scholarly journals Theory, methods and meaning of nonlinear expectation theory

2017 ◽  
Vol 47 (10) ◽  
pp. 1223-1254 ◽  
Author(s):  
PENG ShiGe
2000 ◽  
Vol 220 (3) ◽  
pp. 284-301
Author(s):  
Ulrich Bindseil

Summary Understanding the factors determining overnight rates is crucial both for central bankers and private market participants, since, assuming the validity of the expectation theory of the term structure of interest rates, expectations with regard to this “monadic” maturity should determine longer term rates, which are deemed to be relevant for the transmission of monetary policy. The note proposes a simple model of the money market within a two-day long reserve maintenance period to derive relationships between the relevant quantities, expectations concerning these quantities for the rest of the reserve maintenance period, and overnight rates. It is argued that a signal extraction problem faced by banks when observing quantities such as their aggregate reserve holdings and allotment amounts of monetary policy operations is at the core of these relationships. The usefulness of the model is illustrated by applying it to the analysis of three alternative liquidity management strategies of a central bank.


2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (9) ◽  
pp. 122
Author(s):  
Eddison T. Walters

The researcher called for economic research to consider the potential effect of advancement in technology on analysis of economic data in Eddison Walters Modern Economic Analysis Theory in the future represented a paradigm shift in economic analysis that will significantly reduce the potential for error due to data distortion in the future. The foundation of the world's economy is based on the sharing of information, yet very little attention has been given to the effect of technology advancement in the analysis of data. The researcher of the current study highlighted the critical nature of sharing information to the development of the world’s economy in the past, as well as the critical nature of sharing information to the world’s economy today. Advancement in technology has drastically improved the sharing of information and has led to the globalized economy. The lack of evidence supporting the widely accepted theory of the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008 prompted the investigation by the current researcher aimed at gaining insight into economic factors that were responsible for conditions contributing to the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008. Walters (2018) presented evidence suggesting no financial bubble existed before the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008. The study resulted in the development of “Eddison Walters Risk Expectation Theory of The Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008”. The theory presented an alternative explanation for the financial crisis. The researcher called for additional investigation to gain insight into the nature of the cause of the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008. Further investigation in Walters (2019) provided evidence supporting the idea, technological advancement led to the rapid growth in home prices before the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008. The result from the analysis of data in Walters (2019) revealed the following, 0.989 Adjusted R-square, 194.041 Mean Dependent Variable, 5.908 Square Error of Regression, and 488.726 Sum-of-Square Residual, from nonlinear regression analysis. The dependent variable in the study was, “home purchase price” and the independent variable was, “advancement in technology”. The current study continued the investigation into factors that were described in the literature which set the conditions leading to the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008. Gaining insight into the effect of technological advancement on the significant increase in consumer debt prior to the Global Financial Crisis will significantly contribute to the understanding of the economic environment before the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008. Insight into the effect of advancement in technology on the increase in consumer lending prior to the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008, will significantly contribute to the understanding of the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008.


2021 ◽  
Vol 54 (3) ◽  
pp. 447-467
Author(s):  
Thorsten Polleit

The modern financial market theory (MFMT) – based on the efficient market hypothesis, rational expectation theory, and modern portfolio theory – has become the standard approach in financial market economics. In this article, the MFMT will be critically ­reviewed using the logic of human action (or: praxeology) as an epistemological meta­theory. It will be shown that the MFMT exhibits (praxeo-)logical deficiencies so that it cannot provide investors with well-founded decision-making support in real-world financial markets.


2014 ◽  
Vol 3 (6) ◽  
pp. 637-640 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tianzhu Qiao ◽  
Yu Zhang ◽  
Huaping Liu

2008 ◽  
Vol 105 (1) ◽  
pp. 37-44 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mark Colyvan ◽  
Keyword(s):  

2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 85-99
Author(s):  
Gunawan Wiradharma

Distance learning is currently very much influenced by communication media. If in the past distance learning was done by module correspondence via postal delivery, now it is done using public internet facilities. Especially in the COVID-19 pandemic, almost all tertiary institutions utilize online learning for their lectures. There are two features that are commonly and commonly used as learning communication tools namely using Moodle and Google Classroom. The researcher uses the value expectation theory which is a derivative of the uses and gratification theory as a guideline for analyzing data and problems found in this study. Discussion Motives will include information, personal identity, integration and social interaction, and entertainment. Satisfaction will be achieved if the motive is fulfilled. The gap between satisfaction sought and satisfaction obtained will indicate differences in the level of satisfaction. The research method used is a comparative survey research. Data collection techniques through questionnaires were given to each of 116 Moodle and Google Classroom feature users in one of the public higher education in Jakarta. The results of this study were 232 PTN students were satisfied after using Moodle and Google Classroom features.   Keywords: Motive, Satisfaction, Google Classroom, Moodle.


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