scholarly journals The Effect of COVID-19 on Domestic Violence and Assaults

2021 ◽  
pp. 073401682110611
Author(s):  
Mustafa Demir ◽  
Suyeon Park
Keyword(s):  
Domestic Violence ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Police Department ◽  
Interrupted Time Series ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Calls For Service ◽  
Time Series Analyses ◽  
Significant Change

The purpose of this research was to examine the effect of COVID-19 on four outcomes including calls for service for domestic violence, calls for service for assaults, arrests for domestic violence, and arrests for assaults in Burlington, Vermont. The data for each outcome collected over the time periods January 2012 through May 2021 were obtained from the Burlington Police Department website and then a monthly time-series data set were created. The analyses including an independent samples t-test, a Poisson regression test, and a monthly interrupted time-series analyses (ITSA) were employed to test the effects of COVID-19 on the previously mentioned outcomes. The results of the ITSA showed that in the first month following the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, domestic violence calls statistically significantly increased, but no statistically significant change was observed in domestic violence arrests, while assault calls and assault arrests statistically significantly decreased. In addition, during COVID-19, there was a statistically significant decreasing trend in domestic violence calls and domestic violence arrests, while there was no statistically significant change in the trends of assault calls and assault arrests. The results suggest that COVID-19 had an immediate as well as a persistent effect on the numbers of domestic violence and assaults. The results and limitations of this study were also discussed.

scholarly journals Remaining Useful Life Prediction Using Temporal Convolution with Attention

AI ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 48-70
Author(s):  
Wei Ming Tan ◽  
T. Hui Teo
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Remaining Useful Life ◽  
Sensor Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Multiple Time ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Form Complex ◽  
Useful Life

Prognostic techniques attempt to predict the Remaining Useful Life (RUL) of a subsystem or a component. Such techniques often use sensor data which are periodically measured and recorded into a time series data set. Such multivariate data sets form complex and non-linear inter-dependencies through recorded time steps and between sensors. Many current existing algorithms for prognostic purposes starts to explore Deep Neural Network (DNN) and its effectiveness in the field. Although Deep Learning (DL) techniques outperform the traditional prognostic algorithms, the networks are generally complex to deploy or train. This paper proposes a Multi-variable Time Series (MTS) focused approach to prognostics that implements a lightweight Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) with attention mechanism. The convolution filters work to extract the abstract temporal patterns from the multiple time series, while the attention mechanisms review the information across the time axis and select the relevant information. The results suggest that the proposed method not only produces a superior accuracy of RUL estimation but it also trains many folds faster than the reported works. The superiority of deploying the network is also demonstrated on a lightweight hardware platform by not just being much compact, but also more efficient for the resource restricted environment.

scholarly journals Studying monthly rainfall over Dibrugarh, Assam: Use of SARIMA approach

MAUSAM ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 68 (2) ◽  
pp. 349-356
Author(s):  
J. HAZARIKA ◽  
B. PATHAK ◽  
A. N. PATOWARY
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Moving Average ◽  
Demand Management ◽  
Arima Model ◽  
Monthly Rainfall ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Modeling And Forecasting ◽  
Moving Average Model

Perceptive the rainfall pattern is tough for the solution of several regional environmental issues of water resources management, with implications for agriculture, climate change, and natural calamity such as floods and droughts. Statistical computing, modeling and forecasting data are key instruments for studying these patterns. The study of time series analysis and forecasting has become a major tool in different applications in hydrology and environmental fields. Among the most effective approaches for analyzing time series data is the ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) model introduced by Box and Jenkins. In this study, an attempt has been made to use Box-Jenkins methodology to build ARIMA model for monthly rainfall data taken from Dibrugarh for the period of 1980- 2014 with a total of 420 points.  We investigated and found that ARIMA (0, 0, 0) (0, 1, 1)12 model is suitable for the given data set. As such this model can be used to forecast the pattern of monthly rainfall for the upcoming years, which can help the decision makers to establish priorities in terms of agricultural, flood, water demand management etc.  

Abstract 19225: Impact of Change in Resuscitation Guidelines on National Out-of-hospital Cardiac Arrest Outcomes: Fulfilled Expectations?

Circulation ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 132 (suppl_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Shaker M Eid ◽  
Aiham Albaeni ◽  
Rebeca Rios ◽  
May Baydoun ◽  
Bolanle Akinyele ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Cardiac Arrest ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Statistical Significance ◽  
Interrupted Time Series ◽  
The United States ◽  
Series Data ◽  
National Database ◽  
Resuscitation Guidelines ◽  
Hospital Cardiac Arrest

Background: The intent of the 5-yearly Resuscitation Guidelines is to improve outcomes. Previous studies have yielded conflicting reports of a beneficial impact of the 2005 guidelines on out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) survival. Using a national database, we examined survival before and after the introduction of both the 2005 and 2010 guidelines. Methods: We used the 2000 through 2012 National Inpatient Sample database to select patients ≥18 years admitted to hospitals in the United States with non-traumatic OHCA (ICD-9 CM codes 427.5 & 427.41). A quasi-experimental (interrupted time series) design was used to compare monthly survival trends. Outcomes for OHCA were compared pre- and post- 2005 and 2010 resuscitation guidelines release as follows: 01/2000-09/2005 vs. 10/2005-9/2010 and 10/2005-9/2010 vs. 10/2010-12/2012. Segmented regression analyses of interrupted time series data were performed to examine changes in survival to hospital discharge. Results: For the pre- and post- guidelines periods, 81600, 69139 and 36556 patients respectively survived to hospital admission following OHCA. Subsequent to the release of the 2005 guidelines, there was a statistically significant worsening in survival trends (β= -0.089, 95% CI -0.163 – -0.016, p =0.018) until the release of the 2010 guidelines when a sharp increase in survival was noted which persisted for the period of study (β= 0.054, 95% CI -0.143 – 0.251, p =0.588) but did not achieve statistical significance (Figure). Conclusion: National clinical guidelines developed to impact outcomes must include mechanisms to assess whether benefit actually occurs. The worsening in OHCA survival following the 2005 guidelines is thought provoking but the improvement following the release of the 2010 guidelines is reassuring and worthy of perpetuation.

Exploratory Time Series Data Mining by Genetic Clustering

2011 ◽  
pp. 157-178
Author(s):  
T. Warren Liao
Keyword(s):  
Data Mining ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Distance Measures ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Synthetic Control ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Univariate Time Series ◽  
Genetic Clustering ◽  
Data Objects

In this chapter, we present genetic algorithm (GA) based methods developed for clustering univariate time series with equal or unequal length as an exploratory step of data mining. These methods basically implement the k-medoids algorithm. Each chromosome encodes in binary the data objects serving as the k-medoids. To compare their performance, both fixed-parameter and adaptive GAs were used. We first employed the synthetic control chart data set to investigate the performance of three fitness functions, two distance measures, and other GA parameters such as population size, crossover rate, and mutation rate. Two more sets of time series with or without known number of clusters were also experimented: one is the cylinder-bell-funnel data and the other is the novel battle simulation data. The clustering results are presented and discussed.

A simple method for reconstructing a high-quality NDVI time-series data set based on the Savitzky–Golay filter

2004 ◽  
Vol 91 (3-4) ◽  
pp. 332-344 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jin Chen ◽  
Per. Jönsson ◽  
Masayuki Tamura ◽  
Zhihui Gu ◽  
Bunkei Matsushita ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
High Quality ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Simple Method ◽  
Ndvi Time Series

Condition Monitoring of Equipment in Oil Wells using Deep Learning

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (01) ◽  
pp. 2050001
Author(s):  
Yadigar N. Imamverdiyev ◽  
Fargana J. Abdullayeva
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Single Layer ◽  
Oil Wells ◽  
Fault Prediction ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Oil Well ◽  
Data Set

In this paper, a fault prediction method for oil well equipment based on the analysis of time series data obtained from multiple sensors is proposed. The proposed method is based on deep learning (DL). For this purpose, comparative analysis of single-layer long short-term memory (LSTM) with the convolutional neural network (CNN) and stacked LSTM methods is provided. To demonstrate the efficacy of the proposed method, some experiments are conducted on the real data set obtained from eight sensors installed in oil wells. In this paper, compared to the single-layer LSTM model, the CNN and stacked LSTM predicted the faulty time series with a minimal loss.

Rough Sets Based Prediction Model of Tick-Wise Price Fluctuations

2011 ◽  
Vol 15 (4) ◽  
pp. 449-453 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yoshiyuki Matsumoto ◽  
◽  
Junzo Watada ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Decision Rule ◽  
Rough Set ◽  
Rough Sets ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Price Fluctuations ◽  
Rough Sets Theory ◽  
Sets Theory

Rough sets theory was proposed by Z. Pawlak in 1982. This theory enables us to mine knowledge granules through a decision rule from a database, a web base, a set and so on. We can apply the decision rule to reason, estimate, evaluate, or forecast unknown objects. In this paper, the rough set model is used to analyze of time series data of tick-wise price fluctuation, where knowledge granules are mined from the data set of tick-wise price fluctuations.

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