Mastering Panel Metrics: Causal Impact of Democracy on Growth
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Long Run
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We revisit the panel data analysis of Acemoglu et al. (forthcoming) on the relationship between democracy and economic growth using state-of-the-art econometric methods. We argue that panel data settings are high-dimensional, resulting in estimators to be biased to a degree that invalidates statistical inference. We remove these biases by using simple analytical and sample-splitting methods, and thereby restore valid statistical inference. We find that debiased fixed effects and Arellano-Bond estimators produce higher estimates of the long-run effect of democracy on growth, providing even stronger support for the key hypothesis of Acemoglu et al.
2016 ◽
Vol 4
(3)
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2017 ◽
Vol 10
(1)
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2020 ◽
Vol 17
(2)
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pp. 212-236
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