Abstract. Sea ice thickness evolution within the Canadian Arctic Archipelago (CAA) is
of great interest to science, as well as local communities and their economy.
In this study, based on the NEMO numerical framework including the LIM2 sea
ice module, simulations at both 1∕4 and 1/12∘ horizontal
resolution were conducted from 2002 to 2016. The model captures well the
general spatial distribution of ice thickness in the CAA region, with very
thick sea ice (∼ 4 m and thicker) in the northern CAA, thick sea ice
(2.5 to 3 m) in the west-central Parry Channel and M'Clintock Channel,
and thin (<2 m) ice (in winter months) on the east side of CAA (e.g.,
eastern Parry Channel, Baffin Island coast) and in the channels in southern
areas. Even though the configurations still have resolution limitations in
resolving the exact observation sites, simulated ice thickness compares
reasonably (seasonal cycle and amplitudes) with weekly Environment and
Climate Change Canada (ECCC) New Ice Thickness Program data at first-year
landfast ice sites except at the northern sites with high concentration of
old ice. At 1∕4 to 1/12∘ scale, model resolution does not play a
significant role in the sea ice simulation except to improve local dynamics
because of better coastline representation. Sea ice growth is decomposed into
thermodynamic and dynamic (including all non-thermodynamic processes in the
model) contributions to study the ice thickness evolution. Relatively smaller
thermodynamic contribution to ice growth between December and the following
April is found in the thick and very thick ice regions, with larger
contributions in the thin ice-covered region. No significant trend in winter
maximum ice volume is found in the northern CAA and Baffin Bay while a
decline (r2 ≈ 0.6, p < 0.01) is simulated in Parry Channel
region. The two main contributors (thermodynamic growth and lateral
transport) have high interannual variabilities which largely balance each
other, so that maximum ice volume can vary interannually by ±12 % in
the northern CAA, ±15 % in Parry Channel, and ±9 % in Baffin Bay. Further quantitative evaluation is required.