Prognostic factors for the recurrence of renal cell carcinoma after radical nephrectomy
14629 Background: Recurrence of renal cell carcinoma depends mainly on tumor stage at the time of radical nephrectomy and increases with increasing T-stage. Up to 30% of patients with T1–2 tumors will experience local or distant recurrence. Recommendations for the follow-up include chest x-ray every 6 months for stages T1–4 and abdominal CT-scan for pT3–4 for the first 3 years. The aim of our study was to identify prognostic factors predicting recurrence of RCC in order to individualize follow up strategies. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed the charts of 177 patients with RCC who underwent radical nephrectomy. In 163/177 (92%) of the patients the histology revealed renal cell carcinoma. The median-follow up was 4.5 (1–6) years. The prognostic significance of histology, gender, age, c-reactive protein, hemoglobin, hematuria, gross hematuria, weight loss, flank pain and metastases at the time of surgery for risk of recurrence was calculated by uni- and multivariate analysis. Cancer specific survival (CSS) was analyzed by the Kaplan-Meir method. Results: Logistic regression analysis identified presence of metastases at time of surgery (p ≤ 0.0005), hematuria (p ≤ 0.0005) and flank pain (p = 0.011) as independent prognostic factors for the recurrence of RCC. The risk of recurrent disease is 33.5% with one, 70 to 83% with two and 95.6% with the presence of all 3 markers. 3-year CSS is 69% vs. 82% in symptomatic vs. asymptomatic patients (p = 0.1352), 45% vs. 90% in M1/N1 vs. M0/N0 (p = 0.0001) and 78% vs. 88% in pT3b vs. <pT3b (p = 0.0102). Conclusions: In our study we were able to identify prognostic factors for the recurrence of renal cell carcinoma. Based on this model the follow-up of patients can be individualized according to the risk for recurrence after radical nephrectomy. No significant financial relationships to disclose.