ICONE19-43403 Inversion Method of Source Term in Nuclear Accident based on Gaussian Puff Model

Author(s):  
Yuanwei MA ◽  
Dezhong WANG ◽  
Wendan YU ◽  
Kuo ZHANG ◽  
Yunfei BAI
2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bonaventure Fontanier ◽  
Pramod Kumar ◽  
Grégoire Broquet ◽  
Christopher Caldow ◽  
Olivier Laurent ◽  
...  

<p>Methane (CH<sub>4</sub>) is a powerful greenhouse gas which plays a major role in climate change. The accurate monitoring of emissions from industrial facilities is needed to ensure efficient emission mitigation strategies. Local-scale atmospheric inversions are increasingly being used to provide estimates of the rates and/or locations of CH<sub>4</sub> sources from industrial sites. They rely on local-scale atmospheric dispersion models, CH<sub>4</sub> measurements and inversion approaches. Gaussian plume models have often been used for local-scale atmospheric dispersion modelling and inversions of emissions, because of their simplicity and good performance when used in a flat terrain and relatively constant mean wind conditions. However, even in such conditions, failure to account for wind and mole fraction variability can limit the ability to exploit the full potential of these measurements at high frequency.</p><p>We study whether the accuracy of inversions can be increased by the use of more complex dispersion models. Our assessments are based on the analysis of 25 to 75-min CH<sub>4 </sub>controlled releases during a one-week campaign in October 2019 at the TOTAL’s TADI operative platform in Lacq, France (in a flat area). During this campaign, for each controlled release, we conducted near-surface in situ measurements of CH<sub>4</sub> mole fraction from both a mobile vehicle and a circle of fixed points around the emission area. Our inversions based on a Gaussian model and either the mobile or fixed-point measurements both provided estimates of the release rates with 20-30% precision.  </p><p>Here we focus on comparisons between modeling and inversion results when using this Gaussian plume model, a Lagrangian model “GRAL” and a Gaussian puff model. The parameters for the three models are based on high-frequency meteorological values from a single stationary 3D sonic anemometer. GRAL should have relatively good skills under low-wind speed conditions. The Gaussian puff is a light implementation of time-dependent modeling and can be driven by high-frequency meteorological data. The performance of these dispersion models is evaluated with various metrics from the observation field that are relevant for the inversion. These analyses lead to the exploration of new types of definitions of the observational constraint for the inversions with the Gaussian puff model, when using the timeseries from fixed measurement points. The definitions explore a range of metrics in the time domain as well as in the frequency domain.</p><p>Eventually, the Lagrangian model does not outperform the Gaussian plume model in these experiments, its application being notably limited by the short scales of the transport characteristics. On the other hand, the Gaussian puff model provides promising results for the inversion, in particular, in terms of comparison between the simulated and observed timeseries for fixed stations. Its performance when driven by a spatially uniform wind field is an incentive to explore the use of meteorological data from several sonic stations to parameterize its configuration. The fixed-point measurements are shown to allow for more robust inversions of the source location than the mobile measurements, with an average source localization error of the order of 10 m.</p>


Author(s):  
Yuanwei Ma ◽  
Dezhong Wang ◽  
Wenji Tan ◽  
Zhilong Ji ◽  
Kuo Zhang

In the Fukushima nuclear accident, due to the lack of field observations and the complexity of source terms, researchers failed to estimate the source term accurately immediately. Data assimilation methods to estimate source terms have many good features: they works well with highly nonlinear dynamic models, no linearization in the evolution of error statistics, etc. This study built a data assimilation system using the ensemble Kalman Filter for real-time estimates of source parameters. The assimilation system uses a Gaussian puff model as the atmospheric dispersion model, assimilating forward with the observation data. Considering measurement error, numerical experiments were carried on to verify the stability and accuracy of the scheme. Then the sensitivity of observation configration is tested by the twin experiments. First, the single parameter release rate of the source term is estimated by different sensor grid configurations. In a sparse sensors grid, the error of estimation is about 10%, and in a 11*11 grid configuration, the error is less than 1%. Under the analysis of the Fukushima nuclear accident, ahead for the actual situation, four parameters are estimated at the same time, by 2*2 to 11*11 grid configurations. The studies showed that the radionuclides plume should cover as many sensors as possible, which will lead a to successful estimation.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sheng Fang ◽  
Xinpeng Li ◽  
Shuhan Zhuang

<p>Many efforts have been devoted to estimate the release rate of the radionuclide emission in the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear accident using regional scale observations. Because of the radioactive decay, regional scale observations may not provide information of short-lived radionuclides, which contributes the majority of radiation exposure in the early stage. In this study, the local-scale gamma dose rates data were used to estimate the atmospheric release rates of both long- and short-lived radio nuclides.The proposed method uses reactor physics to obtain an a priori radionuclide composition and a reverse source term estimate as an a priori release rate. A weighted additive model is developed, which uses the local-scale gamma dose rates to handle the conflicts between the two priors and to simultaneously incorporate them into the source inversion. The proposed method is validated against both the local-scale gamma dose rates and the regional concentration measurements of Cs-137. The results prove that the retrieved a posteriori source term combines the advantages of both priors and substantially improves the predictions of the on-site gamma dose rates. Given a detailed priori release rate, this approach also improves the regional predictions of both airborne and deposited Cs-137 concentrations.</p>


1977 ◽  
Vol 11 (5) ◽  
pp. 431-436 ◽  
Author(s):  
F.L. Ludwig ◽  
L.S. Gasiorek ◽  
R.E. Ruff

2019 ◽  
Vol 29 (2) ◽  
pp. 71-82
Author(s):  
YongSheng Ling ◽  
ChaoJun Chai ◽  
Wenyu Hou ◽  
DaQian Hei ◽  
Shan Qing ◽  
...  

2020 ◽  
Vol 188 (4) ◽  
pp. 470-476
Author(s):  
Ashraf Musauddin ◽  
Juyoul Kim

Abstract Offsite radiological consequence investigation using computerized software has been considered as an important quantitative risk communication in order to recognize and discuss public concerns about nuclear safety and health risk in case of hypothetical nuclear accidents around specific nuclear power plants (NPPs), with guideline of lessons learned from previous nuclear disasters. In this study, Northeast Asia nuclear accident simulator (NANAS) developed by Nuclear Safety and Security Commission (NSSC) in Korea was used to quantify the offsite radiological consequences from Haiyang unit 1 NPP in China and to examine the emergency protective measures for the public around regions of Korea as NPPs operating in Northeast Asia countries contributed to about 25% of the industry. Broad simulations of radiological source term estimation, atmospheric dispersion analysis and radiation dose assessment to the public have been performed in case of hypothetical nuclear accident involving source term of radionuclides release taken from Fukushima accident.


2009 ◽  
Vol 36 (5) ◽  
pp. 911-922 ◽  
Author(s):  
Timothy J. DeVito ◽  
Xiaoying Cao ◽  
Gilles Roy ◽  
Johnathan R. Costa ◽  
William S. Andrews

A field trial involving 50 separate releases of inert aerosol (kaolin) was conducted to determine the concentration distribution within aerosol puffs resulting from near-instantaneous releases. Atmospheric conditions during the trial fell within Pasquill stability classes A and B (very and moderately unstable, respectively). Aerosol concentration measurements were made using a scanning lidar system operating at 1.06 μm. Artificial neural network (ANN) models were developed using the data to predict concentration distributions, given a number of meteorological parameters. The ANN predictions were compared to those from traditional Gaussian puff models, and provided better predictions than the Gaussian model parameterizations examined. The ANN models were also used to develop Gaussian fitting parameters to replace traditional Pasquill and Slade dispersion coefficients. The ANN-derived dispersion coefficients provided better predictions of measured puff concentration distributions than either the Pasquill or Slade parameterizations, though the full multi-input ANN models provided even better predictions than the Gaussian puff model using ANN-derived dispersion coefficients.


2015 ◽  
Vol 58 (1/2) ◽  
pp. 39 ◽  
Author(s):  
Minsik Kim ◽  
Ryohji Ohba ◽  
Masamichi Oura ◽  
Shinsuke Kato ◽  
Masayuki Takigawa ◽  
...  

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document