019) ◽  
pp. 20130050 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andrew McC. Hogg ◽  
David R. Munday
Keyword(s):  
Southern Ocean ◽  
Wind Stress ◽  
Ocean Circulation ◽  
Bottom Water ◽  
Deep Ocean ◽  
Ocean Eddies ◽  
Oceanic Response ◽  
Water Formation ◽  
Circumpolar Current ◽  
Bottom Water Formation

The response of the major ocean currents to changes in wind stress forcing is investigated with a series of idealized, but eddy-permitting, model simulations. Previously, ostensibly similar models have shown considerable variation in the oceanic response to changing wind stress forcing. Here, it is shown that a major reason for these differences in model sensitivity is subtle modification of the idealized bathymetry. The key bathymetric parameter is the extent to which the strong eddy field generated in the circumpolar current can interact with the bottom water formation process. The addition of an embayment, which insulates bottom water formation from meridional eddy fluxes, acts to stabilize the deep ocean density and enhances the sensitivity of the circumpolar current. The degree of interaction between Southern Ocean eddies and Antarctic shelf processes may thereby control the sensitivity of the Southern Ocean to change.

Southern Ocean Circulation and Eddy Compensation in CMIP5 Models

2013 ◽  
Vol 26 (18) ◽  
pp. 7198-7220 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stephanie M. Downes ◽  
Andrew McC. Hogg
Keyword(s):  
Southern Ocean ◽  
Wind Stress ◽  
Surface Wind ◽  
Surface Heat ◽  
Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Cmip5 Models ◽  
Strong Increase ◽  
Coupled Models ◽  
Overturning Circulation ◽  
Meridional Overturning

Abstract Thirteen state-of-the-art climate models from phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) are used to evaluate the response of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current (ACC) transport and Southern Ocean meridional overturning circulation to surface wind stress and buoyancy changes. Understanding how these flows—fundamental players in the global distribution of heat, gases, and nutrients—respond to climate change is currently a widely debated issue among oceanographers. Here, the authors analyze the circulation responses of these coarse-resolution coupled models to surface fluxes. Under a future CMIP5 climate pathway where the equivalent atmospheric CO2 reaches 1370 ppm by 2100, the models robustly project reduced Southern Ocean density in the upper 2000 m accompanied by strengthened stratification. Despite an overall increase in overlying wind stress (~20%), the projected ACC transports lie within ±15% of their historical state, and no significant relationship with changes in the magnitude or position of the wind stress is identified. The models indicate that a weakening of ACC transport at the end of the twenty-first century is correlated with a strong increase in the surface heat and freshwater fluxes in the ACC region. In contrast, the surface heat gain across the ACC region and the wind-driven surface transports are significantly correlated with an increased upper and decreased lower Eulerian-mean meridional overturning circulation. The change in the eddy-induced overturning in both the depth and density spaces is quantified, and it is found that the CMIP5 models project partial eddy compensation of the upper and lower overturning cells.

scholarly journals The Dependence of Internal Multidecadal Variability in the Southern Ocean on the Ocean Background Mean State

2021 ◽  
Vol 34 (3) ◽  
pp. 1061-1080
Author(s):  
Liping Zhang ◽  
Thomas L. Delworth ◽  
William Cooke ◽  
Hugues Goosse ◽  
Mitchell Bushuk ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Southern Ocean ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Deep Convection ◽  
Vertical Mixing ◽  
Climate Impacts ◽  
Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory ◽  
Heat Accumulation ◽  
Multidecadal Variability ◽  
Ocean Stratification ◽  
Mean State

AbstractPrevious studies have shown the existence of internal multidecadal variability in the Southern Ocean using multiple climate models. This variability, associated with deep ocean convection, can have significant climate impacts. In this work, we use sensitivity studies based on Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL) models to investigate the linkage of this internal variability with the background ocean mean state. We find that mean ocean stratification in the subpolar region that is dominated by mean salinity influences whether this variability occurs, as well as its time scale. The weakening of background stratification favors the occurrence of deep convection. For background stratification states in which the low-frequency variability occurs, weaker ocean stratification corresponds to shorter periods of variability and vice versa. The amplitude of convection variability is largely determined by the amount of heat that can accumulate in the subsurface ocean during periods of the oscillation without deep convection. A larger accumulation of heat in the subsurface reservoir corresponds to a larger amplitude of variability. The subsurface heat buildup is a balance between advection that supplies heat to the reservoir and vertical mixing/convection that depletes it. Subsurface heat accumulation can be intensified both by an enhanced horizontal temperature advection by the Weddell Gyre and by an enhanced ocean stratification leading to reduced vertical mixing and surface heat loss. The paleoclimate records over Antarctica indicate that this multidecadal variability has very likely happened in past climates and that the period of this variability may shift with different climate background mean state.

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