An investigation of the structural nonlinearity effects on the building seismic risk assessment under mainshock–aftershock sequences in Tehran metro city

2021 ◽  
pp. 136943322110384
Author(s):  
Ali Khansefid
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Seismic Risk ◽  
Nonlinear Behavior ◽  
Earthquake Hazard ◽  
Simulation Method ◽  
Physical Damage ◽  
Seismic Risk Assessment ◽  
Building Site ◽  
Aftershock Sequences ◽  
Structural Nonlinearity

This research attempts to investigate the effects of neglecting the nonlinear behavior of structures on the estimated seismic risk assessment of buildings under mainshock–aftershock (MA) sequences. In this regard, the Tehran metro city is selected as a building site due to its high seismicity level. Three separate 5-, 10-, and 15-story buildings are considered and designed based on international design codes. The earthquake hazard scenarios containing mainshock–aftershock sequences are modeled randomly using a synthetic stochastic methodology for this region. Next, by implementing the Monte Carlo simulation method, buildings performances are obtained for a large number of different scenarios, and consequently, the lifetime direct losses imposed on the buildings are evaluated. To investigate the effect of structural nonlinearity, the described process is performed in two distinct scenarios: one of them assumes that the buildings behave linearly, while the other one allows the structures to respond nonlinearly. Finally, the level of dependency of calculated lifetime seismic risk to this parameter and also the contribution of different sources of losses, including physical damage, business interruption, and casualty losses, are investigated considering the aftershocks effect.

Influence of intensity measure selection on simulation-based regional seismic risk assessment

2020 ◽  
Vol 36 (2) ◽  
pp. 647-672 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ao Du ◽  
Jamie E Padgett ◽  
Abdollah Shafieezadeh
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Seismic Risk ◽  
Simulation Method ◽  
Intensity Measure ◽  
Seismic Risk Assessment ◽  
Demand Modeling ◽  
Risk Estimates ◽  
Demand Models ◽  
Simulation Based ◽  
Spatially Distributed

This study investigates the influence of intensity measure (IM) selection on simulation-based regional seismic risk assessment (RSRA) of spatially distributed structural portfolios. First, a co-simulation method for general spectral averaging vector IMs is derived. Then a portfolio-level surrogate demand modeling approach, which incorporates the seismic demand estimation of the non-collapse and collapse states, is proposed. The derived IM co-simulation method enables the first comparative study of different IMs, including the conventional IMs and some more advanced scalar and vector IMs, in the context of RSRA. The influence of IM selection on the predictive performance of the portfolio-level surrogate demand models, as well as on the regional seismic risk estimates, is explored based on a virtual spatially distributed structural portfolio subjected to a scenario earthquake. The results of this study provide pertinent insights in surrogate demand modeling, IM co-simulation and selection, which can facilitate more accurate and reliable regional seismic risk estimates.

Earthquake Risk Assessment

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Max Wyss
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Seismic Risk ◽  
Population Data ◽  
Earthquake Hazard ◽  
Return Time ◽  
Earthquake Risk ◽  
Seismic Gap ◽  
World Population ◽  
Seismic Risk Assessment ◽  
Rupture Length

This article discusses the importance of assessing and estimating the risk of earthquakes. It begins with an overview of earthquake prediction and relevant terms, namely: earthquake hazard, maximum credible earthquake magnitude, exposure time, earthquake risk, and return time. It then considers data sources for estimating seismic hazard, including catalogs of historic earthquakes, measurements of crustal deformation, and world population data. It also examines ways of estimating seismic risk, such as the use of probabilistic estimates, deterministic estimates, and the concepts of characteristic earthquake, seismic gap, and maximum rupture length. A loss scenario for a possible future earthquake is presented, and the notion of imminent seismic risk is explained. Finally, the chapter addresses errors in seismic risk estimates and how to reduce seismic risk, ethical and moral aspects of seismic risk assessment, and the outlook concerning seismic risk assessment.

Earthquake Risk Assessment

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Max Wyss
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Seismic Risk ◽  
Population Data ◽  
Earthquake Hazard ◽  
Return Time ◽  
Earthquake Risk ◽  
Seismic Gap ◽  
World Population ◽  
Seismic Risk Assessment ◽  
Rupture Length

This article discusses the importance of assessing and estimating the risk of earthquakes. It begins with an overview of earthquake prediction and relevant terms, namely: earthquake hazard, maximum credible earthquake magnitude, exposure time, earthquake risk, and return time. It then considers data sources for estimating seismic hazard, including catalogs of historic earthquakes, measurements of crustal deformation, and world population data. It also examines ways of estimating seismic risk, such as the use of probabilistic estimates, deterministic estimates, and the concepts of characteristic earthquake, seismic gap, and maximum rupture length. A loss scenario for a possible future earthquake is presented, and the notion of imminent seismic risk is explained. Finally, the chapter addresses errors in seismic risk estimates and how to reduce seismic risk, ethical and moral aspects of seismic risk assessment, and the outlook concerning seismic risk assessment.

SEISMIC RISK ASSESSMENT AND REDUCTION IN ITALY

2019 ◽  
Vol 1 (Special Issue on First SACEE'19) ◽  
pp. 55-75
Author(s):  
Fabio Sabetta
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Seismic Risk ◽  
Safety Assessment ◽  
Public Funding ◽  
Tax Incentives ◽  
Technical Training ◽  
Disaster Prevention ◽  
Existing Buildings ◽  
Seismic Risk Assessment ◽  
Post Disaster

In this paper, the main features of the policies adopted in Italy for seismic risk reduction are discussed. Particular attention is given to the Pre-disaster prevention activities such as the implementation of the building code, the seismic risk assessment for a priority scale of intervention, tax incentives and public funding for the vulnerability reduction of the existing buildings, information to population and school education, technical training of experts. The phases of response and post-disaster activities, including emergency management, search and rescue, loss scenarios, and safety assessment of buildings, are also discussed taking example from the most recent devastating earthquakes in Italy (L.Aquila 2009, Amatrice 2016).

SEISMIC RISK ASSESSMENT AND MITIGATION FOR THE EXISTING LIFELINE

2011 ◽  
Vol 05 (01) ◽  
pp. 31-45 ◽  
Author(s):  
T. IMAI ◽  
S. WADA ◽  
T. KOIKE
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Seismic Risk ◽  
Water Distribution ◽  
Water Distribution Network ◽  
Assessment Method ◽  
Disaster Mitigation ◽  
Seismic Retrofitting ◽  
Network System ◽  
Investment Strategies ◽  
Seismic Risk Assessment

In order to keep the existing lifeline network system at a favorable seismic performance level, it is necessary to carry out retrofitting activities. This study proposes a seismic risk assessment method for the existing deteriorated lifeline network system based on the probability of system performance failure. Numerical simulations are carried out for the existing water distribution network system for several seismic investment strategies to support the decision making of seismic disaster mitigation planning. Effective planning of seismic retrofitting activities and disaster mitigation for the existing lifeline system can be realized using the newly developed assessment method.

Towards Near-Real-Time Damage Estimation Using a CSM-Based Tool for Seismic Risk Assessment

2008 ◽  
Vol 12 (sup2) ◽  
pp. 199-210 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dominik H. Lang ◽  
Sergio Molina-Palacios ◽  
Conrad D. Lindholm
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Real Time ◽  
Seismic Risk ◽  
Damage Estimation ◽  
Seismic Risk Assessment

Development of a preliminary seismic risk screening tool for existing buildings in Canada

2018 ◽  
Vol 45 (9) ◽  
pp. 717-727 ◽  
Author(s):  
Reza Fathi-Fazl ◽  
Eric Jacques ◽  
Zhen Cai ◽  
Bessam Kadhom ◽  
Bassem Saassouh ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Seismic Performance ◽  
Seismic Design ◽  
Seismic Risk ◽  
Screening Tool ◽  
Existing Buildings ◽  
Seismic Risk Assessment ◽  
Risk Screening ◽  
Categorization System ◽  
Remaining Time

This paper presents a preliminary seismic risk screening tool to identify buildings whose superior structural and non-structural seismic performance in regions of low seismicity can be assessed based on several key attributes. The tool is designed to exempt buildings from detailed seismic risk assessment if key exemption criteria are met. The exemption criteria are based on: a seismic categorization system linked to anticipated building damage and seismicity; whether or not the building was designed using modern seismic design provisions; and the remaining time that the building will be occupied. The tool also provides a second list of criteria, which if satisfied, will automatically trigger further detailed seismic risk assessment. The decisions rendered by the tool regarding the expected seismic performance of a building are evaluated against the next level of seismic risk screening tool to ensure the consistency. A flowchart is presented to facilitate adoption of the tool by practicing engineers and other end-users.

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