scholarly journals The Dependence of Internal Multidecadal Variability in the Southern Ocean on the Ocean Background Mean State

2021 ◽  
Vol 34 (3) ◽  
pp. 1061-1080
Author(s):  
Liping Zhang ◽  
Thomas L. Delworth ◽  
William Cooke ◽  
Hugues Goosse ◽  
Mitchell Bushuk ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Southern Ocean ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Deep Convection ◽  
Vertical Mixing ◽  
Climate Impacts ◽  
Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory ◽  
Heat Accumulation ◽  
Multidecadal Variability ◽  
Ocean Stratification ◽  
Mean State

AbstractPrevious studies have shown the existence of internal multidecadal variability in the Southern Ocean using multiple climate models. This variability, associated with deep ocean convection, can have significant climate impacts. In this work, we use sensitivity studies based on Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL) models to investigate the linkage of this internal variability with the background ocean mean state. We find that mean ocean stratification in the subpolar region that is dominated by mean salinity influences whether this variability occurs, as well as its time scale. The weakening of background stratification favors the occurrence of deep convection. For background stratification states in which the low-frequency variability occurs, weaker ocean stratification corresponds to shorter periods of variability and vice versa. The amplitude of convection variability is largely determined by the amount of heat that can accumulate in the subsurface ocean during periods of the oscillation without deep convection. A larger accumulation of heat in the subsurface reservoir corresponds to a larger amplitude of variability. The subsurface heat buildup is a balance between advection that supplies heat to the reservoir and vertical mixing/convection that depletes it. Subsurface heat accumulation can be intensified both by an enhanced horizontal temperature advection by the Weddell Gyre and by an enhanced ocean stratification leading to reduced vertical mixing and surface heat loss. The paleoclimate records over Antarctica indicate that this multidecadal variability has very likely happened in past climates and that the period of this variability may shift with different climate background mean state.

scholarly journals Increasing vertical mixing to reduce Southern Ocean deep convection in NEMO3.4

2015 ◽  
Vol 8 (10) ◽  
pp. 3119-3130 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. Heuzé ◽  
J. K. Ridley ◽  
D. Calvert ◽  
D. P. Stevens ◽  
K. J. Heywood
Keyword(s):  
Southern Ocean ◽  
Mixed Layer ◽  
Surface Waters ◽  
Bottom Water ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Deep Convection ◽  
Mixed Layer Depth ◽  
Vertical Mixing ◽  
Weddell Sea ◽  
Antarctic Bottom Water

Abstract. Most CMIP5 (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5) models unrealistically form Antarctic Bottom Water by open ocean deep convection in the Weddell and Ross seas. To identify the mechanisms triggering Southern Ocean deep convection in models, we perform sensitivity experiments on the ocean model NEMO3.4 forced by prescribed atmospheric fluxes. We vary the vertical velocity scale of the Langmuir turbulence, the fraction of turbulent kinetic energy transferred below the mixed layer, and the background diffusivity and run short simulations from 1980. All experiments exhibit deep convection in the Riiser-Larsen Sea in 1987; the origin is a positive sea ice anomaly in 1985, causing a shallow anomaly in mixed layer depth, hence anomalously warm surface waters and subsequent polynya opening. Modifying the vertical mixing impacts both the climatological state and the associated surface anomalies. The experiments with enhanced mixing exhibit colder surface waters and reduced deep convection. The experiments with decreased mixing give warmer surface waters, open larger polynyas causing more saline surface waters and have deep convection across the Weddell Sea until the simulations end. Extended experiments reveal an increase in the Drake Passage transport of 4 Sv each year deep convection occurs, leading to an unrealistically large transport at the end of the simulation. North Atlantic deep convection is not significantly affected by the changes in mixing parameters. As new climate model overflow parameterisations are developed to form Antarctic Bottom Water more realistically, we argue that models would benefit from stopping Southern Ocean deep convection, for example by increasing their vertical mixing.

scholarly journals Assessing the Quality of Southern Ocean Circulation in CMIP5 AOGCM and Earth System Model Simulations

2019 ◽  
Vol 32 (18) ◽  
pp. 5915-5940 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. L. Beadling ◽  
J. L. Russell ◽  
R. J. Stouffer ◽  
P. J. Goodman ◽  
M. Mazloff
Keyword(s):  
Southern Ocean ◽  
Wind Stress ◽  
Ocean Circulation ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Dominant Role ◽  
Surface Wind ◽  
Coupled Model ◽  
Observational Uncertainty ◽  
Mean State

Abstract The Southern Ocean (SO) is vital to Earth’s climate system due to its dominant role in exchanging carbon and heat between the ocean and atmosphere and transforming water masses. Evaluating the ability of fully coupled climate models to accurately simulate SO circulation and properties is crucial for building confidence in model projections and advancing model fidelity. By analyzing multiple biases collectively across large model ensembles, physical mechanisms governing the diverse mean-state SO circulation found across models can be identified. This analysis 1) assesses the ability of a large ensemble of models contributed to phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) to simulate observationally based metrics associated with an accurate representation of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current (ACC), and 2) presents a framework by which the quality of the simulation can be categorized and mechanisms governing the resulting circulation can be deduced. Different combinations of biases in critical metrics including the magnitude and position of the zonally averaged westerly wind stress maximum, wind-driven surface divergence, surface buoyancy fluxes, and properties and transport of North Atlantic Deep Water entering the SO produce distinct mean-state ACC transports. Relative to CMIP3, the quality of the CMIP5 SO simulations has improved. Eight of the thirty-one models simulate an ACC within observational uncertainty (2σ) for approximately the right reasons; that is, the models achieve accuracy in the surface wind stress forcing and the representation of the difference in the meridional density across the current. Improved observations allow for a better assessment of the SO circulation and its properties.

scholarly journals Relationship between Ocean Carbon and Heat Multidecadal Variability

2018 ◽  
Vol 31 (4) ◽  
pp. 1467-1482 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jordan Thomas ◽  
Darryn Waugh ◽  
Anand Gnanadesikan
Keyword(s):  
Southern Ocean ◽  
Carbon Content ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Deep Convection ◽  
Heat Content ◽  
Weddell Sea ◽  
Global Ocean ◽  
Multidecadal Variability ◽  
Model Simulations ◽  
Ocean Carbon

The global ocean serves as a critical sink for anthropogenic carbon and heat. While significant effort has been dedicated to quantifying the oceanic uptake of these quantities, less research has been conducted on the mechanisms underlying decadal-to-centennial variability in oceanic heat and carbon. Therefore, little is understood about how much such variability may have obscured or reinforced anthropogenic change. Here the relationship between oceanic heat and carbon content is examined in a suite of coupled climate model simulations that use different parameterization settings for mesoscale mixing. The differences in mesoscale mixing result in very different multidecadal variability, especially in the Weddell Sea where the characteristics of deep convection are drastically changed. Although the magnitude and frequency of variability in global heat and carbon content is different across the model simulations, there is a robust anticorrelation between global heat and carbon content in all simulations. Global carbon content variability is primarily driven by Southern Ocean carbon variability. This contrasts with global heat content variability. Global heat content is primarily driven by variability in the southern midlatitudes and tropics, which opposes the Southern Ocean variability.

scholarly journals Southern Ocean deep convection in global climate models: A driver for variability of subpolar gyres and Drake Passage transport on decadal timescales

2016 ◽  
Vol 121 (6) ◽  
pp. 3905-3925 ◽  
Author(s):  
Erik Behrens ◽  
Graham Rickard ◽  
Olaf Morgenstern ◽  
Torge Martin ◽  
Annette Osprey ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Southern Ocean ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Deep Convection ◽  
Drake Passage ◽  
Global Climate Models

Assessing the Climate Impacts of the Observed Atlantic Multidecadal Variability Using the GFDL CM2.1 and NCAR CESM1 Global Coupled Models

2017 ◽  
Vol 30 (8) ◽  
pp. 2785-2810 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yohan Ruprich-Robert ◽  
Rym Msadek ◽  
Frederic Castruccio ◽  
Stephen Yeager ◽  
Tom Delworth ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
North Atlantic ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Walker Circulation ◽  
Climate Impacts ◽  
Boreal Summer ◽  
Boreal Winter ◽  
Atlantic Multidecadal Variability ◽  
Coupled Models ◽  
Multidecadal Variability ◽  
The Pacific

The climate impacts of the observed Atlantic multidecadal variability (AMV) are investigated using the GFDL CM2.1 and the NCAR CESM1 coupled climate models. The model North Atlantic sea surface temperatures are restored to fixed anomalies corresponding to an estimate of the internally driven component of the observed AMV. Both models show that during boreal summer the AMV alters the Walker circulation and generates precipitation anomalies over the whole tropical belt. A warm phase of the AMV yields reduced precipitation over the western United States, drier conditions over the Mediterranean basin, and wetter conditions over northern Europe. During boreal winter, the AMV modulates by a factor of about 2 the frequency of occurrence of El Niño and La Niña events. This response is associated with anomalies over the Pacific that project onto the interdecadal Pacific oscillation pattern (i.e., Pacific decadal oscillation–like anomalies in the Northern Hemisphere and a symmetrical pattern in the Southern Hemisphere). This winter response is a lagged adjustment of the Pacific Ocean to the AMV forcing in summer. Most of the simulated global-scale impacts are driven by the tropical part of the AMV, except for the winter North Atlantic Oscillation–like response over the North Atlantic–European region, which is driven by both the subpolar and tropical parts of the AMV. The teleconnections between the Pacific and Atlantic basins alter the direct North Atlantic local response to the AMV, which highlights the importance of using a global coupled framework to investigate the climate impacts of the AMV. The similarity of the two model responses gives confidence that impacts described in this paper are robust.

Subpolar Southern Ocean response to changes in the surface momentum, heat and freshwater fluxes under 2xCO2

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fabio Boeira Dias ◽  
Catia Domingues ◽  
Simon Marsland ◽  
Stephen Rintoul ◽  
Petteri Uotila ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Southern Ocean ◽  
Sea Ice ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Deep Convection ◽  
Open Ocean ◽  
Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Global Ocean ◽  
Surface Warming ◽  
Freshwater Fluxes ◽  
Poleward Shift

<ul><li>The subpolar Southern Ocean (sSO) around Antarctica has fundamental climate importance. The densest water mass in the global ocean, Antarctica Bottom Water (AABW), originates in the sSO and supplies the lower limb of the Meridional Overturning Circulation (MOC), occupying about 36% of the ocean’s volume. However, climate models struggle to represent the processes involved in formation of AABW on the continental shelf, resulting in large differences between models and observations and a wide spread in projections of sea level and other properties. We explore the source of these persistent model biases by examining the response of the sSO to perturbations in surface forcing. Using an ocean-sea ice model (ACCESS-OM2) that forms AABW both on the shelf and in open-ocean (similar to other coarse resolution models), we investigate the sSO response to individual and combined perturbations of surface heat, freshwater and momentum fluxes following the  FAFMIP-protocol. The wind perturbation (i.e. a poleward shift and intensification of the Southern Ocean Westerlies) has the dominant effect, enhancing AABW formation and accelerating the MOC. This occurs through upwelling of warm waters and inhibition of sea-ice growth during winter, which triggers large open-ocean polynya events with associated deep convection. These events occur in the Weddell and Ross Seas and their variability is associated with the heat available at mid-depth; open-ocean polynyas cease when the heat reservoir is depleted. The effects of surface warming and freshening only partially compensate the changes due to wind by increasing the ocean stratification and reducing AABW formation. These results are relevant for the interpretation of climate change projections, suggesting that other coarse  models might respond in similar way and present an opposite trend than those seen from observations.</li> </ul>

Climate Model Forecast Experiments for TOGA COARE

2008 ◽  
Vol 136 (3) ◽  
pp. 808-832 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Boyle ◽  
S. Klein ◽  
G. Zhang ◽  
S. Xie ◽  
X. Wei
Keyword(s):  
Climate Models ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Deep Convection ◽  
Atmospheric Model ◽  
Static Stability ◽  
Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory ◽  
State Variables ◽  
Tropical Ocean ◽  
Model Version ◽  
Toga Coare

Abstract Short-term (1–10 day) forecasts are made with climate models to assess the parameterizations of the physical processes. The time period for the integrations is that of the intensive observing period (IOP) of the Tropical Ocean Global Atmosphere Coupled Ocean–Atmosphere Response Experiment (TOGA COARE). The models used are the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) Community Climate Model, version 3.1 (CAM3.1); CAM3.1 with a modified deep convection parameterization; and the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL) Atmospheric Model, version 2 (AM2). The models were initialized using the state variables from the 40-yr ECMWF Re-Analysis (ERA-40). The CAM deep convective parameterization fails to demonstrate the sensitivity to the imposed forcing to simulate precipitation patterns associated with the Madden–Julian oscillations (MJOs) present during the period. AM2 and modified CAM3.1 exhibit greater correspondence to the observations at the TOGA COARE site, suggesting that convective parameterizations that have some type of limiter (as do AM2 and the modified CAM3.1) simulate the MJO rainfall with more fidelity than those without. None of the models are able to fully capture the correct phasing of westerly wind bursts with respect to precipitation in the eastward-moving MJO disturbance. Better representation of the diabatic heating and effective static stability profiles is associated with a better MJO simulation. Because the models’ errors in the forecast mode bear a resemblance to the errors in the climate mode in simulating the MJO, the forecasts may allow for a better way to dissect the reasons for model error.

scholarly journals Increasing vertical mixing to reduce Southern Ocean deep convection in NEMO

2015 ◽  
Vol 8 (3) ◽  
pp. 2949-2972 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. Heuzé ◽  
J. K. Ridley ◽  
D. Calvert ◽  
D. P. Stevens ◽  
K. J. Heywood
Keyword(s):  
Southern Ocean ◽  
Mixed Layer ◽  
Surface Waters ◽  
Bottom Water ◽  
Deep Convection ◽  
Mixed Layer Depth ◽  
Vertical Mixing ◽  
Weddell Sea ◽  
Cmip5 Models ◽  
Antarctic Bottom Water

Abstract. Most CMIP5 models unrealistically form Antarctic Bottom Water by open ocean deep convection in the Weddell and Ross Seas. To identify the triggering mechanisms leading to Southern Ocean deep convection in models, we perform sensitivity experiments on the ocean model NEMO forced by prescribed atmospheric fluxes. We vary the vertical velocity scale of the Langmuir turbulence, the fraction of turbulent kinetic energy transferred below the mixed layer, and the background diffusivity and run short simulations from 1980. All experiments exhibit deep convection in the Riiser-Larsen Sea in 1987; the origin is a positive sea ice anomaly in 1985, causing a shallow anomaly in mixed layer depth, hence anomalously warm surface waters and subsequent polynya opening. Modifying the vertical mixing impacts both the climatological state and the associated surface anomalies. The experiments with enhanced mixing exhibit colder surface waters and reduced deep convection. The experiments with decreased mixing are warmer, open larger polynyas and have deep convection across the Weddell Sea until the simulations end. Extended experiments reveal an increase in the Drake Passage transport of 4 Sv each year deep convection occurs, leading to an unrealistically large transport at the end of the simulation. North Atlantic deep convection is not significantly affected by the changes in mixing parameters. As new climate model overflow parameterisations are developed to form Antarctic Bottom Water more realistically, we argue that models would benefit from stopping Southern Ocean deep convection, for example by increasing their vertical mixing.

scholarly journals Walker Circulation controls ENSO Atmospheric Feedbacks in Uncoupled and Coupled Climate Model Simulations

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tobias Bayr ◽  
Dietmar Dommenget ◽  
Mojib Latif
Keyword(s):  
Cloud Cover ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Deep Convection ◽  
Walker Circulation ◽  
Equatorial Pacific ◽  
Coupled Models ◽  
Sst Bias ◽  
Atmospheric Feedbacks ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Mean State

<p><span><span>Many climate models strongly underestimate the two most important atmospheric feedbacks operating in El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO), the positive (amplifying) zonal surface wind feedback and negative (damping) surface-heat flux feedback (hereafter ENSO atmospheric feedbacks, EAF), hampering realistic representation of ENSO dynamics in these models. Here we show that the atmospheric components of climate models participating in the 5</span></span><sup><span><span>th</span></span></sup><span><span> phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) when forced by observed sea surface temperatures (SST), already underestimate EAF on average by 23%, but less than their coupled counterparts (on average by 54%). There is a pronounced tendency of atmosphere models to simulate stronger EAF, when they exhibit a stronger mean deep convection and enhanced cloud cover over the western equatorial Pacific (WEP), indicative of a stronger rising branch of the Pacific Walker Circulation (PWC). Further, differences in the mean deep convection over the WEP between the coupled and uncoupled models explain a large part of the differences in EAF, with the deep convection in the coupled models strongly depending on the equatorial Pacific SST bias. Experiments with a single atmosphere model support the relation between the equatorial Pacific atmospheric mean state, the SST bias and the EAF. An implemented cold SST bias in the observed SST forcing weakens deep convection and reduces cloud cover in the rising branch of the PWC, causing weaker EAF. A warm SST bias has the opposite effect. Our results elucidate how biases in the mean state of the PWC and equatorial SST hamper a realistic simulation of the EAF. </span></span></p>

scholarly journals Southern Ocean Seasonal Restratification Delayed by Submesoscale Wind–Front Interactions

2019 ◽  
Vol 49 (4) ◽  
pp. 1035-1053 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marcel du Plessis ◽  
Sebastiaan Swart ◽  
Isabelle J. Ansorge ◽  
Amala Mahadevan ◽  
Andrew F. Thompson
Keyword(s):  
Southern Ocean ◽  
Mixed Layer ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Buoyancy Flux ◽  
Anthropogenic Heat ◽  
Ocean Mixed Layer ◽  
One Dimensional ◽  
Ocean Stratification ◽  
Freshwater Fluxes

AbstractOcean stratification and the vertical extent of the mixed layer influence the rate at which the ocean and atmosphere exchange properties. This process has direct impacts for anthropogenic heat and carbon uptake in the Southern Ocean. Submesoscale instabilities that evolve over space (1–10 km) and time (from hours to days) scales directly influence mixed layer variability and are ubiquitous in the Southern Ocean. Mixed layer eddies contribute to mixed layer restratification, while down-front winds, enhanced by strong synoptic storms, can erode stratification by a cross-frontal Ekman buoyancy flux. This study investigates the role of these submesoscale processes on the subseasonal and interannual variability of the mixed layer stratification using four years of high-resolution glider data in the Southern Ocean. An increase of stratification from winter to summer occurs due to a seasonal warming of the mixed layer. However, we observe transient decreases in stratification lasting from days to weeks, which can arrest the seasonal restratification by up to two months after surface heat flux becomes positive. This leads to interannual differences in the timing of seasonal restratification by up to 36 days. Parameterizing the Ekman buoyancy flux in a one-dimensional mixed layer model reduces the magnitude of stratification compared to when the model is run using heat and freshwater fluxes alone. Importantly, the reduced stratification occurs during the spring restratification period, thereby holding important implications for mixed layer dynamics in climate models as well as physical–biological coupling in the Southern Ocean.

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