Early PET/CT scan compared with RECIST to predict long-term outcome of patients with liver metastases from colorectal cancer treated with preoperative chemotherapy plus bevacizumab.
11008 Background: Early changes in tumor metabolism measured with positron-emission-tomography/computerized tomography (PET/CT) could predict the long-term efficacy of treatment better than dimensional RECIST response. Methods: We performed PET/CT before and after 1 cycle of treatment in patients with resectable liver metastases from colorectal cancer, within a phase II trial of preoperative FOLFIRI plus bevacizumab. For each lesion, the maximum SUV (SUVmax) and the total lesion glycolisis (TLG) were determined. For both, based on previous studies, a ≤-50% change from baseline was used as threshold for significant response. Metabolic response was categorized no/yes by using three different methods that enter into the calculation (i) the largest observed value (highest SUVmax/TLG), or (ii) the sum of all the observed values (Total SUVmax/TLG), or (iii) each observed values (SUVmax/TLG-by-lesion). Standard RECIST response was assessed after 3 months of treatment. The association between metabolic and RECIST response was tested with the Mc Nemar’s test and their agreement was expressed as Kappa statistics; the ability to predict progression-free (PFS) and overall (OS) survival was tested with Log-rank test and a multivariable Cox model. Results: 33 patients were analyzed. After treatment, there was a notable decrease of all PET/CT parameters, with a median change of -33.9% for the highest SUVmax, -61.5% for the highest TLG, -34.9% for the total SUVmax, and -65.5% for the total TLG. The association of SUV-based metabolic response (but not the TLG-based) with RECIST was statistically significant. However, the agreement between RECIST and PET/CT responses was consistently small. PFS and OS were significantly longer among PET/CT responding patients, whichever the measure used. On the contrary, no significant outcome difference was evident according to RECIST response. Conclusions: Early PET/CT response was significantly predictive of long-term outcomes during preoperative treatment of patients with liver metastases from colorectal cancer and its predictive ability was higher than that of RECIST response. Clinical trial information: 2006-006572-38.