The Consequences of Long-Term Unemployment: Evidence from Linked Survey and Administrative Data

ILR Review ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 72 (2) ◽  
pp. 266-299 ◽  
Author(s):  
Katharine G. Abraham ◽  
John Haltiwanger ◽  
Kristin Sandusky ◽  
James R. Spletzer
Keyword(s):  
Labor Market ◽  
State Dependence ◽  
Unemployment Duration ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Market Outcomes ◽  
Current Population Survey Data ◽  
Work History ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
The Rich

That the long-term unemployed fare worse in the labor market than do the short-term unemployed is well-known, but why? One potential explanation is that the long-term unemployed are “bad apples” who had poorer prospects from the outset of their spells (heterogeneity). Another is that these bad outcomes are a consequence of their extended unemployment (state dependence). The authors use Current Population Survey data on unemployed individuals linked to unemployment insurance wage records for the same people to distinguish between these explanations. The rich work history information contained in the wage records allows the authors to control for individual heterogeneity that could affect post-unemployment labor market outcomes. Even with these controls in place, they find that unemployment duration has a strongly negative effect on the likelihood of subsequent employment. The results are robust to accounting for differences in the labor market conditions experienced by the long-term and short-term unemployed.

scholarly journals Do Immigrants Bring Fiscal Dividends?: The Case of Venezuelan Immigration in Colombia

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Oscar Valencia ◽  
Matilde Angarita ◽  
Juan Santaella ◽  
Marcela De Castro
Keyword(s):  
Labor Market ◽  
Skilled Workers ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Employment Level ◽  
Dynamic General Equilibrium Model ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Fiscal Balance ◽  
Unskilled Workers ◽  
Matching Structure

This paper analyzes the effects of recent Venezuelan immigration to Colombia on the fiscal balance, the labor market, and economic growth. For this purpose, we built a dynamic general equilibrium model with a search and matching structure in the labor market. The higher fiscal spending to address immigration negatively impacts the government's budget in the short term, which is offset by higher output, consumption, and employment level, increasing the government's revenues mainly through indirect tax collection. The effect on the labor market is different for unskilled workers--whose higher supply generates a negative effect on wages and an increase in the unemployment rate--and skilled workers, who benefit from higher wages and lower unemployment. These changes in the labor market affect the government's revenue, resulting, in the long term, in positive fiscal dividends of migration.

scholarly journals Immigration and economic mobility

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maria F. Hoen ◽  
Simen Markussen ◽  
Knut Røed
Keyword(s):  
Labor Market ◽  
Low Income ◽  
Labor Market Outcomes ◽  
Lower Class ◽  
Low Income Countries ◽  
Market Outcomes ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Class Background ◽  
The Rich ◽  
Relative Prime

AbstractWe examine how immigration affects natives’ relative prime-age labor market outcomes by economic class background, with class background established on the basis of parents’ earnings rank. Exploiting alternative sources of variation in immigration patterns across time and space, we find that immigration from low-income countries reduces intergenerational mobility and thus steepens the social gradient in natives’ labor market outcomes, whereas immigration from high-income countries levels it. These findings are robust with respect to a wide range of identifying assumptions. The analysis is based on high-quality population-wide administrative data from Norway, which is one of the rich-world countries with the most rapid rise in the immigrant population share over the past two decades. Our findings suggest that immigration can explain a considerable part of the observed relative decline in economic performance among natives with a lower-class background.

Labor lawsuits and debt maturity

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Omer Unsal
Keyword(s):  
Chief Executive ◽  
Debt Maturity ◽  
Employee Relations ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Debt Market ◽  
Legal Fees

Purpose This paper aims to investigate how firms’ relationships with employees define their debt maturity. The authors empirically test the role of employee litigations in influencing firms’ choice of short-term versus long-term debt. The authors study employee relations by analyzing the importance of the workplace environment on capital structure. Design/methodology/approach The author’s test hypotheses using a sample of US publicly traded firms between 2000 and 2017, including 3,056 unique firms with 4,256 unique chief executive officer, adopting the fixed effect panel model. Findings The authors document that employee litigations have a significant negative effect on the use of short-term debt and a significant positive affect on long-term debt. Employee litigations, along with legal fees, outcomes and charging parties, matter the most in explaining debt maturity. In addition, frequently sued firms abandon the short-term debt market and use less shareholders’ equity to finance their operations while relying more on the longer debt market. Originality/value To the best of the authors’ knowledge, this is the first study to examine the role of employee mistreatment in debt maturity choice. The study extends the lawsuit and finance literature by examining unique, hand-collected data sets of employee lawsuits, allegations, violations, settlements, charging parties, case outcomes and case durations.

scholarly journals PENGARUH GLOBALISASI KEPADATAN PENDUDUK DAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI TERHADAP DEGRADASI LINGKUNGAN DI INDONESIA

2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Safriwan Safriwan ◽  
Idris Idris
Keyword(s):  
Population Density ◽  
Environmental Degradation ◽  
Research Result ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Method Error ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Economic Institute ◽  
Carbon Project ◽  
Positive Effect

Abstract : The study describes the effects on globalization population density andeconomic growth on environmental degradation in Indonesia. This research uses a timeseries data from year 1971 - 2017, with method Error Correction Model (ECM). Datasources from Global Carbon Project, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, and WorldBank. Research result explain that (1) Globalization in long term has a insignificantpositive effect on environmental degradation in Indonesia, but short term globalizationhas a insignificant negative effect on environmental degradation in Indonesia (2)Population density in long term has a significant positive , and short term has ainsignificant positive effect on environmental degradation in Indonesia (3) Economicgrowth in long and short term has a significant positive effect on environmentaldegradation in Indonesia.Keywords : Environmental Degradation, Globalization Population Density AndEconomic Growth.

Economic Complexity and Trade Diversification in the Western Hemisphere Between 1962 and 2017

2021 ◽  
pp. 115-147
Author(s):  
Jorge Mauricio Falcón Gómez ◽  
Fernando Martín Mayoral
Keyword(s):  
Financial Markets ◽  
Transaction Costs ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Terms Of Trade ◽  
Western Hemisphere ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Economic Complexity ◽  
Comparative Advantages ◽  
Negative Effect

Trade diversification patterns help explain the level of utilization of trade opportunities by countries, mainly the least developed. Empirical analyses show an inverse U relationship between trade diversification and level of development. Trade diversification measures used do not take into account differences in complexity of exports, and complexity indices only consider products with comparative advantages. This study seeks to cover both gaps by analyzing the differences in the determinants of trade diversification, considering the complexity of products exported by 19 Western Hemisphere countries from 1962 to 2017. The results show that after controlling for economic complexity, the inverted U relationship disappears. Development of financial markets positively affects the complexity of trade diversification in the long term, while the terms of trade that have a negative effect on trade diversification does not affect the complexity-corrected indices. In the short term, transaction costs and trade openness appear to have a significant effect.

scholarly journals Macroeconomic Long-Run Effects of the German Minimum Wage when Labor Markets are Frictional

2020 ◽  
Vol 240 (2-3) ◽  
pp. 351-386 ◽  
Author(s):  
Helge Braun ◽  
Roland Döhrn ◽  
Michael Krause ◽  
Martin Micheli ◽  
Torsten Schmidt
Keyword(s):  
Labor Market ◽  
Minimum Wage ◽  
Structural Model ◽  
Economic Effects ◽  
Relative Price ◽  
Wage Policy ◽  
Market Outcomes ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Search And Matching Frictions ◽  
Negative Effect

AbstractThis paper analyzes the introduction of the German minimum wage in 2015 in a structural model geared to quantitatively assess its long-run economic effects. We first employ a simple neoclassic model where wages equal their marginal product, then extend this model to two sector economy, and finally introduce search and matching frictions. Even though all model variants remain highly stylized, they yield quantitative insights on the importance of different mechanisms and channels through which minimum wages affect outcomes in the long run. In this framework, the minimum wage has a strong negative effect on employment. When sectors are differently affected by the minimum wage, sectoral relative price changes play an important quantitative role. Other labor market policies and institutions are important for the transmission of minimum wage policy on labor market market outcomes.

scholarly journals Evaluating the Minimum-Wage Exemption of the Long-Term Unemployed in Germany

ILR Review ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 73 (5) ◽  
pp. 1095-1118
Author(s):  
Matthias Umkehrer ◽  
Philipp vom Berge
Keyword(s):  
Minimum Wage ◽  
Regression Discontinuity ◽  
Unemployment Duration ◽  
Regression Discontinuity Design ◽  
Micro Data ◽  
Job Seekers ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Employment Stability

The authors evaluate the exemption of long-term unemployed job seekers from Germany’s national minimum wage. Using linked survey and administrative micro data, they rely on a regression discontinuity design to identify the effects of the policy by comparing hiring rates, employment stability, and entry wages around the administrative threshold between short-term and long-term unemployment. They find that the exemption is very rarely used and that the minimum wage binds irrespective of past unemployment duration. While the minimum wage led to a relative rise in entry wages for the long-term unemployed compared to the short-term unemployed, the authors do not detect a relative deterioration in their employment prospects.

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