scholarly journals Prevention- Versus Promotion-Focus Regulatory Efforts on the Disease Incidence and Mortality of COVID-19: A Multinational Diffusion Study Using Functional Data Analysis

2020 ◽  
pp. 1069031X2096656
Author(s):  
V. Kumar ◽  
Ashish Sood ◽  
Shaphali Gupta ◽  
Nitish Sood

International marketing has rarely explored the diffusion patterns of the spread of a disease or analyzed the factors explaining the differences in the disease incidence patterns. The rapid diffusion of the novel coronavirus has engulfed the entire world in a very short time. Many countries experienced different levels of disease incidence and mortality despite implementing similar nonpharmaceutical interventions (NPIs). Drawing on the regulatory focus theory, the authors propose a framework to conceptualize and investigate the comparative efficacy of diverse NPIs that countries could adopt to prevent or curtail the diffusion of the disease incidence and mortality. They categorize these NPIs as prevention focused (containment and closures) or promotion focused (relief measures and public health infrastructure) and discuss the moderating factors that enhance or impede their effectiveness. Employing functional data analysis, the authors examine a comprehensive data set across 70 countries. They find that prevention-focused interventions inhibit disease incidence, while promotion-focused interventions enhance the nation’s ability to respond to medical emergencies and augment people’s ability to isolate themselves and slow the spread. The authors also generate insights on how a reallocation of resources between prevention- and promotion-focused efforts influence the evolution of disease incidence and mortality, with various countries falling in different clusters.

2018 ◽  
Vol 8 (10) ◽  
pp. 1766 ◽  
Author(s):  
Arthur Leroy ◽  
Andy MARC ◽  
Olivier DUPAS ◽  
Jean Lionel REY ◽  
Servane Gey

Many data collected in sport science come from time dependent phenomenon. This article focuses on Functional Data Analysis (FDA), which study longitudinal data by modelling them as continuous functions. After a brief review of several FDA methods, some useful practical tools such as Functional Principal Component Analysis (FPCA) or functional clustering algorithms are presented and compared on simulated data. Finally, the problem of the detection of promising young swimmers is addressed through a curve clustering procedure on a real data set of performance progression curves. This study reveals that the fastest improvement of young swimmers generally appears before 16 years old. Moreover, several patterns of improvement are identified and the functional clustering procedure provides a useful detection tool.


2020 ◽  
Vol 45 (6) ◽  
pp. 719-749
Author(s):  
Eduardo Doval ◽  
Pedro Delicado

We propose new methods for identifying and classifying aberrant response patterns (ARPs) by means of functional data analysis. These methods take the person response function (PRF) of an individual and compare it with the pattern that would correspond to a generic individual of the same ability according to the item-person response surface. ARPs correspond to atypical difference functions. The ARP classification is done with functional data clustering applied to the PRFs identified as ARP. We apply these methods to two sets of simulated data (the first is used to illustrate the ARP identification methods and the second demonstrates classification of the response patterns flagged as ARP) and a real data set (a Grade 12 science assessment test, SAT, with 32 items answered by 600 examinees). For comparative purposes, ARPs are also identified with three nonparametric person-fit indices (Ht, Modified Caution Index, and ZU3). Our results indicate that the ARP detection ability of one of our proposed methods is comparable to that of person-fit indices. Moreover, the proposed classification methods enable ARP associated with either spuriously low or spuriously high scores to be distinguished.


2021 ◽  
Vol 28 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Christian Capezza ◽  
Fabio Centofanti ◽  
Antonio Lepore ◽  
Biagio Palumbo

Abstract Sensing networks provide nowadays massive amounts of data that in many applications provide information about curves, surfaces and vary over a continuum, usually time, and thus, can be suitably modelled as functional data. Their proper modelling by means of functional data analysis approaches naturally addresses new challenges also arising in the statistical process monitoring (SPM). Motivated by an industrial application, the objective of the present paper is to provide the reader with a very transparent set of steps for the SPM of functional data in real-world case studies: i) identifying a finite dimensional model for the functional data, based on functional principal component analysis; ii) estimating the unknown parameters; iii) designing control charts on the estimated parameters, in a nonparametric framework. The proposed SPM procedure is applied to a real-case study from the maritime field in monitoring CO2 emissions from real navigation data of a roll-on/roll-off passenger cruise ship, i.e., a ship designed to carry both passengers and wheeled vehicles that are driven on and off the ship on their own wheels. We show different scenarios highlighting clear and interpretable indications that can be extracted from the data set and support the detection of anomalous voyages.


2022 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
pp. 5347-5385
Author(s):  
Kayode Oshinubi ◽  
◽  
Firas Ibrahim ◽  
Mustapha Rachdi ◽  
Jacques Demongeot

<abstract> <p>In this paper we use the technique of functional data analysis to model daily hospitalized, deceased, Intensive Care Unit (ICU) cases and return home patient numbers along the COVID-19 outbreak, considered as functional data across different departments in France while our response variables are numbers of vaccinations, deaths, infected, recovered and tests in France. These sets of data were considered before and after vaccination started in France. After smoothing our data set, analysis based on functional principal components method was performed. Then, a clustering using k-means techniques was done to understand the dynamics of the pandemic in different French departments according to their geographical location on France map. We also performed canonical correlations analysis between variables. Finally, we made some predictions to assess the accuracy of the method using functional linear regression models.</p> </abstract>


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kayode Oshinubi ◽  
Firas Ibrahim ◽  
Mustapha Rachdi ◽  
Jacques Demongeot

AbstractIn this paper we use the technique of functional data analysis to model daily hospitalized, deceased, ICU cases and return home patient numbers along the COVID-19 outbreak, considered as functional data across different departments in France while our response variables are numbers of vaccinations, deaths, infected, recovered and tests in France. These sets of data were considered before and after vaccination started in France. We used some smoothing techniques to smooth our data set, then analysis based on functional principal components method was performed, clustering using k-means techniques was done to understand the dynamics of the pandemic in different French departments according to their geographical location on France map and we also performed canonical correlations analysis between variables. Finally, we made some predictions to assess the accuracy of the method using functional linear regression models.


Biometrika ◽  
2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhenhua Lin ◽  
Jane-Ling Wang ◽  
Qixian Zhong

Summary Estimation of mean and covariance functions is fundamental for functional data analysis. While this topic has been studied extensively in the literature, a key assumption is that there are enough data in the domain of interest to estimate both the mean and covariance functions. In this paper, we investigate mean and covariance estimation for functional snippets in which observations from a subject are available only in an interval of length strictly (and often much) shorter than the length of the whole interval of interest. For such a sampling plan, no data is available for direct estimation of the off-diagonal region of the covariance function. We tackle this challenge via a basis representation of the covariance function. The proposed estimator enjoys a convergence rate that is adaptive to the smoothness of the underlying covariance function, and has superior finite-sample performance in simulation studies.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document