scholarly journals Modelling cost-effectiveness of syphilis detection strategies in prisoners: exploratory exercise in a Chilean male prison

2021 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Carla Castillo-Laborde ◽  
Pedro Gajardo ◽  
Manuel Nájera-De Ferrari ◽  
Isabel Matute ◽  
Macarena Hirmas-Adauy ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cost Effectiveness ◽  
Mathematical Modelling ◽  
Rapid Test ◽  
Cost Effective ◽  
Current Situation ◽  
Case Detection ◽  
Active Case ◽  
Passive Case Detection ◽  
Rapid Tests ◽  
Detection Strategies

Abstract Background Syphilis, together with other sexually transmitted infections, remains a global public health problem that is far from controlled. People deprived of liberty are a vulnerable population. Control activities in prisons rely mostly on passive case detection, despite the existence of affordable alternatives that would allow switching to active case-finding strategies. Our objective was to develop a mathematical modelling framework for cost-effectiveness evaluation, from a health system perspective, of different approaches using rapid tests for the detection of syphilis in inmates' populations and to explore the results based on a Chilean male prison population. Methods A compartmental model was developed to characterize the transmission dynamics of syphilis inside a prison with the ongoing strategy (passive case detection, with VRDL + FTA-ABS), considering the entrance and exit of inmates over a 40 year period. The model allows simulation of the implementation of a reverse algorithm for the current situation (rapid test + VDRL), different screening strategies (entry point, massive periodically; both with rapid test + VDRL) and treatment of detected cases. The parameters for the exploratory exercise were obtained from systematic searches of indexed and grey literature and field work (EQ-5D questionnaire application and key actors interviews). Probabilistic sensitivity analysis was conducted to account for uncertainty in relevant parameters. Results The proposed framework allows the evaluation of different detection strategies. In this study, all the strategies were cost-effective in the baseline scenario when considering an ICER threshold of 1 Chilean GDP per capita (US$15,000). The strategies most likely to be cost-effective (over 80% probability) were: current situation with reverse algorithm, entry point screening and mass screening every two years; the latter was the most effective, achieving the lowest prevalence (0.7% and 1.7% over the period versus the 3% prevalence in the current situation). Conclusions Mathematical modelling that considers the performance of different tests and detection strategies could be a useful tool for decision making. The exploratory results show the efficiency of adopting both the use of the rapid tests and performing active case detection to significantly reduce the burden of syphilis in Chilean prisons in the near future.

scholarly journals Modelling Cost-Effectiveness of Syphilis Detection Strategies In Prisoners: Exploratory Exercise In A Chilean Male Prison

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Carla Castillo-Laborde ◽  
Pedro Gajardo ◽  
Manuel Nájera-De Ferrari ◽  
Isabel Matute ◽  
Macarena Hirmas-Adauy ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cost Effectiveness ◽  
Mathematical Modelling ◽  
Rapid Test ◽  
Cost Effective ◽  
Current Situation ◽  
Case Detection ◽  
Active Case ◽  
Passive Case Detection ◽  
Rapid Tests ◽  
Detection Strategies

Abstract BACKGROUND: Syphilis, together with other sexually transmitted infections, remains a global public health problem that is far from being controlled. People deprived of liberty are one of the vulnerable population. Control activities in prisons rely mostly on passive case detection, despite the existence of affordable alternatives that would allow switching to active case-finding strategies. Our objective was to develop a mathematical modelling framework for cost-effectiveness evaluation, from a health system perspective, of different approaches using rapid tests for the detection of syphilis in inmates' populations and to explore the results based on a Chilean male prison population. Methods: A compartmental model was developed to characterize the transmission dynamics of syphilis inside a prison with the ongoing strategy (passive case detection, with VRDL + FTA-ABS), considering the entrance and exit of inmates over a 40 year period. The model allows to simulate the implementation of a reverse algorithm for the current situation (rapid test + VDRL), different screening strategies (entry point, massive periodically; both with rapid test + VDRL) and treatment of detected cases. The parameters for the exploratory exercise were obtained from systematic searches of indexed and grey literature and field work (EQ-5D questionnaire application and key actors interviews). Probabilistic sensitivity analysis was conducted to account for uncertainty in relevant parameters. RESULTS: The proposed framework allows the evaluation of different detection strategies. In this study, all the strategies were cost-effective in the baseline scenario when considering an ICER threshold of 1 Chilean GDP per capita (US$15,000). The strategies most likely to be cost-effective (over 80% probability) were: current situation with reverse algorithm, entry point screening and mass screening every two years; the latter was the most effective, achieving the lowest prevalence (0.7% and 1.7% over the period versus the 3% prevalence in the current situation).CONCLUSIONS: Mathematical modelling that considers the performance of different test and detection strategies might be a powerful tool for decision making. The exploratory results show the efficiency of adopting both the use of the rapid tests and to perform active case detection to significantly reduce the burden of syphilis in Chilean prisons in the near future.

scholarly journals Modelling Cost-Effectiveness Of Syphilis Detection Strategies In Prisoners: Exploratory Exercise In A Chilean Male Prison

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Carla Castillo-Laborde ◽  
Pedro Gajardo ◽  
Manuel Nájera-De Ferrari ◽  
Isabel Matute ◽  
Macarena Hirmas-Adauy ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cost Effectiveness ◽  
Mathematical Modelling ◽  
Rapid Test ◽  
Cost Effective ◽  
Current Situation ◽  
Case Detection ◽  
Active Case ◽  
Passive Case Detection ◽  
Rapid Tests ◽  
Detection Strategies

Abstract BACKGROUND: Syphilis, together with other sexually transmitted infections, remains a global public health problem that is far from being controlled. People deprived of liberty are one of the vulnerable population. Control activities in prisons rely mostly on passive case detection, despite the existence of affordable alternatives that would allow switching to active case-finding strategies. Our objective was to develop a mathematical modelling framework for cost-effectiveness evaluation, from a health system perspective, of different approaches using rapid tests for the detection of syphilis in inmates' populations and to explore the results based on a Chilean male prison population. Methods: A compartmental model was developed to characterize the transmission dynamics of syphilis inside a prison with the ongoing strategy (passive case detection, with VRDL + FTA-ABS), considering the entrance and exit of inmates over a 40 year period. The model allows simulation of the implementation of a reverse algorithm for the current situation (rapid test + VDRL), different screening strategies (entry point, massive periodically; both with rapid test + VDRL) and treatment of detected cases. The parameters for the exploratory exercise were obtained from systematic searches of indexed and grey literature and field work (EQ-5D questionnaire application and key actors interviews). Probabilistic sensitivity analysis was conducted to account for uncertainty in relevant parameters. RESULTS: The proposed framework allows the evaluation of different detection strategies. In this study, all the strategies were cost-effective in the baseline scenario when considering an ICER threshold of 1 Chilean GDP per capita (US$15,000). The strategies most likely to be cost-effective (over 80% probability) were: current situation with reverse algorithm, entry point screening and mass screening every two years; the latter was the most effective, achieving the lowest prevalence (0.7% and 1.7% over the period versus the 3% prevalence in the current situation).CONCLUSIONS: Mathematical modelling that considers the performance of different test and detection strategies could be a useful tool for decision making. The exploratory results show the efficiency of adopting both the use of the rapid tests and performing active case detection to significantly reduce the burden of syphilis in Chilean prisons in the near future.

scholarly journals Modelling Cost-Effectiveness of Syphilis Detection Strategies in Prisoners: Exploratory Exercise in a Chilean Male Prison

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Carla Castillo-Laborde ◽  
Pedro Gajardo ◽  
Manuel Nájera-De Ferrari ◽  
Isabel Matute ◽  
Macarena Hirmas-Adauy ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cost Effectiveness ◽  
Mathematical Modelling ◽  
Rapid Test ◽  
Cost Effective ◽  
Current Situation ◽  
Case Detection ◽  
Active Case ◽  
Passive Case Detection ◽  
Rapid Tests ◽  
Detection Strategies

Abstract BACKGROUND: Syphilis, together with other sexually transmitted infections, remains a global public health problem that is far from controlled. People deprived of liberty are a vulnerable population. Control activities in prisons rely mostly on passive case detection, despite the existence of affordable alternatives that would allow switching to active case-finding strategies. Our objective was to develop a mathematical modelling framework for cost-effectiveness evaluation, from a health system perspective, of different approaches using rapid tests for the detection of syphilis in inmates' populations and to explore the results based on a Chilean male prison population. Methods: A compartmental model was developed to characterize the transmission dynamics of syphilis inside a prison with the ongoing strategy (passive case detection, with VRDL + FTA-ABS), considering the entrance and exit of inmates over a 40 year period. The model allows simulation of the implementation of a reverse algorithm for the current situation (rapid test + VDRL), different screening strategies (entry point, massive periodically; both with rapid test + VDRL) and treatment of detected cases. The parameters for the exploratory exercise were obtained from systematic searches of indexed and grey literature and field work (EQ-5D questionnaire application and key actors interviews). Probabilistic sensitivity analysis was conducted to account for uncertainty in relevant parameters. RESULTS: The proposed framework allows the evaluation of different detection strategies. In this study, all the strategies were cost-effective in the baseline scenario when considering an ICER threshold of 1 Chilean GDP per capita (US$15,000). The strategies most likely to be cost-effective (over 80% probability) were: current situation with reverse algorithm, entry point screening and mass screening every two years; the latter was the most effective, achieving the lowest prevalence (0.7% and 1.7% over the period versus the 3% prevalence in the current situation).CONCLUSIONS: Mathematical modelling that considers the performance of different tests and detection strategies could be a useful tool for decision making. The exploratory results show the efficiency of adopting both the use of the rapid tests and performing active case detection to significantly reduce the burden of syphilis in Chilean prisons in the near future.

scholarly journals Modelling Cost-Effectiveness of Syphilis Detection Strategies in Prisoners: Exploratory Exercise in a Chilean Male Prison

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Carla Castillo-Laborde ◽  
Pedro Gajardo ◽  
Manuel Nájera-De Ferrari ◽  
Isabel Matute ◽  
Macarena Hirmas-Adauy ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cost Effectiveness ◽  
Mathematical Modelling ◽  
Rapid Test ◽  
Cost Effective ◽  
Current Situation ◽  
Case Detection ◽  
Active Case ◽  
Passive Case Detection ◽  
Rapid Tests ◽  
Detection Strategies

Abstract BACKGROUND: Syphilis, together with other sexually transmitted infections, remains a global public health problem that is far from being controlled. People deprived of liberty are one of the vulnerable population. Control activities in prisons rely mostly on passive case detection, despite the existence of affordable alternatives that would allow switching to active case-finding strategies. Our objective was to develop a mathematical modelling framework for cost-effectiveness evaluation, from a health system perspective, of different approaches using rapid tests for the detection of syphilis in inmates' populations and to explore the results based on a Chilean male prison population. Methods: A compartmental model was developed to characterize the transmission dynamics of syphilis inside a prison with the ongoing strategy (passive case detection, with VRDL + FTA-ABS), considering the entrance and exit of inmates over a 40 year period. The model allows simulation of the implementation of a reverse algorithm for the current situation (rapid test + VDRL), different screening strategies (entry point, massive periodically; both with rapid test + VDRL) and treatment of detected cases. The parameters for the exploratory exercise were obtained from systematic searches of indexed and grey literature and field work (EQ-5D questionnaire application and key actors interviews). Probabilistic sensitivity analysis was conducted to account for uncertainty in relevant parameters. RESULTS: The proposed framework allows the evaluation of different detection strategies. In this study, all the strategies were cost-effective in the baseline scenario when considering an ICER threshold of 1 Chilean GDP per capita (US$15,000). The strategies most likely to be cost-effective (over 80% probability) were: current situation with reverse algorithm, entry point screening and mass screening every two years; the latter was the most effective, achieving the lowest prevalence (0.7% and 1.7% over the period versus the 3% prevalence in the current situation).CONCLUSIONS: Mathematical modelling that considers the performance of different tests and detection strategies could be a useful tool for decision making. The exploratory results show the efficiency of adopting both the use of the rapid tests and performing active case detection to significantly reduce the burden of syphilis in Chilean prisons in the near future.

scholarly journals A comparative analysis of the outcome of malaria case surveillance strategies in Sri Lanka in the prevention of re-establishment phase

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
W. M. Kumudunayana T. de A. W Gunasekera ◽  
Risintha Premaratne ◽  
Deepika Fernando ◽  
Muzrif Munaz ◽  
M. G. Y. Piyasena ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sri Lanka ◽  
Case Reports ◽  
Individual Case ◽  
Case Detection ◽  
Malaria Surveillance ◽  
Blood Smears ◽  
Passive Case Detection ◽  
Routine Basis ◽  
Detection Strategies ◽  
Very High

Abstract Background Sri Lanka sustained its malaria-free status by implementing, among other interventions, three core case detection strategies namely Passive Case Detection (PCD), Reactive Case Detection (RACD) and Proactive Case Detection (PACD). The outcomes of these strategies were analysed in terms of their effectiveness in detecting malaria infections for the period from 2017-2019. Methods Comparisons were made between the surveillance methods and between years, based on data obtained from the national malaria database and individual case reports of malaria patients. The number of blood smears examined microscopically was used as the measure of the volume of tests conducted. The yield from each case detection method was calculated as the proportion of blood smears which were positive for malaria. Within RACD and PACD, the yield of sub categories of travel cohorts and spatial cohorts was ascertained for 2019. Results A total of 158 malaria cases were reported in 2017-2019. During this period between 666,325-725,149 blood smears were examined annually. PCD detected 95.6%, with a yield of 16.1 cases per 100,000 blood smears examined. RACD and PACD produced a yield of 11.2 and 0.3, respectively. The yield of screening the sub category of travel cohorts was very high for RACD and PACD being 806.5 and 44.9 malaria cases per 100,000 smears, respectively. Despite over half of the blood smears examined being obtained by screening spatial cohorts within RACD and PACD, the yield of both was zero over all three years. Conclusions The PCD arm of case surveillance is the most effective and, therefore, has to continue and be further strengthened as the mainstay of malaria surveillance. Focus on travel cohorts within RACD and PACD should be even greater. Screening of spatial cohorts, on a routine basis and solely because people are resident in previously malarious areas, may be wasteful, except in situations where the risk of local transmission is very high, or is imminent. These findings may apply more broadly to most countries in the post-elimination phase.

Cost Effectiveness of Case Detection Strategies for the Early Detection of COPD

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kate M. Johnson ◽  
Mohsen Sadatsafavi ◽  
Amin Adibi ◽  
Larry Lynd ◽  
Mark Harrison ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cost Effectiveness ◽  
Early Detection ◽  
Case Detection ◽  
Detection Strategies

scholarly journals Cost-effectiveness of active case-finding of household contacts of pulmonary tuberculosis patients in a low HIV, tuberculosis-endemic urban area of Lima, Peru

2017 ◽  
Vol 145 (6) ◽  
pp. 1107-1117 ◽  
Author(s):  
L. SHAH ◽  
M. ROJAS ◽  
O. MORI ◽  
C. ZAMUDIO ◽  
J. S. KAUFMAN ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cost Effectiveness ◽  
Diagnostic Test ◽  
Cost Effective ◽  
Case Finding ◽  
Self Report ◽  
Urban Setting ◽  
Active Case Finding ◽  
Active Case ◽  
Household Contacts ◽  
Life Years

SUMMARYWe compared the cost-effectiveness (CE) of an active case-finding (ACF) programme for household contacts of tuberculosis (TB) cases enrolled in first-line treatment to routine passive case-finding (PCF) within an established national TB programme in Peru. Decision analysis was used to model detection of TB in household contacts through: (1) self-report of symptomatic cases for evaluation (PCF), (2) a provider-initiated ACF programme, (3) addition of an Xpert MTB/RIF diagnostic test for a single sputum sample from household contacts, and (4) all strategies combined. CE was calculated as the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) in terms of US dollars per disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) averted. Compared to PCF alone, ACF for household contacts resulted in an ICER of $2155 per DALY averted. The addition of the Xpert MTB/RIF diagnostic test resulted in an ICER of $3275 per DALY averted within a PCF programme and $3399 per DALY averted when an ACF programme was included. Provider-initiated ACF of household contacts in an urban setting of Lima, Peru can be highly cost-effective, even including costs to seek out contacts and perform an Xpert/MTB RIF test. ACF including Xpert MTB/RIF was not cost-effective if TB cases detected had high rates of default from treatment or poor outcomes.

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