scholarly journals Anomalous Price Behaviour around Open Market Stock Repurchase Announcements in India

2015 ◽  
Vol 40 (4) ◽  
pp. 435-443 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chanchal Chatterjee ◽  
Paromita Dutta

Executive SummaryThis article examines the impact of open market share repurchase announcements on stock returns in the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE). The main objective is to examine whether share repurchase announcements under the open market route have any significant impact on the returns of the stocks traded in the BSE. The article covers the period from 2009 to 2013. For sample selection, two criteria were used: first, the firm should have been listed in the BSE for at least 28 trading days before the repurchase announcement date, and second, the firm should have all relevant data required by this study. A total of 95 repurchase announcements fulfilled these criteria. The analysis period extended from –28 to +28 trading days relative to the repurchase announcement date ( t = 0). The findings of the study will help us to understand how the market responds to share repurchase announcements in India and whether a firm actually benefits by repurchasing its own shares from the market.This study uses a standard event methodology based on an ordinary least squares market model with the aim of finding out whether repurchase announcements generate any abnormal return around the repurchase announcement date. While applying the market model for estimating the abnormal returns, the regression is estimated based on the stock return of the firm and market return of the previous 120 trading days. So, here the estimation window takes into account 120 observations. Using this, the expected returns are generated and then the abnormal returns are derived for the event window, 28 days prior to the event date and 28 days after the event date.The findings of the study indicate that share repurchase announcements do not necessarily generate abnormal stock returns in the Indian equity market unlike developed economies like the US, Canada, and Australia. The whole sample is further divided into various subsamples on the basis of firm size and size of repurchase. The subsample analyses reveal that smaller firms do not necessarily experience higher abnormal stock returns following repurchase announcements than that of the larger firms. The findings weakly support the view that larger repurchase size generates greater abnormal stock returns than the smaller ones.

2004 ◽  
Vol 07 (03) ◽  
pp. 335-354 ◽  
Author(s):  
Miawjane Chen ◽  
Chao-Liang Chen ◽  
Wan-Hsiu Cheng

In this paper we empirically examine the effects of 451 restricted share repurchase announcements in Taiwan. Their 3-day cumulative abnormal returns are all significantly positive for different purposes and Tobin's qs. However, there is no significant difference in abnormal returns for different repurchasing purposes. This indicates that mandating a purpose is not really an effective tool for limiting managerial choice. Moreover, when the related variables are controlled, the other empirical results we conducted indicate that, at least in Taiwan, the traditional signaling hypothesis and the free cash flow hypothesis can function simultaneously to explain the effects of the restricted repurchase announcements.


2022 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Rana Bayo Flees ◽  
Sulaiman Mouselli

Purpose This paper aims to investigate the impact of qualified audit opinions on the returns of stocks listed at Amman Stock Exchange (ASE) after the introduction of the recent amendments by the International Auditing and Assurance Standard Board (IAASB) on audits reporting and conclusions. It further investigates if results differ between first time qualified and sequenced qualifications, and between plain qualified opinion and qualifications with going concern. Design/methodology/approach Audit opinions’ announcements and stock returns data are collected from companies’ annual reports for the fiscal years 2016 to 2019 while stock returns are computed from stock closing prices published at ASE website. The authors apply the event study approach and use the market model to calculate normal returns. Cumulative abnormal returns (CARs) and average abnormal returns (AARs) are computed for all qualified audit opinions’ announcements. Findings The empirical evidence suggests that investors at ASE do not react to qualified audit opinions announcements. That is, the authors find an insignificant impact of qualified audit opinion announcements on stock returns using both CAR and AAR estimates. The results are robust to first time and sequenced qualifications, and for qualifications with going concern. Results are also robust to the use of risk adjusted market model. Research limitations/implications The insignificant impact of qualified audit opinions on stock returns have two potential conflicting research implications. First, the new amendments introduced to auditors’ report made them more informative and reduce the negative signals contained in the qualified opinions. That is, investors are now aware of the real causes of qualifications and not overreacting to the qualified opinion. Second, the documented insignificant impact confirms that ASE is not a semi-strong form efficient. Practical implications The apparent excessive use of qualifications should ring the bell on whether auditors misuse their power or companies are really in trouble. Hence, the Jordanian regulatory bodies need to warn auditors against the excessive use of qualifications on the one hand, and to raise the awareness of investors on the implications of auditors’ opinions on the other hand. Originality/value This study is innovative in twofold. First, it explores the impact of qualified audit opinions on stock returns after the introduction of new amendments by IAASB at ASE. In addition, it uses event study approach and distinguishes between first time qualified and sequenced qualifications, and between plain qualified opinion and qualifications with going concern. The results are consistent with efficient market theory and behavioral finance explanations.


2020 ◽  
Vol 27 (1) ◽  
pp. 258-273
Author(s):  
Ayesha Ashraf ◽  
M. Kabir Hassan ◽  
Khurram Abbas ◽  
Qamar Uz Zaman

Purpose This paper aims to examine the impact of general elections on the stock returns of the politically connected group affiliated firms of Pakistan. Design/methodology/approach This study uses the market model to assess the impact of political connections (PCs) on abnormal stock returns, before and after election events. We have used share price data of non-financial firms of Pakistan for the years 2008-2013. Findings It has been found that behavior of cumulative average abnormal returns (CAAR) is significantly different for standalone and politically connected group affiliated firms. The results reveal that CAARs of politically connected group affiliated firms have experienced less deviation as compared to stand alone firms. Therefore, it is argued that politically connected group firms may reduce the impact of political uncertainty on stock returns in comparison to stand alone firms. Practical implications This study is helpful for policy regulators of Pakistan to devise appropriate policies to maintain a level playing field for politically connected and standalone firms. Originality/value This study provides a new dimension to understand the role and association of PCs and general elections with stock markets returns.


2019 ◽  
Vol 20 (2) ◽  
pp. 420-433
Author(s):  
Paramita Mukherjee ◽  
Chanchal Chatterjee

In recent years, there is an increasing trend of share repurchase announcement by Indian firms. This article attempts to examine whether open market share repurchase announcements in India lead to excess stock returns and to identify the factors responsible for additional stock returns. Apart from a standard market method, the price behaviour is examined on an individual basis. The results show that the firms, on an average, do not experience price improvement after share repurchase. While 24 per cent of the firms lose and 10 per cent gain, the rest experience no change. In normal times, investors prefer small-cap companies, but post-announcement, promoters’ share and premium play an important role.


Author(s):  
Masaki Kudo ◽  
Yong Jae Ko ◽  
Matthew Walker ◽  
Daniel P Connaughton

The purpose of this study was to examine stock price abnormal returns following title sponsorship announcement and event date of NASCAR, the PGA Tour, and the LPGA Tour. For this purpose, the authors used event study analysis where the analysis measures the impact that a specific event has on stock prices by comparing actual stock returns to estimated returns (Spais & Filis, 2008). An event study analysis demonstrated that title sponsors for the LPGA Tour and NASCAR garnered significant stock price increases on both the announcement date and the event date. The moderator tests suggested that high image congruence and high-technology related sponsorships assumed a key role in stock price increases.


2019 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 180
Author(s):  
James N. Ndegwa

In the decade between years 2001 – 2011 Kenya experienced change of CEOs of listed firms through dismissal, resignation and retirement which created a need to establish whether CEO departure events had a significant influence on stock returns and profitability of the affected firms. In this research 9 CEO departure events 3 dismissal, 3 retirement and 3 resignation events were analyzed. Abnormal stock returns were computed by employing the market model and profitability of the affected listed firms was measured by employing return on assets (ROA). Paired samples t-test was employed to examine whether there was a significant difference in the abnormal returns and profitability (ROA) during pre and post CEO departure period. The findings indicated that there was no significant difference in abnormal stock returns and profitability in the pre and post CEO departure events. The findings implied that NSE investors were not excited by change of CEOs and that the NSE is semi strong form efficient.


2020 ◽  
Vol 57 (6) ◽  
pp. 1055-1075
Author(s):  
Ashwin Malshe ◽  
Anatoli Colicev ◽  
Vikas Mittal

Although previous studies have established a direct link between customer-based metrics and stock returns, research is unclear on the mediated nature of their association. The authors examine the association of customer satisfaction and abnormal stock returns, as mediated by the trading behavior of short sellers. Using quarterly data from 273 firms over 2007–2017, the authors find that short interest—a measure of short seller activity—mediates the impact of customer satisfaction and dissatisfaction on abnormal stock returns. Customer dissatisfaction has a more pronounced effect on short selling compared with customer satisfaction. In addition, customer satisfaction and dissatisfaction are more relevant for firms with low capital intensity and firms that face lower competitive intensity. The results show that a one-unit increase in customer satisfaction is associated with a .56 percentage point increase in abnormal returns, while a one-unit increase in customer dissatisfaction is associated with a 1.34 percentage point decrease in abnormal returns.


2014 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 368-384 ◽  
Author(s):  
Saqib Sharif ◽  
Hamish D. Anderson ◽  
Ben R. Marshall

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to investigate how the announcement and implementation of short sales and margin trading regulation affects Chinese stock returns and trading volume. On 31 March 2010, the Chinese regulators launched a pilot programme, allowing short sales and margin trading for 50 Shanghai Stock Exchange and 40 Shenzhen Stock Exchange stocks. Design/methodology/approach – This paper uses an event study approach to compare market model abnormal returns (ARs) of the pilot firms with two distinct matched firm samples. A volume event study is also conducted to examine abnormal trading activity surrounding the key events in the pilot stocks. Findings – Negative ARs follow both the announcement and implementation of short selling and margin trading. This suggests the negative impact of short sales dominates the positive impact of margin trading on an average. Volume also declines, which is consistent with uninformed investors’ seeking to avoid trading against informed traders. Originality/value – The paper appears to be the first to address the impact of both the announcement and implementation of short selling and margin trading rule changes on returns and liquidity using individual stock data.


2017 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 4-18 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christopher Gan ◽  
Chao Bian ◽  
Damon Wu ◽  
David A. Cohen

By combining the market model with the three-factor model, this study investigates firms’ share returns after the announcement of share repurchase. Employing data for China’s A-share market, this study’s sample utilizes 417 share repurchase announcements over the period of 2000 to 2012. Empirical results show that firms with higher sales growth rates are more likely to send a positive signal to the market through their share repurchase efforts. Analysis also shows that the higher a firm’s price-to-earnings ratio (utilized as a measure of overvaluation), the lower the firm’s cumulative abnormal returns. These results imply that Chinese share markets put more emphasis on the firm’s future growth and share overvaluation.


2012 ◽  
Vol 47 (5) ◽  
pp. 1059-1088 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ilona Babenko ◽  
Yuri Tserlukevich ◽  
Alexander Vedrashko

AbstractOpen market share repurchase announcements are commonly associated with equity undervaluation, but their signal about firm value can often be misleading. We conjecture that executives who buy shares of their firm before an announcement add credibility to the undervaluation signal. Consistent with this hypothesis, we find that announcement returns are positively related to past insider purchases, especially for firms that are priced less efficiently. Firms whose insiders bought more shares are also more likely to complete their repurchase plans. Finally, we find that insider purchases predict post-announcement stock returns.


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