How Many Trajectories Are Needed to Develop Facility- and Speed-Specific Vehicle-Specific Power Distributions for Emission Estimation? Case Study in Beijing

Author(s):  
Zeyu Zhang ◽  
Guohua Song ◽  
Zhiqiang Zhai ◽  
Chenxu Li ◽  
Yizheng Wu

Vehicle-specific power (VSP) distributions, or operating mode (OpMode) distributions, are one of the most important parameters in VSP-based emission models, such as the motor vehicle emission simulator (MOVES) model. The collection of second-by-second vehicle activity data is required to develop facility- and speed-specific (FaSS) VSP distributions. This then raises the problem of how many trajectories are needed to develop FaSS VSP distributions for emission estimation. This study attempts to investigate the adaptive sample size for developing robust VSP distributions for emission estimations for light-duty vehicles. First, vehicle activity data are divided into trajectories and categorized into different trajectory pools. Then, the uncertainty of FaSS VSP distribution caused by sample size is analyzed. Further, the relationship between VSP distribution sample size and emission factor uncertainty is discussed. The case study indicates that error in developing FaSS VSP distributions decreases significantly with increased sample size. In different speed bins, the sample size required to develop robust FaSS VSP distributions and estimate emission factors is significantly different. In detail, in each speed bin, for a 90% confidence level, 30 trajectories (1,800 s) are enough to develop robust FaSS VSP distributions for light-duty vehicles with the root mean square errors (RMSEs) lower than 2%, which means errors in calculating fuel consumption and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions are lower than 5%. However, 35 trajectories (2,100 s) are needed to estimate emissions of carbon monoxide (CO), nitrogen oxide (NOX), and hydrocarbons (HC) with an estimation error lower than 5%.

Author(s):  
Jinrui Zang ◽  
Guohua Song ◽  
Yizheng Wu ◽  
Lei Yu

Eco-driving is an effective way to reduce vehicle fuel consumption and exhaust emissions. Numerous studies have been conducted on eco-driving, however, there is still a lack of quick and accurate methods for evaluating eco-driving behaviors. This paper proposes a novel method to evaluate eco-driving behaviors based on vehicle specific power (VSP) distributions. First, the baseline speed-specific VSP distributions were derived based on second-by-second vehicle activity data of driving trajectories from 159 drivers on expressways in Beijing. Then, individual drivers’ speed-specific VSP distributions were developed for comparison with the baseline VSP distributions. A model was proposed to evaluate eco-driving behaviors based on the identified differences. Additionally, an eco-driving index (EDI) was designed to quantify the ecological level of driving behaviors for different speed ranges. The consistency of individual driving behaviors across different speed ranges was assessed. The minimum sample size and the appropriate speed bins required for reliable evaluation of individual eco-driving were also determined. The results showed that the differences between individual drivers’ VSP distributions and the baseline distributions could be used to identify eco-driving behaviors, and the eco-driving behaviors of individual drivers were consistent for different speed ranges. The minimum sample size for a reliable evaluation of individual eco-driving behaviors is 420 seconds. Data for speed bins above 70 km/h and below 10 km/h were not representative of the driving behavior and the driving behavior was especially consistent in the speed bins from 20 km/h to 40 km/h.


Author(s):  
Jakub Lasocki

The World-wide harmonised Light-duty Test Cycle (WLTC) was developed internationally for the determination of pollutant emission and fuel consumption from combustion engines of light-duty vehicles. It replaced the New European Driving Cycle (NEDC) used in the European Union (EU) for type-approval testing purposes. This paper presents an extensive comparison of the WLTC and NEDC. The main specifications of both driving cycles are provided, and their advantages and limitations are analysed. The WLTC, compared to the NEDC, is more dynamic, covers a broader spectrum of engine working states and is more realistic in simulating typical real-world driving conditions. The expected impact of the WLTC on vehicle engine performance characteristics is discussed. It is further illustrated by a case study on two light-duty vehicles tested in the WLTC and NEDC. Findings from the investigation demonstrated that the driving cycle has a strong impact on the performance characteristics of the vehicle combustion engine. For the vehicles tested, the average engine speed, engine torque and fuel flow rate measured over the WLTC are higher than those measured over the NEDC. The opposite trend is observed in terms of fuel economy (expressed in l/100 km); the first vehicle achieved a 9% reduction, while the second – a 3% increase when switching from NEDC to WLTC. Several factors potentially contributing to this discrepancy have been pointed out. The implementation of the WLTC in the EU will force vehicle manufacturers to optimise engine control strategy according to the operating range of the new driving cycle.


Author(s):  
Meng Lyu ◽  
Xiaofeng Bao ◽  
Yunjing Wang ◽  
Ronald Matthews

Vehicle emissions standards and regulations remain weak in high-altitude regions. In this study, vehicle emissions from both the New European Driving Cycle and the Worldwide harmonized Light-duty driving Test Cycle were analyzed by employing on-road test data collected from typical roads in a high-altitude city. On-road measurements were conducted on five light-duty vehicles using a portable emissions measurement system. The certification cycle parameters were synthesized from real-world driving data using the vehicle specific power methodology. The analysis revealed that under real-world driving conditions, all emissions were generally higher than the estimated values for both the New European Driving Cycle and Worldwide harmonized Light-duty driving Test Cycle. Concerning emissions standards, more CO, NOx, and hydrocarbons were emitted by China 3 vehicles than by China 4 vehicles, whereas the CO2 emissions exhibited interesting trends with vehicle displacement and emissions standards. These results have potential implications for policymakers in regard to vehicle emissions management and control strategies aimed at emissions reduction, fleet inspection, and maintenance programs.


2015 ◽  
Vol 2503 (1) ◽  
pp. 128-136 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bin Liu ◽  
H. Christopher Frey

Accurate estimation of vehicle activity is critically important for the accurate estimation of emissions. To provide a benchmark for estimation of vehicle speed trajectories such as those from traffic simulation models, this paper demonstrates a method for quantifying light-duty vehicle activity envelopes based on real-world activity data for 100 light-duty vehicles, including conventional passenger cars, passenger trucks, and hybrid electric vehicles. The vehicle activity envelope was quanti-fied in the 95% frequency range of acceleration for each of 15 speed bins with intervals of 5 mph and a speed bin for greater than 75 mph. Potential factors affecting the activity envelope were evaluated; these factors included vehicle type, transmission type, road grade, engine displacement, engine horsepower, curb weight, and ratio of horsepower to curb weight. The activity envelope was wider for speeds ranging from 5 to 20 mph and narrowed as speed increased. The latter was consistent with a constraint on maximum achievable engine power demand. The envelope was weakly sensitive to factors such as type of vehicle, type of transmission, road grade, and engine horsepower. The effect of road grade on cycle average emissions rates was evaluated for selected real-word cycles. The measured activity envelope was compared with those of dynamometer driving cycles, such as the federal test procedure, highway fuel economy test, SC03, and US06 cycles. The effect of intervehicle variability on the activity envelope was minor; this factor implied that the envelope could be quantified based on a smaller vehicle sample than used for this study.


2017 ◽  
Vol 2627 (1) ◽  
pp. 93-102 ◽  
Author(s):  
Randall Guensler ◽  
Haobing Liu ◽  
Yanzhi (Ann) Xu ◽  
Alper Akanser ◽  
Daejin Kim ◽  
...  

This study demonstrated an approach to modeling individual vehicle second-by-second fuel consumption and emissions on the basis of vehicle operations. The approach used the Motor Vehicle Emission Simulator (MOVES)–Matrix, a high-performance vehicle emissions modeling system consisting of a multidimensional array of vehicle emissions rates (pulled directly from EPA’s MOVES emissions model) that could be quickly queried by other models to generate an applicable emissions rate for any specified on-road fleet and operating conditions. For this project, the research team developed a spreadsheet-based MOVES-Matrix calculator to simplify connecting vehicle activity data with multidimensional emissions rates from MOVES-Matrix. This paper provides a walk-through of the calculation procedures, from basic vehicle information and driving cycles to second-by-second emissions rates. The individual vehicle emissions modeling framework was incorporated into Commute Warrior, a trademarked travel survey application for Android smartphones, to provide real-time fuel consumption and emissions rate estimates from concurrently obtained GPS-based speed data.


Author(s):  
Tongchuan Wei ◽  
H. Christopher Frey

A vehicle specific power (VSP) modal model and the MOtor Vehicle Emission Simulator (MOVES) Operating Mode (OpMode) model have been used to evaluate and quantify the fuel use and emission rates (FUERs) for on-road vehicles. These models bin second-by-second FUERs based on factors such as VSP, speed, and others. The validity of binning approaches depends on their precision and accuracy in predicting variability in cycle-average emission rates (CAERs). The objective is to quantify the precision and accuracy of the two modeling methods. Since 2008, North Carolina State University has used portable emission measurement systems to measure tailpipe emission rates for 214 light duty gasoline vehicles on 1,677 driving cycles, including 839 outbound cycles and 838 inbound cycles on the same routes. These vehicles represent a wide range of characteristics and emission standards. For each vehicle, the models were calibrated based on outbound cycles and were validated based on inbound cycles. The goodness-of-fit of the calibrated models was assessed using linear least squares regression without intercept between model-predicted versus empirical CAERs for individual vehicles. Based on model calibration and validation, the coefficients of determination ( R2) typically range from 0.60 to 0.97 depending on the vehicle group and pollutant, indicating moderate to high precision, with precision typically higher for higher-emitting vehicle groups. The slopes of parity plots for each vehicle group and all vehicles typically range from 0.90 to 1.10, indicating good accuracy. The two modeling approaches are similar to each other at the microscopic and macroscopic levels.


Author(s):  
H. Christopher Frey ◽  
Maryam Delavarrafiee ◽  
Sanjam Singh

There are few data on differences in real-world emissions by in-use vehicles when they operate on freeway ramps compared with operations on the freeway itself. The objective of this paper is to quantify the variability in link-based emissions rates for on-ramps and off-ramps in comparison to rates on freeways. Real-world measurements were made with the use of a portable emissions measurement system (PEMS) for selected vehicles, ramps, and freeway segments. The methodology included development of a study design for field data collection of vehicle activity and emissions, execution of the study design, quality assurance of the raw data, and analysis of the quality-assured data. Four light-duty gasoline vehicles were driven on two routes, each composed of on-ramp, freeway, and off-ramp links. Data were collected for morning peak, evening peak, and off-peak time periods. A PEMS test was used to measure exhaust emissions of oxides of nitrogen (NOx), hydrocarbon (HC), and carbon monoxide (CO). The emissions rates for on-ramps were shown to be substantially higher than rates on freeways for NOx, HC, and CO. Some of this variability in emissions rates can be explained by link average vehicle specific power, which can vary by time of day and from one location to another. The variability in emissions rates by route and time of day indicates that there can be complex interactions between traffic flow, road geometry, and emissions rates. Recommendations are offered for additional study and regarding how these results can be used by researchers and practitioners.


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