Can AI technology augment tumor board treatment decisions for stage II colon cancer care?

e22111 Background: The Oncotype DX Colon Cancer Recurrence Score (RS) is a validated prognosticator in stage II colon cancer following surgery. However, the impact of the RS on daily practice is still unclear. Clalit Health Services(CHS) has reimbursed Oncotype DX colon testing since 1/2011. This prospective study examined the use of the RS and its association with treatment decisions in this setting in Israel. Methods: Eligible patients had stage II colon cancer and testing reimbursed by CHS from 1/2011 to 5/2012. Patient/tumor data and treatment information were gathered prospectively. Data were analyzed using the Chi-squared test. Results: The study included 341 patients of whom 314 had confirmed stage II, T3N0 disease, and were included in the analysis. Median age was 68 years (range: 29-89); 18.2%, 68.5%, and 9.9% had grade 1, 2, and 3 tumors, respectively; 15.3% had colonic obstruction and 5.7% had lymphovascular invasion. Thirty-nine patients (12.4%) had mismatch repair (MMR)-deficient tumors and their samples were not tested further. Of the 275 tested patients, 160 (58.2%), 87 (31.6%), and 27 (9.8%) had low (<30), intermediate (30-40), and high (>40) RS, respectively (1 patient [0.4%] had no RS due to technical failure of the assay). The grade 3 group had a higher proportion of MMR-deficient tumors than the grade 2 and grade 1 groups (35.5%, 7.9% and 10.5%, respectively, P<.0001). In the MMR-proficient tumors, the proportions of low RS tumors according to grade were 60.8%, 58.1% and 70.0% for grades 1, 2 and 3, respectively (P=0.57). Chemotherapy was administered to 86/314 (27.4%) patients, including 3/39 (7.7%) in the MMR-deficient, 27/160 (16.9%) in the low, 39/87 (44.8%) in the intermediate, and 17/27 (63.0%) in the high RS groups. The most commonly used regimen was capecitabine monotherapy (61/86 treated patients, 70.9%). The differences in the proportions of patients receiving chemotherapy between the MMR-deficient, low, intermediate, and high RS groups were significant (P<.0001). Conclusions: Our findings suggest that the RS results and MMR-deficient status are significantly associated with treatment decisions in stage II colon cancer patients in Israel.

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Association of delayed commencement of adjuvant chemotherapy (AC) with inferior survival in colon cancer patients with stage II and III diseases: A national population-based cohort study.

Journal of Clinical Oncology ◽

10.1200/jco.2017.35.4_suppl.669 ◽

2017 ◽

Vol 35 (4_suppl) ◽

pp. 669-669

Author(s):

Ik Yong Kim ◽

Young Wan Kim

Keyword(s):

Colon Cancer ◽

Cohort Study ◽

Health Insurance ◽

Emergency Surgery ◽

Cancer Care ◽

Population Based ◽

Older Age ◽

Stage Ii ◽

Chemotherapy Group ◽

Colon Cancer Care

669 Background: To evaluate factors affecting the delay ( ≥ 8 weeks) of AC and the impact of chemotherapy delay on survival in patients with colon cancer(CC). Methods: The study cohort consisted of patients with stage II and III colon cancer, diagnosed between January 1, 2011 and December 31, 2012, who underwent curative resection and AC at all hospitals registered in the Korean Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service (HIRA). Detailed clinical data are from monitoring and evaluation of quality of colon cancer care. Results: Among 5355 patients, 154 (2.9%) received AC more than 8 weeks after surgery. Based on multivariate analysis, risk factors associated with AC delay ≥ 8 weeks were: older age [65 to 74 years (hazard ratio, HR = 1.48) and 75 years (HR = 1.69), p = 0.0354], medical aid status in health security system (HR = 1.76, p = 0.0345), emergency surgery (HR = 2.43, p = 0.0002), and chemotherapy with fluoropyrimidine (HR = 1.49, p = 0.0373). Independent prognostic factors for inferior OS included AC delay ≥ 8 weeks (HR = 1.49, p = 0.0365), older age [65 to 74 years (HR = 1.94) and 75 years (HR = 3.41), p < 0.0001], TNM III stage (HR = 2.46, p < 0.0001), emergency surgery (HR = 1.89, p < 0.0001), ASA score with 3 or higher (HR = 1.50, p < 0.0001), and higher transfusion amount (HR = 1.09, p = 0.0392). OS rates in patients with stage II / III CCs according to delay of AC using 8 weeks cutoff showed inferior OS in the delayed chemotherapy group (p = 0.008).Detailed OS rates were 97.81% at 1 year, 93.77% at 2 year, 89.62% at 3 year, and 85.79% at 4 year in the chemotherapy group within 8weeks. In the delayed chemotherapy group ≥ 8 weeks, OS rates were 96.1% at 1 year, 87.66% at 2 year, 80.98% at 3 year, and 80.2% at 4 year. Conclusions: This national population-based cohort study shows that delayed commencement of AC, defined as ≥ 8 weeks, is associated with inferior OS in CC patients with stage II / III. To reduce the proportion of patients receiving delayed AC, multidimensional aspects such as health insurance status or age should be considered. Based on our results, the time of commencement of chemotherapy can be incorporated as another quality indicator for colon cancer care.

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Use of a multigene prognostic assay for selection of adjuvant chemotherapy in patients with stage II colon cancer: Impact on quality-adjusted life expectancy and costs.

Journal of Clinical Oncology ◽

10.1200/jco.2011.29.4_suppl.491 ◽

2011 ◽

Vol 29 (4_suppl) ◽

pp. 491-491 ◽

Cited By ~ 4

Author(s):

N. J. Meropol ◽

G. H. Lyman ◽

R. Chien ◽

J. C. Hornberger

Keyword(s):

Colon Cancer ◽

Adjuvant Chemotherapy ◽

Life Expectancy ◽

Adjuvant Therapy ◽

Cost Saving ◽

Mismatch Repair ◽

Treatment Decisions ◽

Stage Ii ◽

Stage Ii Colon Cancer ◽

Quality Adjusted Life

491 Background: Uncertainty exists regarding the use of adjuvant therapy in patients with stage II colon cancer. To assist decision making, we compared quality-adjusted life expectancy and costs associated with using a multigene recurrence score (RS) assay with the use of clinicopathological factors currently recommended in clinical guidelines. Methods: A state-transition (Markov) model was developed to assess outcomes associated with the use of the RS (Oncotype Dx gene expression assay) in adjuvant therapy decisions in stage II colon cancer (excluding T4 tumors and those with deficient DNA mismatch repair). RS test characteristics were based on results reported from a randomized controlled trial (QUASAR, Kerr et al. ASCO, 2009). Current rates of administering adjuvant chemotherapy (aCTX) as a function of age, lymphatic invasion, tumor stage, and number of lymph nodes examined was derived from the NCCN Colon/Rectum Cancer Outcomes study (Earle et al, J Surg Oncol, 2009). Effects of aCTX on recurrence risk were based on published data. Medicare fee schedules were used to estimate cost; toxicities, recurrence, and quality-of-life adjustments were obtained from published studies. Results: Treatment decisions based on RS and a patient's years of life remaining without cancer recurrence would reduce aCTX use by 17% compared with current treatment patterns, and increase quality-adjusted life expectancy by an average of 0.035 years. With lower use of aCTX, direct medical costs are expected to decrease by an average of $2,971 per patient. One-way sensitivity analysis predicts overall QALY improvement with the RS through a range of variables, with the results most sensitive to the disutility associated with aCTX use. Sensitivity analyses also show the assay to be cost-saving under a variety of conditions. Conclusions: Clinical use of a multigene RS to assess risk of recurrence in T3 stage II colon cancers with intact mismatch repair is likely to improve quality-adjusted life expectancy and be cost-saving from a societal perspective. Patient age and disutility associated with chemotherapy are important considerations in adjuvant treatment decisions. [Table: see text]

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Targeting Lymph Node Retrieval and Assessment in Stage II Colon Cancer: A Quality Outcome Community-Based Cancer Center Study

Journal of Oncology Practice ◽

10.1200/jop.0822001 ◽

2008 ◽

Vol 4 (2) ◽

pp. 55-58 ◽

Cited By ~ 1

Author(s):

Thomas Grote ◽

Amy H. Hughes ◽

Cathy C. Rimmer ◽

Dale A. Less ◽

Amy P. Abernethy ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Colon Cancer ◽

Lymph Node ◽

Lymph Nodes ◽

Median Number ◽

Stage Ii ◽

Tumor Board ◽

Cancer Center ◽

Gastrointestinal Tumor ◽

Tumor Boards ◽

Stage Ii Colon Cancer

Purpose Adequate lymph node evaluation is required for the proper staging of colon cancer. The current recommended number of lymph nodes that should be retrieved and assessed is 12. Methods The multidisciplinary Gastrointestinal Tumor Board at the Derrick L. Davis Forsyth Regional Cancer Center reviewed and recommended that a minimum of 12 lymph nodes be examined in all cases of colon cancer to ensure proper staging. This recommendation occurred at the end of the first quarter of 2005. To ensure this new standard was being followed, an outcomes study looking at the number of lymph nodes evaluated in stage II colon cancer was initiated. All patients with stage II colon cancer diagnosed between 2004 and 2006 were reviewed. Results There was a statistically significant improvement in the number of stage II colon cancer patients with 12 or more lymph nodes evaluated. Before the Gastrointestinal Tumor Board's recommendation, 49% (40 out of 82 patients) had 12 or more lymph nodes sampled. The median number of lymph nodes evaluated was 11. After the Gastrointestinal Tumor Board's recommendation, 79% (70 out of 88 patients) had 12 or more lymph nodes sampled. The median number of lymph nodes was 16. Conclusion Multidisciplinary tumor boards can impact the quality of care of patients as demonstrated in this study. Although we do not yet have survival data on these patients, based on the previous literature referenced in this article, we would expect to see an improvement in survival rates in patients with 12 or more nodes retrieved and assessed.

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Estimating the Economic Value of CDX2 as a Predictive Biomarker to Guide Treatment Decisions in Stage II Colon Cancer

Value in Health ◽

10.1016/j.jval.2021.09.006 ◽

2021 ◽

Author(s):

Piero Dalerba

Keyword(s):

Colon Cancer ◽

Economic Value ◽

Predictive Biomarker ◽

Treatment Decisions ◽

Stage Ii ◽

Stage Ii Colon Cancer

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American Society of Clinical Oncology Recommendations on Adjuvant Chemotherapy for Stage II Colon Cancer

Yearbook of Oncology ◽

10.1016/s1040-1741(08)70196-9 ◽

2006 ◽

Vol 2006 ◽

pp. 285-286

Author(s):

P.J. Loehrer

Keyword(s):

Colon Cancer ◽

Adjuvant Chemotherapy ◽

Clinical Oncology ◽

Stage Ii ◽

American Society ◽

Stage Ii Colon Cancer

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CDX2 and Muc2 immunohistochemistry as prognostic markers in stage II colon cancer

Human Pathology ◽

10.1016/j.humpath.2019.05.005 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 90 ◽

pp. 70-79

Author(s):

Matthew J. Cecchini ◽

Joanna C. Walsh ◽

Jeremy Parfitt ◽

Subrata Chakrabarti ◽

Rohann J. Correa ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Colon Cancer ◽

Prognostic Markers ◽

Stage Ii ◽

Stage Ii Colon Cancer

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Association of chemotherapy with survival in stage II colon cancer patients who received radical surgery: a retrospective cohort study

BMC Cancer ◽

10.1186/s12885-021-08057-3 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 21 (1) ◽

Author(s):

Zhihao Lv ◽

Yuqi Liang ◽

Huaxi Liu ◽

Delong Mo

Keyword(s):

Colon Cancer ◽

Overall Survival ◽

Cancer Patients ◽

Prediction Models ◽

Radical Surgery ◽

Survival Rates ◽

Stage Ii ◽

Survival Prediction ◽

Stage Ii Colon Cancer ◽

Overall Survival Rates

Abstract Background It remains controversial whether patients with Stage II colon cancer would benefit from chemotherapy after radical surgery. This study aims to assess the real effectiveness of chemotherapy in patients with stage II colon cancer undergoing radical surgery and to construct survival prediction models to predict the survival benefits of chemotherapy. Methods Data for stage II colon cancer patients with radical surgery were retrieved from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Propensity score matching (1:1) was performed according to receive or not receive chemotherapy. Competitive risk regression models were used to assess colon cancer cause-specific death (CSD) and non-colon cancer cause-specific death (NCSD). Survival prediction nomograms were constructed to predict overall survival (OS) and colon cancer cause-specific survival (CSS). The predictive abilities of the constructed models were evaluated by the concordance indexes (C-indexes) and calibration curves. Results A total of 25,110 patients were identified, 21.7% received chemotherapy, and 78.3% were without chemotherapy. A total of 10,916 patients were extracted after propensity score matching. The estimated 3-year overall survival rates of chemotherapy were 0.7% higher than non- chemotherapy. The estimated 5-year and 10-year overall survival rates of non-chemotherapy were 1.3 and 2.1% higher than chemotherapy, respectively. Survival prediction models showed good discrimination (the C-indexes between 0.582 and 0.757) and excellent calibration. Conclusions Chemotherapy improves the short-term (43 months) survival benefit of stage II colon cancer patients who received radical surgery. Survival prediction models can be used to predict OS and CSS of patients receiving chemotherapy as well as OS and CSS of patients not receiving chemotherapy and to make individualized treatment recommendations for stage II colon cancer patients who received radical surgery.

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