scholarly journals Improvement of Mountain-Wave Turbulence Forecasts in NOAA’s Rapid Refresh (RAP) Model with the Hybrid Vertical Coordinate System

2019 ◽  
Vol 34 (3) ◽  
pp. 773-780 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jung-Hoon Kim ◽  
Robert D. Sharman ◽  
Stanley G. Benjamin ◽  
John M. Brown ◽  
Sang-Hun Park ◽  
...  

Abstract Spurious mountain-wave features have been reported as false alarms of light-or-stronger numerical weather prediction (NWP)-based cruise level turbulence forecasts especially over the western mountainous region of North America. To reduce this problem, a hybrid sigma–pressure vertical coordinate system was implemented in NOAA’s operational Rapid Refresh model, version 4 (RAPv4), which has been running in parallel with the conventional terrain-following coordinate system of RAP version 3 (RAPv3). Direct comparison of vertical velocity |w| fields from the RAPv4 and RAPv3 models shows that the new RAPv4 model significantly reduces small-scale spurious vertical velocities induced by the conventional terrain-following coordinate system in the RAPv3. For aircraft-scale turbulence forecasts, |w| and |w|/Richardson number (|w|/Ri) derived from both the RAPv4 and RAPv3 models are converted into energy dissipation rate (EDR) estimates. Then, those EDR-scaled indices are evaluated using more than 1.2 million in situ EDR turbulence reports from commercial aircraft for 4 months (September–December 2017). Scores of the area under receiver operating characteristic curves for the |w|- and |w|/Ri-based EDR forecasts from the RAPv4 are 0.69 and 0.83, which is statistically significantly improved over the RAPv3 of 0.63 and 0.77, respectively. The new RAPv4 became operational on 12 July 2018 and provides better guidance for operational turbulence forecasting over North America.

2015 ◽  
Vol 781 ◽  
pp. 727-744 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. A. Antonia ◽  
S. L. Tang ◽  
L. Djenidi ◽  
L. Danaila

The variation of $S$, the velocity derivative skewness, with the Taylor microscale Reynolds number $\mathit{Re}_{{\it\lambda}}$ is examined for different turbulent flows by considering the locally isotropic form of the transport equation for the mean energy dissipation rate $\overline{{\it\epsilon}}_{iso}$. In each flow, the equation can be expressed in the form $S+2G/\mathit{Re}_{{\it\lambda}}=C/\mathit{Re}_{{\it\lambda}}$, where $G$ is a non-dimensional rate of destruction of $\overline{{\it\epsilon}}_{iso}$ and $C$ is a flow-dependent constant. Since $2G/\mathit{Re}_{{\it\lambda}}$ is found to be very nearly constant for $\mathit{Re}_{{\it\lambda}}\geqslant 70$, $S$ should approach a universal constant when $\mathit{Re}_{{\it\lambda}}$ is sufficiently large, but the way this constant is approached is flow dependent. For example, the approach is slow in grid turbulence and rapid along the axis of a round jet. For all the flows considered, the approach is reasonably well supported by experimental and numerical data. The constancy of $S$ at large $\mathit{Re}_{{\it\lambda}}$ has obvious ramifications for small-scale turbulence research since it violates the modified similarity hypothesis introduced by Kolmogorov (J. Fluid Mech., vol. 13, 1962, pp. 82–85) but is consistent with the original similarity hypothesis (Kolmogorov, Dokl. Akad. Nauk SSSR, vol. 30, 1941, pp. 299–303).


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stephanie Westerhuis ◽  
Oliver Fuhrer

<p>Fog and low stratus pose a major challenge for numerical weather prediction (NWP) models. Despite high resolution in the horizontal (~1 km) and vertical (~20 m), operational NWP models often fail to accurately predict fog and low stratus. This is a major issue at airports which require visibility predictions, or for energy agencies estimating day-ahead input into the electrical grid from photovoltaic power.</p><p>Most studies dedicated to fog and low stratus forecasts have focused on the physical parameterisations or grid resolutions. We illustrate how horizontal advection at the cloud top of fog and low stratus in a grid with sloping vertical coordinates leads to spurious numerical diffusion and subsequent erroneous dissipation of the clouds. This cannot be prevented by employing a higher-order advection scheme. After all, the formulation of the terrain-following vertical coordinate plays a crucial role in regions which do not exhibit perfectly flat orography. We suggest a new vertical coordinate formulation which allows for a faster decay of the orographic signal with altitude and present its positive impact on fog and low stratus forecasts. Our experiments indicate that smoothing of the vertical coordinates at low altitudes is a crucial measure to prevent premature dissipation of fog and low stratus in high-resolution NWP models.</p>


2015 ◽  
Vol 143 (6) ◽  
pp. 2386-2403 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rainer Bleck ◽  
Jian-Wen Bao ◽  
Stanley G. Benjamin ◽  
John M. Brown ◽  
Michael Fiorino ◽  
...  

Abstract A hydrostatic global weather prediction model based on an icosahedral horizontal grid and a hybrid terrain-following/isentropic vertical coordinate is described. The model is an extension to three spatial dimensions of a previously developed, icosahedral, shallow-water model featuring user-selectable horizontal resolution and employing indirect addressing techniques. The vertical grid is adaptive to maximize the portion of the atmosphere mapped into the isentropic coordinate subdomain. The model, best described as a stacked shallow-water model, is being tested extensively on real-time medium-range forecasts to ready it for possible inclusion in operational multimodel ensembles for medium-range to seasonal prediction.


Author(s):  
Djordje Romanic

Tornadoes and downbursts cause extreme wind speeds that often present a threat to human safety, structures, and the environment. While the accuracy of weather forecasts has increased manifold over the past several decades, the current numerical weather prediction models are still not capable of explicitly resolving tornadoes and small-scale downbursts in their operational applications. This chapter describes some of the physical (e.g., tornadogenesis and downburst formation), mathematical (e.g., chaos theory), and computational (e.g., grid resolution) challenges that meteorologists currently face in tornado and downburst forecasting.


2020 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhuo Wang ◽  
Kun Luo ◽  
Junhua Tan ◽  
Dong Li ◽  
Jianren Fan
Keyword(s):  

2019 ◽  
Vol 4 (12) ◽  
Author(s):  
C. Marchioli ◽  
H. Bhatia ◽  
G. Sardina ◽  
L. Brandt ◽  
A. Soldati

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Hai Le-The ◽  
Christian Küchler ◽  
Albert van den Berg ◽  
Eberhard Bodenschatz ◽  
Detlef Lohse ◽  
...  

AbstractWe report a robust fabrication method for patterning freestanding Pt nanowires for use as thermal anemometry probes for small-scale turbulence measurements. Using e-beam lithography, high aspect ratio Pt nanowires (~300 nm width, ~70 µm length, ~100 nm thickness) were patterned on the surface of oxidized silicon (Si) wafers. Combining wet etching processes with dry etching processes, these Pt nanowires were successfully released, rendering them freestanding between two silicon dioxide (SiO2) beams supported on Si cantilevers. Moreover, the unique design of the bridge holding the device allowed gentle release of the device without damaging the Pt nanowires. The total fabrication time was minimized by restricting the use of e-beam lithography to the patterning of the Pt nanowires, while standard photolithography was employed for other parts of the devices. We demonstrate that the fabricated sensors are suitable for turbulence measurements when operated in constant-current mode. A robust calibration between the output voltage and the fluid velocity was established over the velocity range from 0.5 to 5 m s−1 in a SF6 atmosphere at a pressure of 2 bar and a temperature of 21 °C. The sensing signal from the nanowires showed negligible drift over a period of several hours. Moreover, we confirmed that the nanowires can withstand high dynamic pressures by testing them in air at room temperature for velocities up to 55 m s−1.


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