scholarly journals Sales and Monetary Policy

2011 ◽  
Vol 101 (2) ◽  
pp. 844-876 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bernardo Guimaraes ◽  
Kevin D Sheedy
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Price Level ◽  
Macroeconomic Model ◽  
Strategic Substitutes ◽  
Real Effects ◽  
Striking Fact

A striking fact about pricing is the prevalence of “sales”: large temporary price cuts followed by prices returning to exactly their former levels. This paper builds a macroeconomic model with a rationale for sales based on firms facing customers with different price sensitivities. Even if firms can adjust sales without cost, monetary policy has large real effects owing to sales being strategic substitutes: a firm's incentive to have a sale is decreasing in the number of other firms having sales. Thus the flexibility seen in individual prices due to sales does not translate into flexibility of the aggregate price level. (JEL E13, E31, E52, L11, L25, L81, M31)

The Zero Interest Rate Floor (ZIF) and its Implications for Monetary Policy in Japan

2004 ◽  
Vol 187 ◽  
pp. 76-92 ◽  
Author(s):  
Benjamin Hunt ◽  
Douglas Laxton
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Price Level ◽  
Macroeconomic Model ◽  
Policy Strategies

This paper uses the IMF's macroeconomic model MULTIMOD to examine the implications of the zero interest rate floor (ZIF) for the design of monetary policy in Japan. Similar to findings in other studies, targeting rates of inflation lower than 2.0 per cent significantly increases the likelihood of the ZIF becoming binding. Systematic monetary policy strategies that respond strongly to stabilise output and inflation, or that incorporate some explicit price-level component, can help to mitigate the implications of the ZIF.

scholarly journals Non-linearities, state-dependent prices and the transmission mechanism of monetary policy

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Guido Ascari ◽  
Timo Haber
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Price Level ◽  
Transmission Mechanism ◽  
Monetary Policy Shocks ◽  
Real Effects ◽  
State Dependent ◽  
Trend Inflation ◽  
Policy Shocks ◽  
Linear Effects ◽  
State Dependent Pricing

Abstract A sticky price theory of the transmission mechanism of monetary policy shocks based on state-dependent pricing yields two testable implications, that do not hold in time-dependent models. First, large monetary policy shocks should yield proportionally larger initial responses of the price level. Second, in a high trend inflation regime, the response of the price level to monetary policy shocks should be larger and real effects smaller. Our analysis provides evidence supporting these non-linear effects in the response of the price level in aggregate US data, indicating state-dependent pricing as an important feature of the transmission mechanism of monetary policy.

scholarly journals A RECONSIDERATION OF THE DOCTRINAL FOUNDATIONS OF MONETARY POLICY RULES: FISHER VERSUS CHICAGO

2021 ◽  
Vol 43 (1) ◽  
pp. 55-82
Author(s):  
George S. Tavlas
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Price Level ◽  
Policy Instruments ◽  
Policy Instrument ◽  
Superior Performance ◽  
Policy Uncertainty ◽  
Direct Link ◽  
Policy Rule ◽  
Policy Rules ◽  
Monetary Policy Rules

There has long been a presumption that the price-level stabilization frameworks of Irving Fisher and Chicagoans Henry Simons and Lloyd Mints were essentially equivalent. I show that there were subtle, but important, differences in the rationales underlying the policies of Fisher and the Chicagoans. Fisher’s framework involved substantial discretion in the setting of the policy instruments; for the Chicagoans the objective of a policy rule was to tie the hands of the authorities in order to reduce discretion and, thus, monetary policy uncertainty. In contrast to Fisher, the Chicagoans provided assessments of the workings of alternative rules, assessed various criteria—including simplicity and reduction of political pressures—in the specification of rules, and concluded that rules would provide superior performance compared with discretion. Each of these characteristics provided a direct link to the rules-based framework of Milton Friedman. Like Friedman’s framework, Simons’s preferred rule targeted a policy instrument.

On the Retail Sector

2009 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
pp. 69-78
Author(s):  
Amelia Correa
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Price Level ◽  
Industrial Sector ◽  
Retail Trade ◽  
Retail Sector ◽  
Macroeconomic Model ◽  
Trade Sector

We append a retail trade sector to the industrial sector of an economy. The macroeconomic model is a variant of the circuit approach to monetary macroeconomics. The conclusion is that an increase in the size of the ‘unproductive’ sector, employment in the ‘productive’ sector remaining constant, leads to a rise in the price level and interest rates.

scholarly journals Asymmetric effects of monetary policy in Brazil

2009 ◽  
Vol 39 (2) ◽  
pp. 277-300 ◽  
Author(s):  
Edilean Kleber da Silva Bejarano Aragón ◽  
Marcelo Savino Portugal
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Monetary Shocks ◽  
Monetary Policies ◽  
The Real ◽  
Asymmetric Effects ◽  
Real Effects ◽  
Markov Switching Models ◽  
Switching Models ◽  
The Business Cycle ◽  
Negative Shock

In this paper, we check whether the effects of monetary policy actions on output in Brazil are asymmetric. Therefore, we estimate Markov-switching models that allow positive and negative shocks to affect the growth rate of output in an asymmetric fashion in expansion and recession states. In general, results show that: i) the real effects of negative monetary shocks are larger than those of positive shocks in an expansion; ii) in a recession, the real effects of positive and negative shocks are the same; iii) there is no evidence of asymmetry between the effects of countercyclical monetary policies; and iv) it is not possible to assert that the effects of a positive (or negative) shock are dependent upon the phase of the business cycle.

Brazil: monetary policy and the neutral interest rate

2016 ◽  
Vol 43 (6) ◽  
pp. 966-979
Author(s):  
Cleomar Gomes da Silva ◽  
Rafael Cavalcanti de Araújo
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Real Interest Rate ◽  
Design Methodology ◽  
Macroeconomic Model ◽  
Natural Rate ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Natural Rate Of Interest ◽  
The Interest Rate ◽  
Definition Of

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to analyze the conduct of monetary policy in Brazil and estimate the country’s neutral real interest rate. Design/methodology/approach The authors make use of a state-space macroeconomic model representation. Findings The period of analysis goes from 2003 up to the end of 2013 and the results show that the country’s natural rate of interest was around 4.2 percent in December 2013. Originality/value One of the main differences of this work is the inclusion of variables such as the real exchange rate and world interest rate. This is important because these variables play an important role in the definition of the interest rate and, consequently, in the definition of the neutral interest rate.

scholarly journals Heterogeneous Consumers, Segmented Asset Markets and the Real Effects of Monetary Policy

2020 ◽  
Vol 130 (628) ◽  
pp. 1031-1056
Author(s):  
Zeno Enders
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Aggregate Demand ◽  
Negative Relationship ◽  
Demand Elasticity ◽  
Asset Markets ◽  
Monetary Shocks ◽  
Financial Variables ◽  
Real Effects ◽  
Countercyclical Markups ◽  
Heterogeneous Consumers

Abstract This article proposes a novel mechanism by which changes in the distribution of money holdings have real aggregate effects. I develop a flexible-price model of segmented asset markets in which monetary policy influences the aggregate demand elasticity via heterogenous money holdings. Because varieties of consumption bundles are purchased sequentially, newly injected money disseminates slowly throughout the economy via second-round effects. The model predicts a short-term inflation-output trade-off, a liquidity effect, countercyclical markups, and pro-cyclical wages after monetary shocks. Among other correlations of financial variables, it also reproduces the empirical, negative relationship between changes in the money supply and markups.

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